Scoreo
FootballHockeyTennisBasketballVolleyballHandballBaseballRugbyMMAFormula 1

Başakşehir vs BSC Young Boys — Friendlies Clubs 2026

Başakşehir
Başakşehir
FT
3 – 1
HT: 2 – 0
BSC Young Boys
BSC Young Boys
E. Višća 70'
D. Ba 14', 10'
N. Ngamaleu 90' (pen)
1/11/2020Friendlies ClubsFriendlies Clubs · Club Friendlies 2

Match Prediction

Statistical Prediction

Based on goals from last 5+ matches

Başakşehir36%
×Draw24%
BSC Young Boys39%
✓ Correct in 51 of 100 matches — 6 more than always backing the home side
Model
50.6%
Always home
44.7%

The model picks a winner (home or away) for each finished match using only pre-kickoff data, then checks it against the real result: 50.6% correct across 576,853 matches, vs 44.7% for always backing the home side.

Home picks 50.9% correct · Away picks 49.7% correct

Football matches only. Past performance is not indicative of future results.

Expected goals in this match

What is xG?

Every shot is scored 0–1 by how likely it is to be a goal from that spot — a chance in the middle of the box ≈ 0.4, a long shot from a tight angle ≈ 0.03, a penalty ≈ 0.76. Add them up over a match and that is the xG.

The scoreline can lie: you can win 1-0 on a fluke while creating half the chances. xG shows who was really closer to scoring — and over a season it predicts results better than goals alone.

Başakşehir
1.48
BSC Young Boys
1.55

Both teams create about equally

Season form · 6 home / 5 away

creates per match

Başakşehir
1.17
BSC Young Boys
1.60

allows per match

Başakşehir
1.50
BSC Young Boys
1.80

finishing

Başakşehir+0.00on par
BSC Young Boys+0.00on par

Total goals

58%Over
  • Over58
  • Under42

3+ goals likely

Both teams score

61%Yes
  • Yes61
  • No39

Both teams likely to score

Score probability

Probability of each scoreline, %

Başakşehir ↓

BSC Young Boys →
0
1
2
3
4
0
0–05%
0–18%
0–26%
0–33%
0–41%
1
1–07%
1–111%
1–29%
1–34%
1–42%
2
2–05%
2–18%
2–26%
2–33%
2–41%
3
3–03%
3–14%
3–23%
3–32%
3–41%
4
4–01%
4–12%
4–21%
4–31%
4–40%

Most likely 1–1 (11%) · grid covers 96% of scorelines

More markets

Total goals

OverUnder0.5
95%5%1.5
80%20%2.5
58%42%3.5
36%64%4.5
19%81%

Double chance

Başakşehir or draw
61%
Başakşehir or BSC Young Boys
76%
Draw or BSC Young Boys
64%

Winning margin

Başakşehir wins by 2+
17%
BSC Young Boys wins by 2+
19%

Team goals

Başakşehir 1+ goals
77%
Başakşehir 2+ goals
43%
Başakşehir 3+ goals
19%
BSC Young Boys 1+ goals
79%
BSC Young Boys 2+ goals
46%
BSC Young Boys 3+ goals
20%

Draw no bet

Başakşehir (draw refunded)
48%
BSC Young Boys (draw refunded)
52%

Combos

Both score & 3+ goals
50%
Both score & under 3
11%

Model probabilities, not odds. For information only.

How is this calculated?

Every number below comes from this match — nothing is made up.

1

Recent form of each side

Başakşehir at home — creates 1.17, concedes 1.50 · 6 matches

BSC Young Boys away — creates 1.60, concedes 1.80 · 5 matches

⚑ Home and away form are counted separately — the home-field edge is already baked into these numbers.

2

Expected goals for this match

Başakşehir attack 1.17 + BSC Young Boys defence 1.80 → ÷2 → 1.48

BSC Young Boys attack 1.60 + Başakşehir defence 1.50 → ÷2 → 1.55

Each side's attack is blended with the other's defence, then averaged.

3

Chance of every scoreline

From those two numbers a Poisson distribution gives the probability of each exact score — the grid shown above.

4

The answer to "why 39%?"

Başakşehir scores more
36%
level
24%
BSC Young Boys scores more
39%

BSC Young Boys at 39% is simply the biggest of the three — that is the pick.

What the model can't see

It reads only the stats of recent matches. It knows nothing about:

  • injuries & suspensions
  • the matchday lineup
  • motivation — cup, relegation, a title race
  • weather & pitch condition
  • in-game coaching decisions

So 39% does not mean "BSC Young Boys will win" — it means "on the available stats, this is the most likely result."

Statistical model based on expected goals (xG). For informational purposes only.

Match Events

10'
D. Ba
14'
D. Ba
70'
E. Višća
90'
N. NgamaleuPenalty

Probable lineups not yet announced

Starting lineups are usually confirmed ~1 hour before kickoff

Match Recap: Başakşehir vs BSC Young Boys

Başakşehir beat BSC Young Boys 3-1 in Friendlies Clubs on January 11, 2020.

Goals: D. Ba (10', 14'), E. Višća (70'), N. Ngamaleu (90' pen).