Scoreo
FootballHockeyTennisBasketballVolleyballHandballBaseballRugbyMMAFormula 1

Barrow vs Blackpool — Friendlies Clubs 2026

Barrow
Barrow
FT
0 – 5
HT: 0 – 2
Blackpool
Blackpool
7/22/2023Friendlies ClubsFriendlies Clubs · Club Friendlies 3SO Legal Stadium

Match Prediction

Statistical Prediction

Based on goals from last 3+ matches

Barrow17%
×Draw16%
Blackpool67%
✓ Correct in 50 of 100 matches — 5 more than always backing the home side
Model
50%
Always home
44.5%

The model picks a winner (home or away) for each finished match using only pre-kickoff data, then checks it against the real result: 50% correct across 580,715 matches, vs 44.5% for always backing the home side.

Home picks 50.3% correct · Away picks 48.9% correct

Football matches only. Past performance is not indicative of future results.

Expected goals in this match

What is xG?

Every shot is scored 0–1 by how likely it is to be a goal from that spot — a chance in the middle of the box ≈ 0.4, a long shot from a tight angle ≈ 0.03, a penalty ≈ 0.76. Add them up over a match and that is the xG.

The scoreline can lie: you can win 1-0 on a fluke while creating half the chances. xG shows who was really closer to scoring — and over a season it predicts results better than goals alone.

Barrow
1.43
Blackpool
2.91

Blackpool creates 103% more chances

Season form · 3 home / 7 away

creates per match

Barrow
2.00
Blackpool
3.14

allows per match

Barrow
2.67
Blackpool
0.86

finishing

Barrow+0.00on par
Blackpool+0.00on par

Total goals

80%Over
  • Over80
  • Under20

3+ goals likely

Both teams score

72%Yes
  • Yes72
  • No28

Both teams likely to score

Score probability

Probability of each scoreline, %

Barrow ↓

Blackpool →
0
1
2
3
4
0
0–01%
0–14%
0–26%
0–36%
0–44%
1
1–02%
1–16%
1–28%
1–38%
1–46%
2
2–01%
2–14%
2–26%
2–36%
2–44%
3
3–01%
3–12%
3–23%
3–33%
3–42%
4
4–00%
4–11%
4–21%
4–31%
4–41%

Most likely 1–2 (8%) · grid covers 84% of scorelines

More markets

Total goals

OverUnder0.5
99%1%1.5
93%7%2.5
80%20%3.5
62%38%4.5
42%58%

Double chance

Barrow or draw
33%
Barrow or Blackpool
84%
Draw or Blackpool
83%

Winning margin

Barrow wins by 2+
7%
Blackpool wins by 2+
47%

Team goals

Barrow 1+ goals
76%
Barrow 2+ goals
42%
Barrow 3+ goals
17%
Blackpool 1+ goals
94%
Blackpool 2+ goals
78%
Blackpool 3+ goals
54%

Draw no bet

Barrow (draw refunded)
20%
Blackpool (draw refunded)
80%

Combos

Both score & 3+ goals
66%
Both score & under 3
6%

Model probabilities, not odds. For information only.

How is this calculated?

Every number below comes from this match — nothing is made up.

1

Recent form of each side

Barrow at home — creates 2.00, concedes 2.67 · 3 matches

Blackpool away — creates 3.14, concedes 0.86 · 7 matches

⚑ Home and away form are counted separately — the home-field edge is already baked into these numbers.

2

Expected goals for this match

Barrow attack 2.00 + Blackpool defence 0.86 → ÷2 → 1.43

Blackpool attack 3.14 + Barrow defence 2.67 → ÷2 → 2.91

Each side's attack is blended with the other's defence, then averaged.

3

Chance of every scoreline

From those two numbers a Poisson distribution gives the probability of each exact score — the grid shown above.

4

The answer to "why 67%?"

Barrow scores more
17%
level
16%
Blackpool scores more
67%

Blackpool at 67% is simply the biggest of the three — that is the pick.

What the model can't see

It reads only the stats of recent matches. It knows nothing about:

  • injuries & suspensions
  • the matchday lineup
  • motivation — cup, relegation, a title race
  • weather & pitch condition
  • in-game coaching decisions

So 67% does not mean "Blackpool will win" — it means "on the available stats, this is the most likely result."

Statistical model based on expected goals (xG). For informational purposes only.

Probable lineups not yet announced

Starting lineups are usually confirmed ~1 hour before kickoff

Friendlies Clubs: Barrow 0–5 Blackpool

Blackpool beat Barrow 5-0 in Friendlies Clubs on July 22, 2023.

The match was played at SO Legal Stadium in Barrow-in-Furness, Cumbria.