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Bankstown City Lions vs Inter Lions — New South Wales NPL 2 2026

Bankstown City Lions
Bankstown City Lions
FT
0 – 3
HT: 0 – 1
Inter Lions
Inter Lions
Unknown 76', 71', 34'
5/2/2026New South Wales NPL 2New South Wales NPL 2 · Round 13

Match Prediction

Statistical Prediction

Based on goals from last 57+ matches

Bankstown City Lions45%
×Draw24%
Inter Lions31%
✓ Correct in 50 of 100 matches — 5 more than always backing the home side
Model
50.3%
Always home
44.5%

The model picks a winner (home or away) for each finished match using only pre-kickoff data, then checks it against the real result: 50.3% correct across 582,450 matches, vs 44.5% for always backing the home side.

Home picks 50.5% correct · Away picks 49.5% correct

Football matches only. Past performance is not indicative of future results.

Expected goals in this match

What is xG?

Every shot is scored 0–1 by how likely it is to be a goal from that spot — a chance in the middle of the box ≈ 0.4, a long shot from a tight angle ≈ 0.03, a penalty ≈ 0.76. Add them up over a match and that is the xG.

The scoreline can lie: you can win 1-0 on a fluke while creating half the chances. xG shows who was really closer to scoring — and over a season it predicts results better than goals alone.

Bankstown City Lions
1.71
Inter Lions
1.39

Bankstown City Lions creates 23% more chances

Season form · 57 home / 57 away

creates per match

Bankstown City Lions
1.60
Inter Lions
1.53

allows per match

Bankstown City Lions
1.25
Inter Lions
1.82

finishing

Bankstown City Lions+0.00on par
Inter Lions+0.00on par

Total goals

60%Over
  • Over60
  • Under40

3+ goals likely

Both teams score

61%Yes
  • Yes61
  • No39

Both teams likely to score

Score probability

Probability of each scoreline, %

Bankstown City Lions ↓

Inter Lions →
0
1
2
3
4
0
0–05%
0–16%
0–24%
0–32%
0–41%
1
1–08%
1–111%
1–27%
1–33%
1–41%
2
2–07%
2–19%
2–26%
2–33%
2–41%
3
3–04%
3–15%
3–24%
3–32%
3–41%
4
4–02%
4–12%
4–22%
4–31%
4–40%

Most likely 1–1 (11%) · grid covers 96% of scorelines

More markets

Total goals

OverUnder0.5
95%5%1.5
81%19%2.5
60%40%3.5
37%63%4.5
20%80%

Double chance

Bankstown City Lions or draw
69%
Bankstown City Lions or Inter Lions
76%
Draw or Inter Lions
55%

Winning margin

Bankstown City Lions wins by 2+
24%
Inter Lions wins by 2+
14%

Team goals

Bankstown City Lions 1+ goals
82%
Bankstown City Lions 2+ goals
51%
Bankstown City Lions 3+ goals
24%
Inter Lions 1+ goals
75%
Inter Lions 2+ goals
40%
Inter Lions 3+ goals
16%

Draw no bet

Bankstown City Lions (draw refunded)
59%
Inter Lions (draw refunded)
41%

Combos

Both score & 3+ goals
51%
Both score & under 3
11%

Model probabilities, not odds. For information only.

How is this calculated?

Every number below comes from this match — nothing is made up.

1

Recent form of each side

Bankstown City Lions at home — creates 1.60, concedes 1.25 · 57 matches

Inter Lions away — creates 1.53, concedes 1.82 · 57 matches

⚑ Home and away form are counted separately — the home-field edge is already baked into these numbers.

2

Expected goals for this match

Bankstown City Lions attack 1.60 + Inter Lions defence 1.82 → ÷2 → 1.71

Inter Lions attack 1.53 + Bankstown City Lions defence 1.25 → ÷2 → 1.39

Each side's attack is blended with the other's defence, then averaged.

3

Chance of every scoreline

From those two numbers a Poisson distribution gives the probability of each exact score — the grid shown above.

4

The answer to "why 45%?"

Bankstown City Lions scores more
45%
level
24%
Inter Lions scores more
31%

Bankstown City Lions at 45% is simply the biggest of the three — that is the pick.

What the model can't see

It reads only the stats of recent matches. It knows nothing about:

  • injuries & suspensions
  • the matchday lineup
  • motivation — cup, relegation, a title race
  • weather & pitch condition
  • in-game coaching decisions

So 45% does not mean "Bankstown City Lions will win" — it means "on the available stats, this is the most likely result."

Statistical model based on expected goals (xG). For informational purposes only.

Match Events

34'
71'
76'

Probable lineups not yet announced

Starting lineups are usually confirmed ~1 hour before kickoff

Match Recap: Bankstown City Lions vs Inter Lions

Inter Lions beat Bankstown City Lions 3-0 in New South Wales NPL 2 on May 2, 2026.

Goals: ? (34', 71', 76').