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Bangladesh W vs Chinese Taipei W — Friendlies Women 2026

Bangladesh W
Bangladesh W
FT
0 – 4
HT: 0 – 3
Chinese Taipei W
Chinese Taipei W
Su Yu-Hsuan 56'
S. Yuxuan 27', 12'
S. Xinyun 19'
5/31/2024Friendlies WomenFriendlies Women · Friendlies 2Bashundhara Kings Arena

Match Prediction

Statistical Prediction

Based on goals from last 11+ matches

Bangladesh W65%
×Draw20%
Chinese Taipei W15%
✓ Correct in 50 of 100 matches — 5 more than always backing the home side
Model
50.2%
Always home
44.5%

The model picks a winner (home or away) for each finished match using only pre-kickoff data, then checks it against the real result: 50.2% correct across 585,598 matches, vs 44.5% for always backing the home side.

Home picks 50.5% correct · Away picks 49.3% correct

Football matches only. Past performance is not indicative of future results.

Expected goals in this match

What is xG?

Every shot is scored 0–1 by how likely it is to be a goal from that spot — a chance in the middle of the box ≈ 0.4, a long shot from a tight angle ≈ 0.03, a penalty ≈ 0.76. Add them up over a match and that is the xG.

The scoreline can lie: you can win 1-0 on a fluke while creating half the chances. xG shows who was really closer to scoring — and over a season it predicts results better than goals alone.

Bangladesh W
2.16
Chinese Taipei W
0.93

Bangladesh W creates 132% more chances

Season form · 11 home / 15 away

creates per match

Bangladesh W
2.18
Chinese Taipei W
1.13

allows per match

Bangladesh W
0.73
Chinese Taipei W
2.13

finishing

Bangladesh W+0.00on par
Chinese Taipei W+0.00on par

Total goals

59%Over
  • Over59
  • Under41

3+ goals likely

Both teams score

54%Yes
  • Yes54
  • No46

Both teams likely to score

Score probability

Probability of each scoreline, %

Bangladesh W ↓

Chinese Taipei W →
0
1
2
3
4
0
0–05%
0–14%
0–22%
0–31%
0–40%
1
1–010%
1–19%
1–24%
1–31%
1–40%
2
2–011%
2–110%
2–25%
2–31%
2–40%
3
3–08%
3–17%
3–23%
3–31%
3–40%
4
4–04%
4–14%
4–22%
4–31%
4–40%

Most likely 2–0 (11%) · grid covers 94% of scorelines

More markets

Total goals

OverUnder0.5
95%5%1.5
81%19%2.5
59%41%3.5
37%63%4.5
19%81%

Double chance

Bangladesh W or draw
85%
Bangladesh W or Chinese Taipei W
80%
Draw or Chinese Taipei W
35%

Winning margin

Bangladesh W wins by 2+
41%
Chinese Taipei W wins by 2+
5%

Team goals

Bangladesh W 1+ goals
88%
Bangladesh W 2+ goals
63%
Bangladesh W 3+ goals
36%
Chinese Taipei W 1+ goals
61%
Chinese Taipei W 2+ goals
24%
Chinese Taipei W 3+ goals
7%

Draw no bet

Bangladesh W (draw refunded)
81%
Chinese Taipei W (draw refunded)
19%

Combos

Both score & 3+ goals
44%
Both score & under 3
9%

Model probabilities, not odds. For information only.

How is this calculated?

Every number below comes from this match — nothing is made up.

1

Recent form of each side

Bangladesh W at home — creates 2.18, concedes 0.73 · 11 matches

Chinese Taipei W away — creates 1.13, concedes 2.13 · 15 matches

⚑ Home and away form are counted separately — the home-field edge is already baked into these numbers.

2

Expected goals for this match

Bangladesh W attack 2.18 + Chinese Taipei W defence 2.13 → ÷2 → 2.16

Chinese Taipei W attack 1.13 + Bangladesh W defence 0.73 → ÷2 → 0.93

Each side's attack is blended with the other's defence, then averaged.

3

Chance of every scoreline

From those two numbers a Poisson distribution gives the probability of each exact score — the grid shown above.

4

The answer to "why 65%?"

Bangladesh W scores more
65%
level
20%
Chinese Taipei W scores more
15%

Bangladesh W at 65% is simply the biggest of the three — that is the pick.

What the model can't see

It reads only the stats of recent matches. It knows nothing about:

  • injuries & suspensions
  • the matchday lineup
  • motivation — cup, relegation, a title race
  • weather & pitch condition
  • in-game coaching decisions

So 65% does not mean "Bangladesh W will win" — it means "on the available stats, this is the most likely result."

Statistical model based on expected goals (xG). For informational purposes only.

Match Events

12'
S. Yuxuan
19'
S. Xinyun
27'
S. Yuxuan
56'
Su Yu-Hsuan

Probable lineups not yet announced

Starting lineups are usually confirmed ~1 hour before kickoff

Match Recap: Bangladesh W vs Chinese Taipei W

Chinese Taipei W beat Bangladesh W 4-0 in Friendlies Women on May 31, 2024.

Goals: S. Yuxuan (12', 27'), S. Xinyun (19'), Su Yu-Hsuan (56').

The match was played at Bashundhara Kings Arena in Dhaka.