Scoreo
FootballHockeyTennisBasketballVolleyballHandballBaseballRugbyMMAFormula 1

Bahrain W vs Saudi Arabia W — Friendlies Women 2026

Bahrain W
Bahrain W
FT
0 – 3
HT: 0 – 0
Saudi Arabia W
Saudi Arabia W
F. Mansour 79'
F. Khaled 57'
S. Tawfiq 54'
2/26/2026Friendlies WomenFriendlies Women · Friendly International Women

Match Prediction

Statistical Prediction

Based on goals from last 8+ matches

Bahrain W11%
×Draw18%
Saudi Arabia W72%
✓ Correct in 50 of 100 matches — 5 more than always backing the home side
Model
50.2%
Always home
44.5%

The model picks a winner (home or away) for each finished match using only pre-kickoff data, then checks it against the real result: 50.2% correct across 585,598 matches, vs 44.5% for always backing the home side.

Home picks 50.5% correct · Away picks 49.3% correct

Football matches only. Past performance is not indicative of future results.

Expected goals in this match

What is xG?

Every shot is scored 0–1 by how likely it is to be a goal from that spot — a chance in the middle of the box ≈ 0.4, a long shot from a tight angle ≈ 0.03, a penalty ≈ 0.76. Add them up over a match and that is the xG.

The scoreline can lie: you can win 1-0 on a fluke while creating half the chances. xG shows who was really closer to scoring — and over a season it predicts results better than goals alone.

Bahrain W
0.73
Saudi Arabia W
2.25

Saudi Arabia W creates 208% more chances

Season form · 8 home / 12 away

creates per match

Bahrain W
0.38
Saudi Arabia W
1.25

allows per match

Bahrain W
3.25
Saudi Arabia W
1.08

finishing

Bahrain W+0.00on par
Saudi Arabia W+0.00on par

Total goals

57%Over
  • Over57
  • Under43

3+ goals likely

Both teams score

54%No
  • No54
  • Yes46

One side may not score

Score probability

Probability of each scoreline, %

Bahrain W ↓

Saudi Arabia W →
0
1
2
3
4
0
0–05%
0–112%
0–213%
0–310%
0–45%
1
1–04%
1–18%
1–29%
1–37%
1–44%
2
2–01%
2–13%
2–23%
2–33%
2–41%
3
3–00%
3–11%
3–21%
3–31%
3–40%
4
4–00%
4–10%
4–20%
4–30%
4–40%

Most likely 0–2 (13%) · grid covers 93% of scorelines

More markets

Total goals

OverUnder0.5
95%5%1.5
80%20%2.5
57%43%3.5
34%66%4.5
17%83%

Double chance

Bahrain W or draw
28%
Bahrain W or Saudi Arabia W
82%
Draw or Saudi Arabia W
89%

Winning margin

Bahrain W wins by 2+
3%
Saudi Arabia W wins by 2+
48%

Team goals

Bahrain W 1+ goals
52%
Bahrain W 2+ goals
17%
Bahrain W 3+ goals
4%
Saudi Arabia W 1+ goals
89%
Saudi Arabia W 2+ goals
65%
Saudi Arabia W 3+ goals
39%

Draw no bet

Bahrain W (draw refunded)
13%
Saudi Arabia W (draw refunded)
87%

Combos

Both score & 3+ goals
38%
Both score & under 3
8%

Model probabilities, not odds. For information only.

How is this calculated?

Every number below comes from this match — nothing is made up.

1

Recent form of each side

Bahrain W at home — creates 0.38, concedes 3.25 · 8 matches

Saudi Arabia W away — creates 1.25, concedes 1.08 · 12 matches

⚑ Home and away form are counted separately — the home-field edge is already baked into these numbers.

2

Expected goals for this match

Bahrain W attack 0.38 + Saudi Arabia W defence 1.08 → ÷2 → 0.73

Saudi Arabia W attack 1.25 + Bahrain W defence 3.25 → ÷2 → 2.25

Each side's attack is blended with the other's defence, then averaged.

3

Chance of every scoreline

From those two numbers a Poisson distribution gives the probability of each exact score — the grid shown above.

4

The answer to "why 72%?"

Bahrain W scores more
11%
level
18%
Saudi Arabia W scores more
72%

Saudi Arabia W at 72% is simply the biggest of the three — that is the pick.

What the model can't see

It reads only the stats of recent matches. It knows nothing about:

  • injuries & suspensions
  • the matchday lineup
  • motivation — cup, relegation, a title race
  • weather & pitch condition
  • in-game coaching decisions

So 72% does not mean "Saudi Arabia W will win" — it means "on the available stats, this is the most likely result."

Statistical model based on expected goals (xG). For informational purposes only.

Match Events

54'
S. Tawfiq
57'
F. Khaled
79'
F. Mansour

Probable lineups not yet announced

Starting lineups are usually confirmed ~1 hour before kickoff

Friendlies Women: Bahrain W 0–3 Saudi Arabia W

Saudi Arabia W beat Bahrain W 3-0 in Friendlies Women on February 26, 2026.

Goals: S. Tawfiq (54'), F. Khaled (57'), F. Mansour (79').