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Bad Schallerbach vs WSPG Wels — Friendlies Clubs 2026

Bad Schallerbach
Bad Schallerbach
FT
2 – 1
HT: 1 – 1
WSPG Wels
WSPG Wels
7/8/2026Friendlies ClubsFriendlies Clubs · Club Friendly

Match Prediction

Statistical Prediction

Based on goals from last 5+ matches

Bad Schallerbach35%
×Draw23%
WSPG Wels42%
✓ Correct in 50 of 100 matches — 5 more than always backing the home side
Model
50.3%
Always home
44.6%

The model picks a winner (home or away) for each finished match using only pre-kickoff data, then checks it against the real result: 50.3% correct across 577,253 matches, vs 44.6% for always backing the home side.

Home picks 50.6% correct · Away picks 49.3% correct

Football matches only. Past performance is not indicative of future results.

Expected goals in this match

What is xG?

Every shot is scored 0–1 by how likely it is to be a goal from that spot — a chance in the middle of the box ≈ 0.4, a long shot from a tight angle ≈ 0.03, a penalty ≈ 0.76. Add them up over a match and that is the xG.

The scoreline can lie: you can win 1-0 on a fluke while creating half the chances. xG shows who was really closer to scoring — and over a season it predicts results better than goals alone.

Bad Schallerbach
1.55
WSPG Wels
1.70

WSPG Wels creates 10% more chances

Season form · 6 home / 5 away

creates per match

Bad Schallerbach
1.50
WSPG Wels
1.40

allows per match

Bad Schallerbach
2.00
WSPG Wels
1.60

finishing

Bad Schallerbach+0.00on par
WSPG Wels+0.00on par

Total goals

63%Over
  • Over63
  • Under37

3+ goals likely

Both teams score

64%Yes
  • Yes64
  • No36

Both teams likely to score

Score probability

Probability of each scoreline, %

Bad Schallerbach ↓

WSPG Wels →
0
1
2
3
4
0
0–04%
0–17%
0–26%
0–33%
0–41%
1
1–06%
1–110%
1–29%
1–35%
1–42%
2
2–05%
2–18%
2–27%
2–34%
2–42%
3
3–02%
3–14%
3–23%
3–32%
3–41%
4
4–01%
4–12%
4–21%
4–31%
4–40%

Most likely 1–1 (10%) · grid covers 95% of scorelines

More markets

Total goals

OverUnder0.5
96%4%1.5
83%17%2.5
63%37%3.5
41%59%4.5
23%77%

Double chance

Bad Schallerbach or draw
58%
Bad Schallerbach or WSPG Wels
77%
Draw or WSPG Wels
65%

Winning margin

Bad Schallerbach wins by 2+
17%
WSPG Wels wins by 2+
21%

Team goals

Bad Schallerbach 1+ goals
79%
Bad Schallerbach 2+ goals
46%
Bad Schallerbach 3+ goals
20%
WSPG Wels 1+ goals
82%
WSPG Wels 2+ goals
51%
WSPG Wels 3+ goals
24%

Draw no bet

Bad Schallerbach (draw refunded)
46%
WSPG Wels (draw refunded)
54%

Combos

Both score & 3+ goals
54%
Both score & under 3
10%

Model probabilities, not odds. For information only.

How is this calculated?

Every number below comes from this match — nothing is made up.

1

Recent form of each side

Bad Schallerbach at home — creates 1.50, concedes 2.00 · 6 matches

WSPG Wels away — creates 1.40, concedes 1.60 · 5 matches

⚑ Home and away form are counted separately — the home-field edge is already baked into these numbers.

2

Expected goals for this match

Bad Schallerbach attack 1.50 + WSPG Wels defence 1.60 → ÷2 → 1.55

WSPG Wels attack 1.40 + Bad Schallerbach defence 2.00 → ÷2 → 1.70

Each side's attack is blended with the other's defence, then averaged.

3

Chance of every scoreline

From those two numbers a Poisson distribution gives the probability of each exact score — the grid shown above.

4

The answer to "why 42%?"

Bad Schallerbach scores more
35%
level
23%
WSPG Wels scores more
42%

WSPG Wels at 42% is simply the biggest of the three — that is the pick.

What the model can't see

It reads only the stats of recent matches. It knows nothing about:

  • injuries & suspensions
  • the matchday lineup
  • motivation — cup, relegation, a title race
  • weather & pitch condition
  • in-game coaching decisions

So 42% does not mean "WSPG Wels will win" — it means "on the available stats, this is the most likely result."

Statistical model based on expected goals (xG). For informational purposes only.

Bad
WSPG
E. Renner
Manager: E. Renner
Christian Heinle
Manager: Christian Heinle

Friendlies Clubs: Bad Schallerbach 2–1 WSPG Wels

Bad Schallerbach beat WSPG Wels 2-1 in Friendlies Clubs on July 8, 2026.