B36 Torshavn 1–2 EB / Streymur: Result & Stats

B36 Torshavn

FT

1 – 2

HT: 0 – 1

EB / Streymur

Mattias Johnnyson Hellisdal 85'

B. Dabo 55', 36'

5/3/2025

Meistaradeildin · Round 8Gundadalur

Match Prediction

Statistical Prediction

Based on goals from last 102+ matches

B36 Torshavn60%

×Draw21%

EB / Streymur19%

✓ Correct in 50 of 100 matches — 6 more than always backing the home side

Model

49.7%

Always home

44.3%

The model picks a winner (home or away) for each finished match using only pre-kickoff data, then checks it against the real result: 49.7% correct across 106,786 matches, vs 44.3% for always backing the home side.

Home picks 50.7% correct · Away picks 47.3% correct

Football matches only. Past performance is not indicative of future results.

B36 TorshavnExpected goals in this matchEB / Streymur

Expected goals in this match

What is xG?

Every shot is scored 0–1 by how likely it is to be a goal from that spot — a chance in the middle of the box ≈ 0.4, a long shot from a tight angle ≈ 0.03, a penalty ≈ 0.76. Add them up over a match and that is the xG.

The scoreline can lie: you can win 1-0 on a fluke while creating half the chances. xG shows who was really closer to scoring — and over a season it predicts results better than goals alone.

2.06

1.08

B36 Torshavn

2.06

EB / Streymur

1.08

B36 Torshavn creates 91% more chances

Season form · 103 home / 102 away

2.01

creates per match

1.01

1.16

allows per match

2.11

creates per match

B36 Torshavn

2.01

EB / Streymur

1.01

allows per match

B36 Torshavn

1.16

EB / Streymur

2.11

+0.00on par

finishing

+0.00on par

finishing

B36 Torshavn+0.00on par

EB / Streymur+0.00on par

Total goals

Over61
Under39

3+ goals likely

Both teams score

Yes58
No42

Both teams likely to score

Score probability

Probability of each scoreline, %

B36 Torshavn ↓

EB / Streymur →

0

1

2

3

4

0

0–04%

0–15%

0–23%

0–31%

0–40%

1

1–09%

1–110%

1–25%

1–32%

1–41%

2

2–09%

2–110%

2–25%

2–32%

2–41%

3

3–06%

3–17%

3–24%

3–31%

3–40%

4

4–03%

4–14%

4–22%

4–31%

4–40%

Most likely 1–1 (10%) · grid covers 94% of scorelines

More markets

Total goals

OverUnder0.5

96%4%1.5

82%18%2.5

61%39%3.5

38%62%4.5

20%80%

Double chance

B36 Torshavn or draw

81%

B36 Torshavn or EB / Streymur

79%

Draw or EB / Streymur

40%

Winning margin

B36 Torshavn wins by 2+

36%

EB / Streymur wins by 2+

7%

Team goals

B36 Torshavn 1+ goals

87%

B36 Torshavn 2+ goals

61%

B36 Torshavn 3+ goals

34%

EB / Streymur 1+ goals

66%

EB / Streymur 2+ goals

29%

EB / Streymur 3+ goals

10%

Draw no bet

B36 Torshavn (draw refunded)

76%

EB / Streymur (draw refunded)

24%

Combos

Both score & 3+ goals

48%

Both score & under 3

10%

Model probabilities, not odds. For information only.

How is this calculated?

Every number below comes from this match — nothing is made up.

1

Recent form of each side

B36 Torshavn at home — creates 2.01, concedes 1.16 · 103 matches

EB / Streymur away — creates 1.01, concedes 2.11 · 102 matches

⚑ Home and away form are counted separately — the home-field edge is already baked into these numbers.

2

Expected goals for this match

B36 Torshavn attack 2.01 + EB / Streymur defence 2.11 → ÷2 → 2.06

EB / Streymur attack 1.01 + B36 Torshavn defence 1.16 → ÷2 → 1.08

Each side's attack is blended with the other's defence, then averaged.

3

Chance of every scoreline

From those two numbers a Poisson distribution gives the probability of each exact score — the grid shown above.

4

The answer to "why 60%?"

B36 Torshavn scores more

60%

level

21%

EB / Streymur scores more

19%

B36 Torshavn at 60% is simply the biggest of the three — that is the pick.

What the model can't see

It reads only the stats of recent matches. It knows nothing about:

injuries & suspensions
the matchday lineup
motivation — cup, relegation, a title race
weather & pitch condition
in-game coaching decisions

So 60% does not mean "B36 Torshavn will win" — it means "on the available stats, this is the most likely result."

Statistical model based on expected goals (xG). For informational purposes only.

Match Events

10'

V. Jonsson

36'

B. Dabo

41'

F. Djordjevic

46'

B. Jakobsen← F. Đorđević

55'

B. Dabo

58'

M. Lindh

65'

B. Poulsen← S. Sólheim

65'

J. Gullfoss← R. Samuelsen

81'

J. Joensen← M. Lindh

82'

T. Miezan← B. Egilsson

85'

Mattias Johnnyson Hellisdal

86'

G. Dahl-Olsen← B. Dabo

90+6'

G. Dahl-Olsen

B36

EB

▼

⚽2

▼

▼

▼

⚽

▼

▼

Manager: J. Joensen

46'▲B. Jakobsen←▼F. Đorđević

65'▲B. Poulsen←▼S. Sólheim

65'▲J. Gullfoss←▼R. Samuelsen

81'▲J. Joensen←▼M. Lindh

B36 Torshavn substitutes

JakobsenPoulsenGullfossJoensenJørgensenHellisdalEliasen

Manager: S. Clementsen

82'▲T. Miezan←▼B. Egilsson

86'▲G. Dahl-Olsen←▼B. Dabo

EB / Streymur substitutes

MiezanDahl-OlsenBøEiðisgarðEliasenDanielsenPoulsen

Meistaradeildin: B36 Torshavn 1–2 EB / Streymur

EB / Streymur beat B36 Torshavn 2-1 in Meistaradeildin on May 3, 2025.

Goals: B. Dabo (36', 55'), Mattias Johnnyson Hellisdal (85').

The match was played at Gundadalur in Tórshavn, Streymoy.

B36 Torshavn vs EB / Streymur — Meistaradeildin 2019

Match Prediction

Statistical Prediction

Total goals

Both teams score

Match Events

Head to Head

Meistaradeildin: B36 Torshavn 1–2 EB / Streymur