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B36 Torshavn vs AB — Meistaradeildin 2019

B36 Torshavn
B36 Torshavn
Preview
18:00
AB
AB
7/28/2026MeistaradeildinMeistaradeildin · Round 18Gundadalur
Big match
67%
B36 Torshavn
model favours
67%18%15%

B36 Torshavn score first in only 23% of matches

brightest fact of this match

2–1
likely score
66%
over 2.5 goals
59%
both teams score

Match Prediction

Statistical Prediction

Based on goals from last 61+ matches

B36 Torshavn67%
×Draw18%
AB15%
✓ Correct in 50 of 100 matches — 5 more than always backing the home side
Model
50%
Always home
44.5%

The model picks a winner (home or away) for each finished match using only pre-kickoff data, then checks it against the real result: 50% correct across 580,715 matches, vs 44.5% for always backing the home side.

Home picks 50.3% correct · Away picks 48.9% correct

Football matches only. Past performance is not indicative of future results.

Expected goals in this match

What is xG?

Every shot is scored 0–1 by how likely it is to be a goal from that spot — a chance in the middle of the box ≈ 0.4, a long shot from a tight angle ≈ 0.03, a penalty ≈ 0.76. Add them up over a match and that is the xG.

The scoreline can lie: you can win 1-0 on a fluke while creating half the chances. xG shows who was really closer to scoring — and over a season it predicts results better than goals alone.

B36 Torshavn
2.37
AB
1.04

B36 Torshavn creates 128% more chances

Season form · 102 home / 61 away

creates per match

B36 Torshavn
2.01
AB
0.93

allows per match

B36 Torshavn
1.16
AB
2.72

finishing

B36 Torshavn+0.00on par
AB+0.00on par

Total goals

66%Over
  • Over66
  • Under34

3+ goals likely

Both teams score

59%Yes
  • Yes59
  • No41

Both teams likely to score

Score probability

Probability of each scoreline, %

B36 Torshavn ↓

AB →
0
1
2
3
4
0
0–03%
0–13%
0–22%
0–31%
0–40%
1
1–08%
1–18%
1–24%
1–31%
1–40%
2
2–09%
2–110%
2–25%
2–32%
2–40%
3
3–07%
3–18%
3–24%
3–31%
3–40%
4
4–04%
4–15%
4–22%
4–31%
4–40%

Most likely 2–1 (10%) · grid covers 91% of scorelines

More markets

Total goals

OverUnder0.5
97%3%1.5
85%15%2.5
66%34%3.5
44%56%4.5
25%75%

Double chance

B36 Torshavn or draw
85%
B36 Torshavn or AB
82%
Draw or AB
33%

Winning margin

B36 Torshavn wins by 2+
44%
AB wins by 2+
5%

Team goals

B36 Torshavn 1+ goals
91%
B36 Torshavn 2+ goals
68%
B36 Torshavn 3+ goals
42%
AB 1+ goals
65%
AB 2+ goals
28%
AB 3+ goals
9%

Draw no bet

B36 Torshavn (draw refunded)
81%
AB (draw refunded)
19%

Combos

Both score & 3+ goals
50%
Both score & under 3
8%

Model probabilities, not odds. For information only.

How is this calculated?

Every number below comes from this match — nothing is made up.

1

Recent form of each side

B36 Torshavn at home — creates 2.01, concedes 1.16 · 102 matches

AB away — creates 0.93, concedes 2.72 · 61 matches

⚑ Home and away form are counted separately — the home-field edge is already baked into these numbers.

2

Expected goals for this match

B36 Torshavn attack 2.01 + AB defence 2.72 → ÷2 → 2.37

AB attack 0.93 + B36 Torshavn defence 1.16 → ÷2 → 1.04

Each side's attack is blended with the other's defence, then averaged.

3

Chance of every scoreline

From those two numbers a Poisson distribution gives the probability of each exact score — the grid shown above.

4

The answer to "why 67%?"

B36 Torshavn scores more
67%
level
18%
AB scores more
15%

B36 Torshavn at 67% is simply the biggest of the three — that is the pick.

What the model can't see

It reads only the stats of recent matches. It knows nothing about:

  • injuries & suspensions
  • the matchday lineup
  • motivation — cup, relegation, a title race
  • weather & pitch condition
  • in-game coaching decisions

So 67% does not mean "B36 Torshavn will win" — it means "on the available stats, this is the most likely result."

Statistical model based on expected goals (xG). For informational purposes only.

Match Insights

  • AB score first in only 25% of matches
  • B36 Torshavn have won 8 of the last 10 meetings
  • 68% of B36 Torshavn’s matches go over 2.5 goals
  • AB win just 12% against the top half (vs 39% against the bottom)
  • Their last 10 meetings averaged 3.8 goals

Based on historical data — not a prediction.

Form
Torshavn
LDLLD
AB
LWLWW

Probable lineups not yet announced

Starting lineups are usually confirmed ~1 hour before kickoff

B36 Torshavn vs AB — Match Preview

B36 Torshavn face AB on July 28, 2026 in this Meistaradeildin fixture. Get live scores, lineups, and real-time match statistics here when the game starts.

B36 Torshavn host AB at Gundadalur.

Submit your prediction below — exact score, 1X2, total goals, and both teams to score. Earn XP for correct picks.