B 93 1–5 Esbjerg: Result & Stats | 1. Division

B 93

FT

1 – 5

HT: 1 – 3

Esbjerg

C. Bjork 45'

M. Brajanac 85'

J. Ankersen 69', 22'

A. Lausen 27'

L. From 6'

8/15/2025

1. Division · Round 5Osterbro Stadium

Match Prediction

Statistical Prediction

Based on goals from last 48+ matches

B 9333%

×Draw24%

Esbjerg42%

✓ Correct in 51 of 100 matches — 6 more than always backing the home side

Model

50.5%

Always home

44.6%

The model picks a winner (home or away) for each finished match using only pre-kickoff data, then checks it against the real result: 50.5% correct across 581,483 matches, vs 44.6% for always backing the home side.

Home picks 50.7% correct · Away picks 49.7% correct

Football matches only. Past performance is not indicative of future results.

B 93Expected goals in this matchEsbjerg

Expected goals in this match

What is xG?

Every shot is scored 0–1 by how likely it is to be a goal from that spot — a chance in the middle of the box ≈ 0.4, a long shot from a tight angle ≈ 0.03, a penalty ≈ 0.76. Add them up over a match and that is the xG.

The scoreline can lie: you can win 1-0 on a fluke while creating half the chances. xG shows who was really closer to scoring — and over a season it predicts results better than goals alone.

1.39

1.59

B 93

1.39

Esbjerg

1.59

Esbjerg creates 14% more chances

Season form · 48 home / 66 away

1.19

creates per match

1.38

1.81

allows per match

1.58

creates per match

B 93

1.19

Esbjerg

1.38

allows per match

B 93

1.81

Esbjerg

1.58

+0.00on par

finishing

+0.00on par

finishing

B 93+0.00on par

Esbjerg+0.00on par

Total goals

Over57
Under43

3+ goals likely

Both teams score

Yes60
No40

Both teams likely to score

Score probability

Probability of each scoreline, %

B 93 ↓

Esbjerg →

0

1

2

3

4

0

0–05%

0–18%

0–26%

0–33%

0–41%

1

1–07%

1–111%

1–29%

1–35%

1–42%

2

2–05%

2–18%

2–26%

2–33%

2–41%

3

3–02%

3–14%

3–23%

3–32%

3–41%

4

4–01%

4–11%

4–21%

4–31%

4–40%

Most likely 1–1 (11%) · grid covers 97% of scorelines

More markets

Total goals

OverUnder0.5

95%5%1.5

80%20%2.5

57%43%3.5

35%65%4.5

18%82%

Double chance

B 93 or draw

58%

B 93 or Esbjerg

76%

Draw or Esbjerg

67%

Winning margin

B 93 wins by 2+

15%

Esbjerg wins by 2+

21%

Team goals

B 93 1+ goals

75%

B 93 2+ goals

40%

B 93 3+ goals

16%

Esbjerg 1+ goals

80%

Esbjerg 2+ goals

47%

Esbjerg 3+ goals

21%

Draw no bet

B 93 (draw refunded)

44%

Esbjerg (draw refunded)

56%

Combos

Both score & 3+ goals

49%

Both score & under 3

11%

Model probabilities, not odds. For information only.

How is this calculated?

Every number below comes from this match — nothing is made up.

1

Recent form of each side

B 93 at home — creates 1.19, concedes 1.81 · 48 matches

Esbjerg away — creates 1.38, concedes 1.58 · 66 matches

⚑ Home and away form are counted separately — the home-field edge is already baked into these numbers.

2

Expected goals for this match

B 93 attack 1.19 + Esbjerg defence 1.58 → ÷2 → 1.39

Esbjerg attack 1.38 + B 93 defence 1.81 → ÷2 → 1.59

Each side's attack is blended with the other's defence, then averaged.

3

Chance of every scoreline

From those two numbers a Poisson distribution gives the probability of each exact score — the grid shown above.

4

The answer to "why 42%?"

B 93 scores more

33%

level

24%

Esbjerg scores more

42%

Esbjerg at 42% is simply the biggest of the three — that is the pick.

What the model can't see

It reads only the stats of recent matches. It knows nothing about:

injuries & suspensions
the matchday lineup
motivation — cup, relegation, a title race
weather & pitch condition
in-game coaching decisions

So 42% does not mean "Esbjerg will win" — it means "on the available stats, this is the most likely result."

Statistical model based on expected goals (xG). For informational purposes only.

Match Events

6'

L. From↳ P. Bjur

22'

27'

29'

45'

46'

K. Grabovskis← F. Isaki

53'

P. Bjur

63'

R. Arabaci← A. Ahmad

63'

V. Hammershoy-Mistrati← N. Thomsen

64'

M. Maden← A. Lausen

67'

A. Skipper

69'

J. Ankersen

70'

P. Tjornelund← A. Skipper

70'

M. Hansen← J. Lucena

70'

M. Brajanac← J. Ankersen

75'

M. Wohlgemuth

76'

J. Voldby← E. Christensen

78'

B. Baldursson← L. Vigen

82'

Y. Belhadj← O. Addo

85'

M. Brajanac↳ L. From

B

Esbjerg

16

Kristense

2

Buus

19

Strand

12

⚽

▼

Lausen

3

▼

Skipper

5

Troelsen

11

A

Bjur

6

▼

Vigen

9

⚽2

▼

Ankersen

7

⚽A

From

17

▼

1

2

3

6

5

▼

Christens

20

A

Heimer

14

▼

Ahmad

27

▼

Thomsen

15

⚽

Bjork

18

▼

Isaki

10

▼

Addo

Manager: Kasper Wellemberg Lorentzen

46'▲K. Grabovskis←▼F. Isaki

63'▲R. Arabaci←▼A. Ahmad

63'▲V. Hammershoy-Mistrati←▼N. Thomsen

76'▲J. Voldby←▼E. Christensen

82'▲Y. Belhadj←▼O. Addo

B 93 substitutes

4Soe8Grabovskis9Voldby12Huzaifa16Blidegn28Arabaci30Hammershoy-Mistrati31Ibsen32Belhadj

Manager: Sancheev Manoharan

64'▲M. Maden←▼A. Lausen

70'▲P. Tjornelund←▼A. Skipper

70'▲M. Hansen←▼J. Lucena

70'▲M. Brajanac←▼J. Ankersen

78'▲B. Baldursson←▼L. Vigen

Esbjerg substitutes

1Gadegaard4Tjornelund8Maden15Stagaard18Hansen27Baldursson32Blicher39Strandby80Brajanac

Match Recap: B 93 vs Esbjerg

Esbjerg beat B 93 5-1 in 1. Division on August 15, 2025.

Goals: L. From (6'), J. Ankersen (22', 69'), A. Lausen (27'), C. Bjork (45'), M. Brajanac (85').

The match was played at Osterbro Stadium in Copenhagen.

B 93 vs Esbjerg — 1. Division 2018

Match Prediction

Statistical Prediction

Total goals

Both teams score

Match Events

Head to Head

Match Recap: B 93 vs Esbjerg