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B 93 vs Brønshøj — Friendlies Clubs 2026

B 93
B 93
FT
1 – 2
HT: 0 – 2
Brønshøj
Brønshøj
M. Mouritz 78'
M. Krogh Hansen 35', 6'
2/15/2025Friendlies ClubsFriendlies Clubs · Club Friendlies 3Sundby Idrætspark Kunst

Match Prediction

Statistical Prediction

Based on goals from last 9+ matches

B 9358%
×Draw21%
Brønshøj21%
✓ Correct in 50 of 100 matches — 5 more than always backing the home side
Model
50.2%
Always home
44.6%

The model picks a winner (home or away) for each finished match using only pre-kickoff data, then checks it against the real result: 50.2% correct across 582,215 matches, vs 44.6% for always backing the home side.

Home picks 50.5% correct · Away picks 49.3% correct

Football matches only. Past performance is not indicative of future results.

Expected goals in this match

What is xG?

Every shot is scored 0–1 by how likely it is to be a goal from that spot — a chance in the middle of the box ≈ 0.4, a long shot from a tight angle ≈ 0.03, a penalty ≈ 0.76. Add them up over a match and that is the xG.

The scoreline can lie: you can win 1-0 on a fluke while creating half the chances. xG shows who was really closer to scoring — and over a season it predicts results better than goals alone.

B 93
2.06
Brønshøj
1.17

B 93 creates 76% more chances

Season form · 13 home / 9 away

creates per match

B 93
2.69
Brønshøj
1.33

allows per match

B 93
1.00
Brønshøj
1.44

finishing

B 93+0.00on par
Brønshøj+0.00on par

Total goals

62%Over
  • Over62
  • Under38

3+ goals likely

Both teams score

60%Yes
  • Yes60
  • No40

Both teams likely to score

Score probability

Probability of each scoreline, %

B 93 ↓

Brønshøj →
0
1
2
3
4
0
0–04%
0–15%
0–23%
0–31%
0–40%
1
1–08%
1–110%
1–26%
1–32%
1–41%
2
2–08%
2–110%
2–26%
2–32%
2–41%
3
3–06%
3–17%
3–24%
3–32%
3–40%
4
4–03%
4–13%
4–22%
4–31%
4–40%

Most likely 1–1 (10%) · grid covers 94% of scorelines

More markets

Total goals

OverUnder0.5
96%4%1.5
83%17%2.5
62%38%3.5
40%60%4.5
22%78%

Double chance

B 93 or draw
79%
B 93 or Brønshøj
79%
Draw or Brønshøj
42%

Winning margin

B 93 wins by 2+
35%
Brønshøj wins by 2+
8%

Team goals

B 93 1+ goals
87%
B 93 2+ goals
61%
B 93 3+ goals
34%
Brønshøj 1+ goals
69%
Brønshøj 2+ goals
33%
Brønshøj 3+ goals
11%

Draw no bet

B 93 (draw refunded)
73%
Brønshøj (draw refunded)
27%

Combos

Both score & 3+ goals
51%
Both score & under 3
10%

Model probabilities, not odds. For information only.

How is this calculated?

Every number below comes from this match — nothing is made up.

1

Recent form of each side

B 93 at home — creates 2.69, concedes 1.00 · 13 matches

Brønshøj away — creates 1.33, concedes 1.44 · 9 matches

⚑ Home and away form are counted separately — the home-field edge is already baked into these numbers.

2

Expected goals for this match

B 93 attack 2.69 + Brønshøj defence 1.44 → ÷2 → 2.06

Brønshøj attack 1.33 + B 93 defence 1.00 → ÷2 → 1.17

Each side's attack is blended with the other's defence, then averaged.

3

Chance of every scoreline

From those two numbers a Poisson distribution gives the probability of each exact score — the grid shown above.

4

The answer to "why 58%?"

B 93 scores more
58%
level
21%
Brønshøj scores more
21%

B 93 at 58% is simply the biggest of the three — that is the pick.

What the model can't see

It reads only the stats of recent matches. It knows nothing about:

  • injuries & suspensions
  • the matchday lineup
  • motivation — cup, relegation, a title race
  • weather & pitch condition
  • in-game coaching decisions

So 58% does not mean "B 93 will win" — it means "on the available stats, this is the most likely result."

Statistical model based on expected goals (xG). For informational purposes only.

Match Events

6'
M. Krogh Hansen
35'
M. Krogh Hansen
78'
M. Mouritz
B
Brønshøj
Kasper Wellemberg Lorentzen
Manager: Kasper Wellemberg Lorentzen
B. Holden
Manager: B. Holden

Match Recap: B 93 vs Brønshøj

Brønshøj beat B 93 2-1 in Friendlies Clubs on February 15, 2025.

Goals: M. Krogh Hansen (6', 35'), M. Mouritz (78').

The match was played at Sundby Idrætspark Kunst in København.