Scoreo

Statistical Prediction

Based on goals from last 16+ matches

AZ 54%Draw 21%26% Excelsior
2.19Expected xG1.47

Over / Under 2.5

71%

Over

29%

Under

Both Score

68%

Yes

32%

No

Most Likely Scores

2-1

9%

1-1

8%

2-2

7%

xG Profile (16 home / 16 away matches)

AZ Alkmaar

xG 2.13 · xGA 1.69

+0 vs xG

Excelsior

xG 1.25 · xGA 2.25

+0 vs xG

Statistical model based on expected goals (xG). For informational purposes only.

AZ Alkmaar vs ExcelsiorEredivisie 2026

EredivisieEredivisie·2026📍AFAS Stadion
AZ Alkmaar
AZ Alkmaar
FT
11
HT: 00
Excelsior
Excelsior
Date
Jan 21, 2026, 5:45 PM
Tournament
Eredivisie · Regular Season - 16
Referee
A. Bos
Venue
AFAS Stadion, Alkmaar

Season form

Both teams' recent trends — not a prediction for this match.

AZ Alkmaar

Over / Under 2.5

65%over 2.5
  • Over 2.52665%
  • Under 2.51435%

Both teams scored

68%BTTS
  • Yes2768%
  • No1333%

Excelsior

Over / Under 2.5

61%over 2.5
  • Over 2.52361%
  • Under 2.51539%

Both teams scored

55%BTTS
  • Yes2155%
  • No1745%

Probable lineups not yet announced

Starting lineups are usually confirmed ~1 hour before kickoff

Match Recap: AZ Alkmaar vs Excelsior

AZ Alkmaar and Excelsior drew 1-1 in Eredivisie on January 21, 2026.

The match was played at AFAS Stadion in Alkmaar.