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Statistical Prediction

Based on xG from last 17+ matches

Auxerre 34%Draw 26%40% Lille
1.25Expected xG1.38

Over / Under 2.5

49%

Over

51%

Under

Both Score

53%

Yes

47%

No

Most Likely Scores

1-1

12%

0-1

10%

1-0

9%

xG Profile (17 home / 17 away matches)

Auxerre

xG 1.23 · xGA 1.24

-0.17 vs xG

Lille

xG 1.51 · xGA 1.26

+0.14 vs xG

Statistical model based on expected goals (xG). For informational purposes only.

Auxerre vs Lille — Ligue 1 2026

Ligue 1Ligue 1·2026📍Stade de l'Abbé Deschamps
Auxerre
Auxerre
FT
3 – 4
HT: 0 – 1
Lille
Lille
L. Sinayoko 83' (pen), 57'
C. Mbemba 66' (OG)
B. Andre 86'
S. Diaoune 80'
N. Bentaleb 77'
H. Haraldsson 9'
Date
Dec 14, 2025, 4:15 PM
Tournament
Ligue 1 · Ligue 1 · Regular Season - 16
Referee
J. Pignard
Venue
Stade de l'Abbé Deschamps, Auxerre

Season form

Both teams' recent trends — not a prediction for this match.

Auxerre

Over / Under 2.5

46%over 2.5
  • Over 2.51646%
  • Under 2.51954%

Both teams scored

43%BTTS
  • Yes1543%
  • No2057%

Lille

Over / Under 2.5

38%over 2.5
  • Over 2.51838%
  • Under 2.52962%

Both teams scored

36%BTTS
  • Yes1736%
  • No3064%

Match Events

9'
H. Haraldsson
17'
Josué Casimir
38'
Nathan Ngoy
46'
S. Mara← R. Matondo
46'
C. Mbemba← O. Sahraoui
49'
Clement Akpa
50'
Aïssa Mandi
57'
L. Sinayoko↳ K. Danois
60'
Clement Akpa
60'
Clement Akpa
63'
A. Diousse← J. Casimir
66'
C. MbembaOwn goal
75'
T. Santos← T. Meunier
75'
F. Correia← H. Haraldsson
75'
S. Diaoune← O. Giroud
77'
N. Bentaleb
80'
S. Diaoune
81'
G. Mensah← F. Oppegard
82'
Félix Correia
83'
L. SinayokoPenalty
84'
N. Mukau← E. Mbappe
86'
B. Andre↳ R. Perraud
88'
Kévin Danois
88'
Oussama El Azzouzi
88'
Romain Perraud
90+3'
Lasso Coulibaly
90'
L. Coulibaly← K. Danois

Possession

45%Auxerre

Shots

18Auxerre

Pass accuracy

51%Auxerre

Statistics

AuxerreLille
Overview
45%Possession55%
18Total Shots8
2.97Expected Goals (xG)0.52
10Corners3
21Fouls10
Shots
18Total Shots8
8On Target5
5Off Target1
5Blocked2
13Inside Box4
5Outside Box4
Passing
45%Possession55%
350Total Passes449
300Accurate Passes376
86%Pass Accuracy84%
Goalkeeping
1Saves6
-0.23Goals Prevented-0.23
Discipline
21Fouls10
5Yellow Cards2
2Red Cards2

Match Recap: Auxerre vs Lille

Lille beat Auxerre 4-3 in Ligue 1 on December 14, 2025.

Goals: H. Haraldsson (9'), L. Sinayoko (57', 83' pen), C. Mbemba (66' o.g.), N. Bentaleb (77'), S. Diaoune (80'), B. Andre (86').

Lille controlled possession (55%) and registered 8 shots to 18.

The match was played at Stade de l'Abbé Deschamps in Auxerre.