Austria Vienna (Am) 3–1 Wiener SC: Result & Stats

Austria Vienna (Am)

FT

3 – 1

HT: 1 – 0

Wiener SC

1/23/2026

Friendlies Clubs · Club Friendly

Match Prediction

Statistical Prediction

Based on goals from last 5+ matches

Austria Vienna (Am)62%

×Draw17%

Wiener SC21%

✓ Correct in 50 of 100 matches — 5 more than always backing the home side

Model

50.3%

Always home

44.5%

The model picks a winner (home or away) for each finished match using only pre-kickoff data, then checks it against the real result: 50.3% correct across 582,450 matches, vs 44.5% for always backing the home side.

Home picks 50.5% correct · Away picks 49.5% correct

Football matches only. Past performance is not indicative of future results.

Austria Vienna (Am)Expected goals in this matchWiener SC

Expected goals in this match

What is xG?

Every shot is scored 0–1 by how likely it is to be a goal from that spot — a chance in the middle of the box ≈ 0.4, a long shot from a tight angle ≈ 0.03, a penalty ≈ 0.76. Add them up over a match and that is the xG.

The scoreline can lie: you can win 1-0 on a fluke while creating half the chances. xG shows who was really closer to scoring — and over a season it predicts results better than goals alone.

3.04

1.77

Austria Vienna (Am)

3.04

Wiener SC

1.77

Austria Vienna (Am) creates 72% more chances

Season form · 7 home / 5 away

3.29

creates per match

2.40

1.14

allows per match

2.80

creates per match

Austria Vienna (Am)

3.29

Wiener SC

2.40

allows per match

Austria Vienna (Am)

1.14

Wiener SC

2.80

+0.00on par

finishing

+0.00on par

finishing

Austria Vienna (Am)+0.00on par

Wiener SC+0.00on par

Total goals

Over85
Under15

3+ goals likely

Both teams score

Yes79
No21

Both teams likely to score

Score probability

Probability of each scoreline, %

Austria Vienna (Am) ↓

Wiener SC →

0

1

2

3

4

0

0–01%

0–11%

0–21%

0–31%

0–40%

1

1–03%

1–15%

1–24%

1–32%

1–41%

2

2–04%

2–17%

2–26%

2–34%

2–42%

3

3–04%

3–17%

3–26%

3–34%

3–42%

4

4–03%

4–15%

4–25%

4–33%

4–41%

Most likely 2–1 (7%) · grid covers 81% of scorelines

More markets

Total goals

OverUnder0.5

99%1%1.5

95%5%2.5

85%15%3.5

70%30%4.5

51%49%

Double chance

Austria Vienna (Am) or draw

79%

Austria Vienna (Am) or Wiener SC

83%

Draw or Wiener SC

38%

Winning margin

Austria Vienna (Am) wins by 2+

43%

Wiener SC wins by 2+

10%

Team goals

Austria Vienna (Am) 1+ goals

95%

Austria Vienna (Am) 2+ goals

80%

Austria Vienna (Am) 3+ goals

57%

Wiener SC 1+ goals

83%

Wiener SC 2+ goals

53%

Wiener SC 3+ goals

26%

Draw no bet

Austria Vienna (Am) (draw refunded)

75%

Wiener SC (draw refunded)

25%

Combos

Both score & 3+ goals

74%

Both score & under 3

5%

Model probabilities, not odds. For information only.

How is this calculated?

Every number below comes from this match — nothing is made up.

1

Recent form of each side

Austria Vienna (Am) at home — creates 3.29, concedes 1.14 · 7 matches

Wiener SC away — creates 2.40, concedes 2.80 · 5 matches

⚑ Home and away form are counted separately — the home-field edge is already baked into these numbers.

2

Expected goals for this match

Austria Vienna (Am) attack 3.29 + Wiener SC defence 2.80 → ÷2 → 3.04

Wiener SC attack 2.40 + Austria Vienna (Am) defence 1.14 → ÷2 → 1.77

Each side's attack is blended with the other's defence, then averaged.

3

Chance of every scoreline

From those two numbers a Poisson distribution gives the probability of each exact score — the grid shown above.

4

The answer to "why 62%?"

Austria Vienna (Am) scores more

62%

level

17%

Wiener SC scores more

21%

Austria Vienna (Am) at 62% is simply the biggest of the three — that is the pick.

What the model can't see

It reads only the stats of recent matches. It knows nothing about:

injuries & suspensions
the matchday lineup
motivation — cup, relegation, a title race
weather & pitch condition
in-game coaching decisions

So 62% does not mean "Austria Vienna (Am) will win" — it means "on the available stats, this is the most likely result."

Statistical model based on expected goals (xG). For informational purposes only.

Probable lineups not yet announced

Starting lineups are usually confirmed ~1 hour before kickoff