Austria U19 4–0 Bosnia-Herzegovina U19

Austria U19

FT

4 – 0

HT: 2 – 0

Bosnia-Herzegovina U19

D. Delic 88'

C. Wolbl 68'

H. Deshishku 13' (pen)

P. Krapf 9'

3/28/2026

UEFA U19 Championship - Qualification · Qualification - Round 1 - League A - 2

Match Prediction

Statistical Prediction

Based on goals from last 14+ matches

Austria U1960%

×Draw22%

Bosnia-Herzegovina U1918%

✓ Correct in 50 of 100 matches — 5 more than always backing the home side

Model

50.2%

Always home

44.5%

The model picks a winner (home or away) for each finished match using only pre-kickoff data, then checks it against the real result: 50.2% correct across 585,598 matches, vs 44.5% for always backing the home side.

Home picks 50.5% correct · Away picks 49.3% correct

Football matches only. Past performance is not indicative of future results.

Austria U19Expected goals in this matchBosnia-Herzegovina U19

Expected goals in this match

What is xG?

Every shot is scored 0–1 by how likely it is to be a goal from that spot — a chance in the middle of the box ≈ 0.4, a long shot from a tight angle ≈ 0.03, a penalty ≈ 0.76. Add them up over a match and that is the xG.

The scoreline can lie: you can win 1-0 on a fluke while creating half the chances. xG shows who was really closer to scoring — and over a season it predicts results better than goals alone.

1.89

0.93

Austria U19

1.89

Bosnia-Herzegovina U19

0.93

Austria U19 creates 103% more chances

Season form · 18 home / 14 away

2.06

creates per match

1.29

0.56

allows per match

1.71

creates per match

Austria U19

2.06

Bosnia-Herzegovina U19

1.29

allows per match

Austria U19

0.56

Bosnia-Herzegovina U19

1.71

+0.00on par

finishing

+0.00on par

finishing

Austria U19+0.00on par

Bosnia-Herzegovina U19+0.00on par

Total goals

Over53
Under47

3+ goals likely

Both teams score

Yes51
No49

Close call

Score probability

Probability of each scoreline, %

Austria U19 ↓

Bosnia-Herzegovina U19 →

0

1

2

3

4

0

0–06%

0–16%

0–23%

0–31%

0–40%

1

1–011%

1–111%

1–25%

1–32%

1–40%

2

2–011%

2–110%

2–25%

2–31%

2–40%

3

3–07%

3–16%

3–23%

3–31%

3–40%

4

4–03%

4–13%

4–21%

4–30%

4–40%

Most likely 1–0 (11%) · grid covers 96% of scorelines

More markets

Total goals

OverUnder0.5

94%6%1.5

77%23%2.5

53%47%3.5

31%69%4.5

15%85%

Double chance

Austria U19 or draw

82%

Austria U19 or Bosnia-Herzegovina U19

78%

Draw or Bosnia-Herzegovina U19

40%

Winning margin

Austria U19 wins by 2+

35%

Bosnia-Herzegovina U19 wins by 2+

6%

Team goals

Austria U19 1+ goals

85%

Austria U19 2+ goals

56%

Austria U19 3+ goals

29%

Bosnia-Herzegovina U19 1+ goals

61%

Bosnia-Herzegovina U19 2+ goals

24%

Bosnia-Herzegovina U19 3+ goals

7%

Draw no bet

Austria U19 (draw refunded)

77%

Bosnia-Herzegovina U19 (draw refunded)

23%

Combos

Both score & 3+ goals

41%

Both score & under 3

11%

Model probabilities, not odds. For information only.

How is this calculated?

Every number below comes from this match — nothing is made up.

1

Recent form of each side

Austria U19 at home — creates 2.06, concedes 0.56 · 18 matches

Bosnia-Herzegovina U19 away — creates 1.29, concedes 1.71 · 14 matches

⚑ Home and away form are counted separately — the home-field edge is already baked into these numbers.

2

Expected goals for this match

Austria U19 attack 2.06 + Bosnia-Herzegovina U19 defence 1.71 → ÷2 → 1.89

Bosnia-Herzegovina U19 attack 1.29 + Austria U19 defence 0.56 → ÷2 → 0.93

Each side's attack is blended with the other's defence, then averaged.

3

Chance of every scoreline

From those two numbers a Poisson distribution gives the probability of each exact score — the grid shown above.

4

The answer to "why 60%?"

Austria U19 scores more

60%

level

22%

Bosnia-Herzegovina U19 scores more

18%

Austria U19 at 60% is simply the biggest of the three — that is the pick.

What the model can't see

It reads only the stats of recent matches. It knows nothing about:

injuries & suspensions
the matchday lineup
motivation — cup, relegation, a title race
weather & pitch condition
in-game coaching decisions

So 60% does not mean "Austria U19 will win" — it means "on the available stats, this is the most likely result."

Statistical model based on expected goals (xG). For informational purposes only.

Match Events

9'

P. Krapf

13'

H. DeshishkuPenalty

46'

A. Mehmedovic← B. Dimitric

46'

A. Sunjic← I. Jelic

46'

L. Vulin← R. Telalovic

55'

J. Werner← M. Matosevic

55'

T. Ekereokosu← P. Krapf

61'

D. Delic← N. Jozepovic

62'

C. Wolbl← H. Deshishku

62'

S. Nisic← L. Oroz

62'

T. Cirak← A. Rascic

68'

C. Wolbl↳ F. Hofmann

77'

E. Ganser← N. Masching

88'

D. Delic↳ F. Hofmann

Austria

Bosnia-Herzegovina

1

Banjic

16

▼

6

5

2

8

10

▼

Telalovic

7

▼

Dimitric

17

Dragovic

3

▼

Jelic

15

▼

21

5

4

16

▼

Masching

20

A

Hofmann

2

Feldinger

18

Weinhandl

8

▼

Matosevic

7

▼

Jozepovic

17

⚽

▼

Krapf

9

⚽

▼

Deshishku

Manager: O. Lederer

55'▲J. Werner←▼M. Matosevic

55'▲T. Ekereokosu←▼P. Krapf

61'▲D. Delic←▼N. Jozepovic

62'▲C. Wolbl←▼H. Deshishku

77'▲E. Ganser←▼N. Masching

Austria U19 substitutes

1Scharner3Ganser6Glitia11Werner12Wolbl13Morgenstern14Ekereokosu15Halmich19Delic

Manager: D. Orlović

46'▲A. Mehmedovic←▼B. Dimitric

46'▲A. Sunjic←▼I. Jelic

46'▲L. Vulin←▼R. Telalovic

62'▲S. Nisic←▼L. Oroz

62'▲T. Cirak←▼A. Rascic

Bosnia-Herzegovina U19 substitutes

12Mujanic4Savic9Nisic11Mehmedovic13Baltic14Sunjic18Zulovic19Cirak20Vulin

Match Recap: Austria U19 vs Bosnia-Herzegovina U19

Austria U19 beat Bosnia-Herzegovina U19 4-0 in UEFA U19 Championship - Qualification on March 28, 2026.

Goals: P. Krapf (9'), H. Deshishku (13' pen), C. Wolbl (68'), D. Delic (88').

Austria U19 vs Bosnia-Herzegovina U19 — UEFA U19 Championship - Qualification 2022

Match Prediction

Statistical Prediction

Total goals

Both teams score

Match Events

Head to Head

Match Recap: Austria U19 vs Bosnia-Herzegovina U19