Attram de Visser 2–0 Great Ambitions

Attram de Visser

FT

2 – 0

HT: 0 – 0

Great Ambitions

11/14/2025

Division One League · Round 7

Match Prediction

Statistical Prediction

Based on goals from last 15+ matches

Attram de Visser64%

×Draw22%

Great Ambitions13%

✓ Correct in 50 of 100 matches — 6 more than always backing the home side

Model

49.7%

Always home

44.3%

The model picks a winner (home or away) for each finished match using only pre-kickoff data, then checks it against the real result: 49.7% correct across 106,786 matches, vs 44.3% for always backing the home side.

Home picks 50.7% correct · Away picks 47.3% correct

Football matches only. Past performance is not indicative of future results.

Attram de VisserExpected goals in this matchGreat Ambitions

Expected goals in this match

What is xG?

Every shot is scored 0–1 by how likely it is to be a goal from that spot — a chance in the middle of the box ≈ 0.4, a long shot from a tight angle ≈ 0.03, a penalty ≈ 0.76. Add them up over a match and that is the xG.

The scoreline can lie: you can win 1-0 on a fluke while creating half the chances. xG shows who was really closer to scoring — and over a season it predicts results better than goals alone.

1.80

0.67

Attram de Visser

1.80

Great Ambitions

0.67

Attram de Visser creates 169% more chances

Season form · 15 home / 15 away

1.33

creates per match

0.60

0.73

allows per match

2.27

creates per match

Attram de Visser

1.33

Great Ambitions

0.60

allows per match

Attram de Visser

0.73

Great Ambitions

2.27

+0.00on par

finishing

+0.00on par

finishing

Attram de Visser+0.00on par

Great Ambitions+0.00on par

Total goals

Under55
Over45

Fewer than 3 goals likely

Both teams score

No59
Yes41

One side may not score

Score probability

Probability of each scoreline, %

Attram de Visser ↓

Great Ambitions →

0

1

2

3

4

0

0–08%

0–16%

0–22%

0–30%

0–40%

1

1–015%

1–110%

1–23%

1–31%

1–40%

2

2–014%

2–19%

2–23%

2–31%

2–40%

3

3–08%

3–16%

3–22%

3–30%

3–40%

4

4–04%

4–12%

4–21%

4–30%

4–40%

Most likely 1–0 (15%) · grid covers 97% of scorelines

More markets

Total goals

OverUnder0.5

92%8%1.5

71%29%2.5

45%55%3.5

23%77%4.5

10%90%

Double chance

Attram de Visser or draw

87%

Attram de Visser or Great Ambitions

78%

Draw or Great Ambitions

36%

Winning margin

Attram de Visser wins by 2+

38%

Great Ambitions wins by 2+

3%

Team goals

Attram de Visser 1+ goals

83%

Attram de Visser 2+ goals

54%

Attram de Visser 3+ goals

27%

Great Ambitions 1+ goals

49%

Great Ambitions 2+ goals

15%

Great Ambitions 3+ goals

3%

Draw no bet

Attram de Visser (draw refunded)

83%

Great Ambitions (draw refunded)

17%

Combos

Both score & 3+ goals

31%

Both score & under 3

10%

Model probabilities, not odds. For information only.

How is this calculated?

Every number below comes from this match — nothing is made up.

1

Recent form of each side

Attram de Visser at home — creates 1.33, concedes 0.73 · 15 matches

Great Ambitions away — creates 0.60, concedes 2.27 · 15 matches

⚑ Home and away form are counted separately — the home-field edge is already baked into these numbers.

2

Expected goals for this match

Attram de Visser attack 1.33 + Great Ambitions defence 2.27 → ÷2 → 1.80

Great Ambitions attack 0.60 + Attram de Visser defence 0.73 → ÷2 → 0.67

Each side's attack is blended with the other's defence, then averaged.

3

Chance of every scoreline

From those two numbers a Poisson distribution gives the probability of each exact score — the grid shown above.

4

The answer to "why 64%?"

Attram de Visser scores more

64%

level

22%

Great Ambitions scores more

13%

Attram de Visser at 64% is simply the biggest of the three — that is the pick.

What the model can't see

It reads only the stats of recent matches. It knows nothing about:

injuries & suspensions
the matchday lineup
motivation — cup, relegation, a title race
weather & pitch condition
in-game coaching decisions

So 64% does not mean "Attram de Visser will win" — it means "on the available stats, this is the most likely result."

Statistical model based on expected goals (xG). For informational purposes only.

Probable lineups not yet announced

Starting lineups are usually confirmed ~1 hour before kickoff