Scoreo
FootballHockeyTennisBasketballVolleyballHandballBaseballRugbyMMAFormula 1

Atlético Mineiro U20 vs Futgol U20 — Mineiro U20 2026

Atlético Mineiro U20
Atlético Mineiro U20
FT
1 – 3
HT: 1 – 2
Futgol U20
Futgol U20
Unknown 17'
Unknown 52', 28', 11'
6/21/2025Mineiro U20Mineiro U20 · 1st Phase - 5Centro de Treinamento Cidade do Galo

Match Prediction

Statistical Prediction

Based on goals from last 15+ matches

Atlético Mineiro U2063%
×Draw18%
Futgol U2019%
✓ Correct in 51 of 100 matches — 6 more than always backing the home side
Model
50.5%
Always home
44.6%

The model picks a winner (home or away) for each finished match using only pre-kickoff data, then checks it against the real result: 50.5% correct across 581,483 matches, vs 44.6% for always backing the home side.

Home picks 50.7% correct · Away picks 49.7% correct

Football matches only. Past performance is not indicative of future results.

Expected goals in this match

What is xG?

Every shot is scored 0–1 by how likely it is to be a goal from that spot — a chance in the middle of the box ≈ 0.4, a long shot from a tight angle ≈ 0.03, a penalty ≈ 0.76. Add them up over a match and that is the xG.

The scoreline can lie: you can win 1-0 on a fluke while creating half the chances. xG shows who was really closer to scoring — and over a season it predicts results better than goals alone.

Atlético Mineiro U20
2.48
Futgol U20
1.30

Atlético Mineiro U20 creates 91% more chances

Season form · 25 home / 15 away

creates per match

Atlético Mineiro U20
2.96
Futgol U20
1.73

allows per match

Atlético Mineiro U20
0.88
Futgol U20
2.00

finishing

Atlético Mineiro U20+0.00on par
Futgol U20+0.00on par

Total goals

72%Over
  • Over72
  • Under28

3+ goals likely

Both teams score

67%Yes
  • Yes67
  • No33

Both teams likely to score

Score probability

Probability of each scoreline, %

Atlético Mineiro U20 ↓

Futgol U20 →
0
1
2
3
4
0
0–02%
0–13%
0–22%
0–31%
0–40%
1
1–06%
1–17%
1–25%
1–32%
1–41%
2
2–07%
2–19%
2–26%
2–33%
2–41%
3
3–06%
3–18%
3–25%
3–32%
3–41%
4
4–04%
4–15%
4–23%
4–31%
4–40%

Most likely 2–1 (9%) · grid covers 90% of scorelines

More markets

Total goals

OverUnder0.5
98%2%1.5
89%11%2.5
72%28%3.5
52%48%4.5
32%68%

Double chance

Atlético Mineiro U20 or draw
81%
Atlético Mineiro U20 or Futgol U20
82%
Draw or Futgol U20
37%

Winning margin

Atlético Mineiro U20 wins by 2+
41%
Futgol U20 wins by 2+
8%

Team goals

Atlético Mineiro U20 1+ goals
92%
Atlético Mineiro U20 2+ goals
70%
Atlético Mineiro U20 3+ goals
44%
Futgol U20 1+ goals
73%
Futgol U20 2+ goals
37%
Futgol U20 3+ goals
14%

Draw no bet

Atlético Mineiro U20 (draw refunded)
77%
Futgol U20 (draw refunded)
23%

Combos

Both score & 3+ goals
59%
Both score & under 3
7%

Model probabilities, not odds. For information only.

How is this calculated?

Every number below comes from this match — nothing is made up.

1

Recent form of each side

Atlético Mineiro U20 at home — creates 2.96, concedes 0.88 · 25 matches

Futgol U20 away — creates 1.73, concedes 2.00 · 15 matches

⚑ Home and away form are counted separately — the home-field edge is already baked into these numbers.

2

Expected goals for this match

Atlético Mineiro U20 attack 2.96 + Futgol U20 defence 2.00 → ÷2 → 2.48

Futgol U20 attack 1.73 + Atlético Mineiro U20 defence 0.88 → ÷2 → 1.30

Each side's attack is blended with the other's defence, then averaged.

3

Chance of every scoreline

From those two numbers a Poisson distribution gives the probability of each exact score — the grid shown above.

4

The answer to "why 63%?"

Atlético Mineiro U20 scores more
63%
level
18%
Futgol U20 scores more
19%

Atlético Mineiro U20 at 63% is simply the biggest of the three — that is the pick.

What the model can't see

It reads only the stats of recent matches. It knows nothing about:

  • injuries & suspensions
  • the matchday lineup
  • motivation — cup, relegation, a title race
  • weather & pitch condition
  • in-game coaching decisions

So 63% does not mean "Atlético Mineiro U20 will win" — it means "on the available stats, this is the most likely result."

Statistical model based on expected goals (xG). For informational purposes only.

Match Events

11'
17'
28'
52'

Probable lineups not yet announced

Starting lineups are usually confirmed ~1 hour before kickoff

Match Recap: Atlético Mineiro U20 vs Futgol U20

Futgol U20 beat Atlético Mineiro U20 3-1 in Mineiro U20 on June 21, 2025.

Goals: ? (11', 17', 28', 52').

The match was played at Centro de Treinamento Cidade do Galo in Vespasiano, Minas Gerais.