Statistical Prediction
Based on xG from last 19+ matches
Over / Under 2.5
58%
Over
42%
Under
Both Score
60%
Yes
40%
No
Most Likely Scores
1-1
11%
2-1
9%
1-0
8%
xG Profile (19 home / 19 away matches)
Atletico Madrid
xG 2.04 · xGA 1
+0.01 vs xG
Real Madrid
xG 1.82 · xGA 1.18
-0.14 vs xG
Statistical model based on expected goals (xG). For informational purposes only.
- Date
- Sep 27, 2025, 2:15 PM
- Tournament
- La Liga · Regular Season - 7
- Venue
- Metropolitano Stadium, Madrid
Season form
Both teams' recent trends — not a prediction for this match.
Atletico Madrid
Over / Under 2.5
- Over 2.53556%
- Under 2.52744%
Both teams scored
- Yes3455%
- No2845%
Real Madrid
Over / Under 2.5
- Over 2.53964%
- Under 2.52236%
Both teams scored
- Yes3557%
- No2643%
Match Events
Head to Head
Barcelona
Real Madrid
Villarreal
Atletico Madrid
Real Betis
Celta Vigo
Getafe
Rayo Vallecano
Valencia
Real Sociedad
Espanyol
Athletic Club
Elche
Alaves
Sevilla
Osasuna
Mallorca
Levante
Girona
OviedoIf points are equal: 1. Goal difference 2. Goals scored 3. Head-to-head
P = Played · W = Won · D = Drawn · L = Lost · GF = Goals for · GA = Goals against · GD = Goal difference · Pts = Points
Possession
Shots
Pass accuracy
Statistics
Atletico Madrid host Real Madrid on Saturday, 27 September 2025 at 14:15. The match is part of the La Liga 2026/2027 season.
Match Recap: Atletico Madrid vs Real Madrid
Atletico Madrid beat Real Madrid 5-2 in La Liga on September 27, 2025.
Goals: R. Le Normand (14'), K. Mbappe (25'), A. Guler (36'), A. Sorloth (45'), J. Alvarez (51' pen, 63'), A. Griezmann (90').
Real Madrid controlled possession (63%) and registered 6 shots to 13.
The match was played at Metropolitano Stadium in Madrid.