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Atletico GO U17 vs RB Bragantino U17 — Brasileiro U17 2026

Atletico GO U17
Atletico GO U17
FT
2 – 3
HT: 1 – 2
RB Bragantino U17
RB Bragantino U17
P. Paulo 90'
Nathan 6'
Davi Lucas 62'
J. Guilherme 24'
Caique 8'
7/15/2025Brasileiro U17Brasileiro U17 · 1st Phase - 10Estádio Olímpico Pedro Ludovico Teixeira

Match Prediction

Statistical Prediction

Based on goals from last 16+ matches

Atletico GO U1722%
×Draw21%
RB Bragantino U1757%
✓ Correct in 50 of 100 matches — 5 more than always backing the home side
Model
50.2%
Always home
44.5%

The model picks a winner (home or away) for each finished match using only pre-kickoff data, then checks it against the real result: 50.2% correct across 585,598 matches, vs 44.5% for always backing the home side.

Home picks 50.5% correct · Away picks 49.3% correct

Football matches only. Past performance is not indicative of future results.

Expected goals in this match

What is xG?

Every shot is scored 0–1 by how likely it is to be a goal from that spot — a chance in the middle of the box ≈ 0.4, a long shot from a tight angle ≈ 0.03, a penalty ≈ 0.76. Add them up over a match and that is the xG.

The scoreline can lie: you can win 1-0 on a fluke while creating half the chances. xG shows who was really closer to scoring — and over a season it predicts results better than goals alone.

Atletico GO U17
1.22
RB Bragantino U17
2.07

RB Bragantino U17 creates 70% more chances

Season form · 16 home / 20 away

creates per match

Atletico GO U17
0.88
RB Bragantino U17
1.95

allows per match

Atletico GO U17
2.19
RB Bragantino U17
1.55

finishing

Atletico GO U17+0.00on par
RB Bragantino U17+0.00on par

Total goals

Over: 64Under: 3664%Over
  • Over64
  • Under36

3+ goals likely

Both teams score

Yes: 62No: 3862%Yes
  • Yes62
  • No38

Both teams likely to score

Score probability

Probability of each scoreline, %

Atletico GO U17 ↓

RB Bragantino U17 →
0
1
2
3
4
0
0–04%
0–18%
0–28%
0–36%
0–43%
1
1–05%
1–19%
1–210%
1–37%
1–43%
2
2–03%
2–16%
2–26%
2–34%
2–42%
3
3–01%
3–12%
3–22%
3–32%
3–41%
4
4–00%
4–11%
4–21%
4–31%
4–40%

Most likely 1–2 (10%) · grid covers 94% of scorelines

More markets

Total goals

OverUnder0.5
96%4%1.5
84%16%2.5
64%36%3.5
41%59%4.5
23%77%

Double chance

Atletico GO U17 or draw
43%
Atletico GO U17 or RB Bragantino U17
79%
Draw or RB Bragantino U17
78%

Winning margin

Atletico GO U17 wins by 2+
9%
RB Bragantino U17 wins by 2+
34%

Team goals

Atletico GO U17 1+ goals
70%
Atletico GO U17 2+ goals
34%
Atletico GO U17 3+ goals
12%
RB Bragantino U17 1+ goals
87%
RB Bragantino U17 2+ goals
61%
RB Bragantino U17 3+ goals
34%

Draw no bet

Atletico GO U17 (draw refunded)
28%
RB Bragantino U17 (draw refunded)
72%

Combos

Both score & 3+ goals
52%
Both score & under 3
9%

Model probabilities, not odds. For information only.

How is this calculated?

Every number below comes from this match — nothing is made up.

1

Recent form of each side

Atletico GO U17 at home — creates 0.88, concedes 2.19 · 16 matches

RB Bragantino U17 away — creates 1.95, concedes 1.55 · 20 matches

⚑ Home and away form are counted separately — the home-field edge is already baked into these numbers.

2

Expected goals for this match

Atletico GO U17 attack 0.88 + RB Bragantino U17 defence 1.55 → ÷2 → 1.22

RB Bragantino U17 attack 1.95 + Atletico GO U17 defence 2.19 → ÷2 → 2.07

Each side's attack is blended with the other's defence, then averaged.

3

Chance of every scoreline

From those two numbers a Poisson distribution gives the probability of each exact score — the grid shown above.

4

The answer to "why 57%?"

Atletico GO U17 scores more
22%
level
21%
RB Bragantino U17 scores more
57%

RB Bragantino U17 at 57% is simply the biggest of the three — that is the pick.

What the model can't see

It reads only the stats of recent matches. It knows nothing about:

  • injuries & suspensions
  • the matchday lineup
  • motivation — cup, relegation, a title race
  • weather & pitch condition
  • in-game coaching decisions

So 57% does not mean "RB Bragantino U17 will win" — it means "on the available stats, this is the most likely result."

Statistical model based on expected goals (xG). For informational purposes only.

Match Events

6'
Nathan
8'
Caique
24'
J. Guilherme
62'
Davi Lucas
90'
P. Paulo

Probable lineups not yet announced

Starting lineups are usually confirmed ~1 hour before kickoff

Match Recap: Atletico GO U17 vs RB Bragantino U17

RB Bragantino U17 beat Atletico GO U17 3-2 in Brasileiro U17 on July 15, 2025.

Goals: Nathan (6'), Caique (8'), J. Guilherme (24'), Davi Lucas (62'), P. Paulo (90').

The match was played at Estádio Olímpico Pedro Ludovico Teixeira in Goiânia, Goiás.