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Athlone WFC W vs Sligo Rovers W — All-Island Cup - Women 2026

Athlone WFC W
Athlone WFC W
FT
2 – 1
HT: 2 – 0
Sligo Rovers W
Sligo Rovers W
C. Singleton 45+1' (pen)
Unknown 41'
M. Devaney 76'
4/20/2024All-Island Cup - WomenAll-Island Cup - Women · Group Stage - 2Athlone Town Stadium

Match Prediction

Statistical Prediction

Based on goals from last 4+ matches

Athlone WFC W56%
×Draw22%
Sligo Rovers W23%
✓ Correct in 50 of 100 matches — 5 more than always backing the home side
Model
50.2%
Always home
44.5%

The model picks a winner (home or away) for each finished match using only pre-kickoff data, then checks it against the real result: 50.2% correct across 585,598 matches, vs 44.5% for always backing the home side.

Home picks 50.5% correct · Away picks 49.3% correct

Football matches only. Past performance is not indicative of future results.

Expected goals in this match

What is xG?

Every shot is scored 0–1 by how likely it is to be a goal from that spot — a chance in the middle of the box ≈ 0.4, a long shot from a tight angle ≈ 0.03, a penalty ≈ 0.76. Add them up over a match and that is the xG.

The scoreline can lie: you can win 1-0 on a fluke while creating half the chances. xG shows who was really closer to scoring — and over a season it predicts results better than goals alone.

Athlone WFC W
1.96
Sligo Rovers W
1.17

Athlone WFC W creates 68% more chances

Season form · 4 home / 6 away

creates per match

Athlone WFC W
1.25
Sligo Rovers W
0.83

allows per match

Athlone WFC W
1.50
Sligo Rovers W
2.67

finishing

Athlone WFC W+0.00on par
Sligo Rovers W+0.00on par

Total goals

60%Over
  • Over60
  • Under40

3+ goals likely

Both teams score

59%Yes
  • Yes59
  • No41

Both teams likely to score

Score probability

Probability of each scoreline, %

Athlone WFC W ↓

Sligo Rovers W →
0
1
2
3
4
0
0–04%
0–15%
0–23%
0–31%
0–40%
1
1–09%
1–110%
1–26%
1–32%
1–41%
2
2–08%
2–110%
2–26%
2–32%
2–41%
3
3–06%
3–16%
3–24%
3–31%
3–40%
4
4–03%
4–13%
4–22%
4–31%
4–40%

Most likely 1–1 (10%) · grid covers 95% of scorelines

More markets

Total goals

OverUnder0.5
96%4%1.5
82%18%2.5
60%40%3.5
38%62%4.5
20%80%

Double chance

Athlone WFC W or draw
77%
Athlone WFC W or Sligo Rovers W
78%
Draw or Sligo Rovers W
44%

Winning margin

Athlone WFC W wins by 2+
33%
Sligo Rovers W wins by 2+
9%

Team goals

Athlone WFC W 1+ goals
86%
Athlone WFC W 2+ goals
58%
Athlone WFC W 3+ goals
31%
Sligo Rovers W 1+ goals
69%
Sligo Rovers W 2+ goals
33%
Sligo Rovers W 3+ goals
11%

Draw no bet

Athlone WFC W (draw refunded)
71%
Sligo Rovers W (draw refunded)
29%

Combos

Both score & 3+ goals
49%
Both score & under 3
10%

Model probabilities, not odds. For information only.

How is this calculated?

Every number below comes from this match — nothing is made up.

1

Recent form of each side

Athlone WFC W at home — creates 1.25, concedes 1.50 · 4 matches

Sligo Rovers W away — creates 0.83, concedes 2.67 · 6 matches

⚑ Home and away form are counted separately — the home-field edge is already baked into these numbers.

2

Expected goals for this match

Athlone WFC W attack 1.25 + Sligo Rovers W defence 2.67 → ÷2 → 1.96

Sligo Rovers W attack 0.83 + Athlone WFC W defence 1.50 → ÷2 → 1.17

Each side's attack is blended with the other's defence, then averaged.

3

Chance of every scoreline

From those two numbers a Poisson distribution gives the probability of each exact score — the grid shown above.

4

The answer to "why 56%?"

Athlone WFC W scores more
56%
level
22%
Sligo Rovers W scores more
23%

Athlone WFC W at 56% is simply the biggest of the three — that is the pick.

What the model can't see

It reads only the stats of recent matches. It knows nothing about:

  • injuries & suspensions
  • the matchday lineup
  • motivation — cup, relegation, a title race
  • weather & pitch condition
  • in-game coaching decisions

So 56% does not mean "Athlone WFC W will win" — it means "on the available stats, this is the most likely result."

Statistical model based on expected goals (xG). For informational purposes only.

Match Events

41'
45+1'
C. SingletonPenalty
76'
M. Devaney

Probable lineups not yet announced

Starting lineups are usually confirmed ~1 hour before kickoff

Match Recap: Athlone WFC W vs Sligo Rovers W

Athlone WFC W beat Sligo Rovers W 2-1 in All-Island Cup - Women on April 20, 2024.

Goals: ? (41'), C. Singleton (45+1' pen), M. Devaney (76').

The match was played at Athlone Town Stadium in Athlone.