Statistical Prediction
Based on xG from last 19+ matches
Over / Under 2.5
49%
Over
51%
Under
Both Score
53%
Yes
47%
No
Most Likely Scores
1-1
12%
1-0
10%
0-1
9%
xG Profile (19 home / 19 away matches)
Athletic Club
xG 1.47 · xGA 0.8
-0.31 vs xG
Real Madrid
xG 1.82 · xGA 1.18
-0.14 vs xG
Statistical model based on expected goals (xG). For informational purposes only.
- Date
- Dec 3, 2025, 6:00 PM
- Tournament
- La Liga · Regular Season - 19
- Referee
- Jesus Gil Manzano (Spain)
- Venue
- San Mamés, Bilbao
Season form
Both teams' recent trends — not a prediction for this match.
Athletic Club
Over / Under 2.5
- Over 2.52447%
- Under 2.52753%
Both teams scored
- Yes2549%
- No2651%
Real Madrid
Over / Under 2.5
- Over 2.53964%
- Under 2.52236%
Both teams scored
- Yes3557%
- No2643%
Match Events
Head to Head
Barcelona
Real Madrid
Villarreal
Atletico Madrid
Real Betis
Celta Vigo
Getafe
Rayo Vallecano
Valencia
Real Sociedad
Espanyol
Athletic Club
Elche
Alaves
Sevilla
Osasuna
Mallorca
Levante
Girona
OviedoIf points are equal: 1. Goal difference 2. Goals scored 3. Head-to-head
P = Played · W = Won · D = Drawn · L = Lost · GF = Goals for · GA = Goals against · GD = Goal difference · Pts = Points
Possession
Shots
Pass accuracy
Statistics
Athletic Club host Real Madrid on Wednesday, 3 December 2025 at 18:00. The match is part of the La Liga 2026/2027 season.
Match Recap: Athletic Club vs Real Madrid
Real Madrid beat Athletic Club 3-0 in La Liga on December 3, 2025.
Goals: K. Mbappe (7', 59'), E. Camavinga (42').
Real Madrid controlled possession (62%) and registered 13 shots to 9.
The match was played at San Mamés in Bilbao.