Statistical Prediction
Based on xG from last 19+ matches
Over / Under 2.5
55%
Over
45%
Under
Both Score
58%
Yes
42%
No
Most Likely Scores
1-1
12%
1-2
9%
0-1
9%
xG Profile (19 home / 19 away matches)
Aston Villa
xG 1.36 · xGA 1.28
+0.32 vs xG
Manchester City
xG 1.83 · xGA 1.32
-0.15 vs xG
Statistical model based on expected goals (xG). For informational purposes only.
- Date
- Oct 26, 2025, 2:00 PM
- Tournament
- Premier League · Premier League · Regular Season - 9
- Referee
- M. Oliver
- Venue
- Villa Park, Birmingham
Season form
Both teams' recent trends — not a prediction for this match.
Aston Villa
Over / Under 2.5
- Over 2.53153%
- Under 2.52747%
Both teams scored
- Yes3153%
- No2747%
Manchester City
Over / Under 2.5
- Over 2.53862%
- Under 2.52338%
Both teams scored
- Yes3151%
- No3049%
Match Events
Head to Head
Arsenal
Aston Villa
Bournemouth
Brentford
Brighton
Chelsea
Coventry
Crystal Palace
Everton
Fulham
Hull City
Ipswich
Leeds
Liverpool
Manchester City
Manchester United
Newcastle
Nottingham Forest
Sunderland
TottenhamIf points are equal: 1. Goal difference 2. Goals scored 3. Head-to-head
P = Played · W = Won · D = Drawn · L = Lost · GF = Goals for · GA = Goals against · GD = Goal difference · Pts = Points
Possession
Shots
Pass accuracy
Statistics
Aston Villa host Manchester City on Sunday, 26 October 2025 at 14:00. The match is part of the Premier League 2026/2027 season.
Match Recap: Aston Villa vs Manchester City
Aston Villa beat Manchester City 1-0 in Premier League on October 26, 2025.
Goals: M. Cash (19').
Manchester City controlled possession (53%) and registered 18 shots to 9.
The match was played at Villa Park in Birmingham.