Statistical Prediction
Based on xG from last 19+ matches
Over / Under 2.5
54%
Over
46%
Under
Both Score
57%
Yes
43%
No
Most Likely Scores
1-1
12%
2-1
9%
1-0
9%
xG Profile (19 home / 19 away matches)
Aston Villa
xG 1.36 · xGA 1.28
+0.32 vs xG
Leeds
xG 1.3 · xGA 1.76
-0.25 vs xG
Statistical model based on expected goals (xG). For informational purposes only.
- Date
- Feb 21, 2026, 3:00 PM
- Tournament
- Premier League · Premier League · Regular Season - 27
- Referee
- M. Oliver
- Venue
- Villa Park, Birmingham
Season form
Both teams' recent trends — not a prediction for this match.
Aston Villa
Over / Under 2.5
- Over 2.53153%
- Under 2.52747%
Both teams scored
- Yes3153%
- No2747%
Leeds
Over / Under 2.5
- Over 2.52557%
- Under 2.51943%
Both teams scored
- Yes2557%
- No1943%
Match Events
Arsenal
Aston Villa
Bournemouth
Brentford
Brighton
Chelsea
Coventry
Crystal Palace
Everton
Fulham
Hull City
Ipswich
Leeds
Liverpool
Manchester City
Manchester United
Newcastle
Nottingham Forest
Sunderland
TottenhamIf points are equal: 1. Goal difference 2. Goals scored 3. Head-to-head
P = Played · W = Won · D = Drawn · L = Lost · GF = Goals for · GA = Goals against · GD = Goal difference · Pts = Points
Possession
Shots
Pass accuracy
Statistics
Aston Villa host Leeds on Saturday, 21 February 2026 at 15:00. The match is part of the Premier League 2026/2027 season.
Aston Villa 1 – 1 Leeds
Aston Villa and Leeds drew 1-1 in Premier League on February 21, 2026.
Goals: A. Stach (31'), T. Abraham (88').
Aston Villa controlled possession (67%) and registered 16 shots to 14.
The match was played at Villa Park in Birmingham.