Statistical Prediction
Based on xG from last 19+ matches
Over / Under 2.5
54%
Over
46%
Under
Both Score
58%
Yes
42%
No
Most Likely Scores
1-1
12%
1-2
9%
0-1
9%
xG Profile (19 home / 19 away matches)
Aston Villa
xG 1.36 · xGA 1.28
+0.32 vs xG
Chelsea
xG 1.68 · xGA 1.37
+0 vs xG
Statistical model based on expected goals (xG). For informational purposes only.
Aston Villa vs Chelsea — Premier League 2026
Premier League·2026📍Villa Park- Date
- Mar 4, 2026, 7:30 PM
- Tournament
- Premier League · Premier League · Regular Season - 29
- Referee
- J. Gillett
- Venue
- Villa Park, Birmingham
Season form
Both teams' recent trends — not a prediction for this match.
Aston Villa
Over / Under 2.5
- Over 2.53456%
- Under 2.52744%
Both teams scored
- Yes3354%
- No2846%
Chelsea
Over / Under 2.5
- Over 2.54268%
- Under 2.52032%
Both teams scored
- Yes3760%
- No2540%
Match Events
Chelsea substitutes
Head to Head
Arsenal
Aston Villa
Bournemouth
Brentford
Brighton
Chelsea
Coventry
Crystal Palace
Everton
Fulham
Hull City
Ipswich
Leeds
Liverpool
Manchester City
Manchester United
Newcastle
Nottingham Forest
Sunderland
TottenhamIf points are equal: 1. Goal difference 2. Goals scored 3. Head-to-head
P = Played · W = Won · D = Drawn · L = Lost · GF = Goals for · GA = Goals against · GD = Goal difference · Pts = Points
Possession
Shots
Pass accuracy
Statistics
Aston Villa host Chelsea on Wednesday, 4 March 2026 at 19:30. The match is part of the Premier League 2026/2027 season.
Premier League: Aston Villa 1–4 Chelsea
Chelsea beat Aston Villa 4-1 in Premier League on March 4, 2026.
Goals: Douglas Luiz (2'), Joao Pedro (35', 45', 64'), C. Palmer (55').
Chelsea controlled possession (57%) and registered 15 shots to 9.
The match was played at Villa Park in Birmingham.