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Ashanti Gold vs Skyy — Division One League 2025

Ashanti Gold
Ashanti Gold
FT
4 – 1
HT: 2 – 1
Skyy
Skyy
4/26/2026Division One LeagueDivision One League · Round 27Len Clay Stadium

Match Prediction

Statistical Prediction

Based on goals from last 15+ matches

Ashanti Gold61%
×Draw23%
Skyy16%
✓ Correct in 50 of 100 matches — 6 more than always backing the home side
Model
49.7%
Always home
44.3%

The model picks a winner (home or away) for each finished match using only pre-kickoff data, then checks it against the real result: 49.7% correct across 106,786 matches, vs 44.3% for always backing the home side.

Home picks 50.7% correct · Away picks 47.3% correct

Football matches only. Past performance is not indicative of future results.

Expected goals in this match

What is xG?

Every shot is scored 0–1 by how likely it is to be a goal from that spot — a chance in the middle of the box ≈ 0.4, a long shot from a tight angle ≈ 0.03, a penalty ≈ 0.76. Add them up over a match and that is the xG.

The scoreline can lie: you can win 1-0 on a fluke while creating half the chances. xG shows who was really closer to scoring — and over a season it predicts results better than goals alone.

Ashanti Gold
1.80
Skyy
0.80

Ashanti Gold creates 125% more chances

Season form · 15 home / 15 away

creates per match

Ashanti Gold
2.00
Skyy
0.93

allows per match

Ashanti Gold
0.67
Skyy
1.60

finishing

Ashanti Gold+0.00on par
Skyy+0.00on par

Total goals

52%Under
  • Under52
  • Over48

Close call

Both teams score

54%No
  • No54
  • Yes46

One side may not score

Score probability

Probability of each scoreline, %

Ashanti Gold ↓

Skyy →
0
1
2
3
4
0
0–07%
0–16%
0–22%
0–31%
0–40%
1
1–013%
1–111%
1–24%
1–31%
1–40%
2
2–012%
2–110%
2–24%
2–31%
2–40%
3
3–07%
3–16%
3–22%
3–31%
3–40%
4
4–03%
4–13%
4–21%
4–30%
4–40%

Most likely 1–0 (13%) · grid covers 96% of scorelines

More markets

Total goals

OverUnder0.5
93%7%1.5
73%27%2.5
48%52%3.5
26%74%4.5
12%88%

Double chance

Ashanti Gold or draw
84%
Ashanti Gold or Skyy
77%
Draw or Skyy
39%

Winning margin

Ashanti Gold wins by 2+
35%
Skyy wins by 2+
5%

Team goals

Ashanti Gold 1+ goals
83%
Ashanti Gold 2+ goals
54%
Ashanti Gold 3+ goals
27%
Skyy 1+ goals
55%
Skyy 2+ goals
19%
Skyy 3+ goals
5%

Draw no bet

Ashanti Gold (draw refunded)
79%
Skyy (draw refunded)
21%

Combos

Both score & 3+ goals
35%
Both score & under 3
11%

Model probabilities, not odds. For information only.

How is this calculated?

Every number below comes from this match — nothing is made up.

1

Recent form of each side

Ashanti Gold at home — creates 2.00, concedes 0.67 · 15 matches

Skyy away — creates 0.93, concedes 1.60 · 15 matches

⚑ Home and away form are counted separately — the home-field edge is already baked into these numbers.

2

Expected goals for this match

Ashanti Gold attack 2.00 + Skyy defence 1.60 → ÷2 → 1.80

Skyy attack 0.93 + Ashanti Gold defence 0.67 → ÷2 → 0.80

Each side's attack is blended with the other's defence, then averaged.

3

Chance of every scoreline

From those two numbers a Poisson distribution gives the probability of each exact score — the grid shown above.

4

The answer to "why 61%?"

Ashanti Gold scores more
61%
level
23%
Skyy scores more
16%

Ashanti Gold at 61% is simply the biggest of the three — that is the pick.

What the model can't see

It reads only the stats of recent matches. It knows nothing about:

  • injuries & suspensions
  • the matchday lineup
  • motivation — cup, relegation, a title race
  • weather & pitch condition
  • in-game coaching decisions

So 61% does not mean "Ashanti Gold will win" — it means "on the available stats, this is the most likely result."

Statistical model based on expected goals (xG). For informational purposes only.

Probable lineups not yet announced

Starting lineups are usually confirmed ~1 hour before kickoff

Match Recap: Ashanti Gold vs Skyy

Ashanti Gold beat Skyy 4-1 in Division One League on April 26, 2026.

The match was played at Len Clay Stadium in Obuasi.