Scoreo
FootballHockeyTennisBasketballVolleyballHandballBaseballRugbyMMAFormula 1

Ashanti Gold vs Sefwi All Stars — Division One League 2025

Ashanti Gold
Ashanti Gold
FT
2 – 1
HT: 1 – 0
Sefwi All Stars
Sefwi All Stars
11/9/2025Division One LeagueDivision One League · Round 6Len Clay Stadium

Match Prediction

Statistical Prediction

Based on goals from last 15+ matches

Ashanti Gold67%
×Draw22%
Sefwi All Stars11%
✓ Correct in 50 of 100 matches — 6 more than always backing the home side
Model
49.7%
Always home
44.3%

The model picks a winner (home or away) for each finished match using only pre-kickoff data, then checks it against the real result: 49.7% correct across 106,786 matches, vs 44.3% for always backing the home side.

Home picks 50.7% correct · Away picks 47.3% correct

Football matches only. Past performance is not indicative of future results.

Expected goals in this match

What is xG?

Every shot is scored 0–1 by how likely it is to be a goal from that spot — a chance in the middle of the box ≈ 0.4, a long shot from a tight angle ≈ 0.03, a penalty ≈ 0.76. Add them up over a match and that is the xG.

The scoreline can lie: you can win 1-0 on a fluke while creating half the chances. xG shows who was really closer to scoring — and over a season it predicts results better than goals alone.

Ashanti Gold
1.77
Sefwi All Stars
0.54

Ashanti Gold creates 228% more chances

Season form · 15 home / 15 away

creates per match

Ashanti Gold
2.00
Sefwi All Stars
0.40

allows per match

Ashanti Gold
0.67
Sefwi All Stars
1.53

finishing

Ashanti Gold+0.00on par
Sefwi All Stars+0.00on par

Total goals

59%Under
  • Under59
  • Over41

Fewer than 3 goals likely

Both teams score

65%No
  • No65
  • Yes35

One side may not score

Score probability

Probability of each scoreline, %

Ashanti Gold ↓

Sefwi All Stars →
0
1
2
3
4
0
0–010%
0–15%
0–21%
0–30%
0–40%
1
1–018%
1–110%
1–23%
1–30%
1–40%
2
2–016%
2–18%
2–22%
2–30%
2–40%
3
3–09%
3–15%
3–21%
3–30%
3–40%
4
4–04%
4–12%
4–21%
4–30%
4–40%

Most likely 1–0 (18%) · grid covers 97% of scorelines

More markets

Total goals

OverUnder0.5
90%10%1.5
67%33%2.5
41%59%3.5
20%80%4.5
8%92%

Double chance

Ashanti Gold or draw
89%
Ashanti Gold or Sefwi All Stars
78%
Draw or Sefwi All Stars
33%

Winning margin

Ashanti Gold wins by 2+
40%
Sefwi All Stars wins by 2+
2%

Team goals

Ashanti Gold 1+ goals
83%
Ashanti Gold 2+ goals
53%
Ashanti Gold 3+ goals
26%
Sefwi All Stars 1+ goals
42%
Sefwi All Stars 2+ goals
10%
Sefwi All Stars 3+ goals
2%

Draw no bet

Ashanti Gold (draw refunded)
86%
Sefwi All Stars (draw refunded)
14%

Combos

Both score & 3+ goals
25%
Both score & under 3
10%

Model probabilities, not odds. For information only.

How is this calculated?

Every number below comes from this match — nothing is made up.

1

Recent form of each side

Ashanti Gold at home — creates 2.00, concedes 0.67 · 15 matches

Sefwi All Stars away — creates 0.40, concedes 1.53 · 15 matches

⚑ Home and away form are counted separately — the home-field edge is already baked into these numbers.

2

Expected goals for this match

Ashanti Gold attack 2.00 + Sefwi All Stars defence 1.53 → ÷2 → 1.77

Sefwi All Stars attack 0.40 + Ashanti Gold defence 0.67 → ÷2 → 0.54

Each side's attack is blended with the other's defence, then averaged.

3

Chance of every scoreline

From those two numbers a Poisson distribution gives the probability of each exact score — the grid shown above.

4

The answer to "why 67%?"

Ashanti Gold scores more
67%
level
22%
Sefwi All Stars scores more
11%

Ashanti Gold at 67% is simply the biggest of the three — that is the pick.

What the model can't see

It reads only the stats of recent matches. It knows nothing about:

  • injuries & suspensions
  • the matchday lineup
  • motivation — cup, relegation, a title race
  • weather & pitch condition
  • in-game coaching decisions

So 67% does not mean "Ashanti Gold will win" — it means "on the available stats, this is the most likely result."

Statistical model based on expected goals (xG). For informational purposes only.

Probable lineups not yet announced

Starting lineups are usually confirmed ~1 hour before kickoff

Division One League: Ashanti Gold 2–1 Sefwi All Stars

Ashanti Gold beat Sefwi All Stars 2-1 in Division One League on November 9, 2025.

The match was played at Len Clay Stadium in Obuasi.