Ashanti Gold 3–0 Elmina Sharks: Result & Stats

Ashanti Gold

FT

3 – 0

Elmina Sharks

3/29/2026

Division One League · Round 24Len Clay Stadium

Match Prediction

Statistical Prediction

Based on goals from last 15+ matches

Ashanti Gold61%

×Draw24%

Elmina Sharks15%

✓ Correct in 50 of 100 matches — 6 more than always backing the home side

Model

49.7%

Always home

44.3%

The model picks a winner (home or away) for each finished match using only pre-kickoff data, then checks it against the real result: 49.7% correct across 106,786 matches, vs 44.3% for always backing the home side.

Home picks 50.7% correct · Away picks 47.3% correct

Football matches only. Past performance is not indicative of future results.

Ashanti GoldExpected goals in this matchElmina Sharks

Expected goals in this match

What is xG?

Every shot is scored 0–1 by how likely it is to be a goal from that spot — a chance in the middle of the box ≈ 0.4, a long shot from a tight angle ≈ 0.03, a penalty ≈ 0.76. Add them up over a match and that is the xG.

The scoreline can lie: you can win 1-0 on a fluke while creating half the chances. xG shows who was really closer to scoring — and over a season it predicts results better than goals alone.

1.64

0.67

Ashanti Gold

1.64

Elmina Sharks

0.67

Ashanti Gold creates 145% more chances

Season form · 15 home / 15 away

2.00

creates per match

0.67

allows per match

1.27

creates per match

Ashanti Gold

2.00

Elmina Sharks

0.67

allows per match

Ashanti Gold

0.67

Elmina Sharks

1.27

+0.00on par

finishing

+0.00on par

finishing

Ashanti Gold+0.00on par

Elmina Sharks+0.00on par

Total goals

Under59
Over41

Fewer than 3 goals likely

Both teams score

No61
Yes39

One side may not score

Score probability

Probability of each scoreline, %

Ashanti Gold ↓

Elmina Sharks →

0

1

2

3

4

0

0–010%

0–17%

0–22%

0–30%

0–40%

1

1–016%

1–111%

1–24%

1–31%

1–40%

2

2–013%

2–19%

2–23%

2–31%

2–40%

3

3–07%

3–15%

3–22%

3–30%

3–40%

4

4–03%

4–12%

4–21%

4–30%

4–40%

Most likely 1–0 (16%) · grid covers 97% of scorelines

More markets

Total goals

OverUnder0.5

90%10%1.5

67%33%2.5

41%59%3.5

20%80%4.5

8%92%

Double chance

Ashanti Gold or draw

85%

Ashanti Gold or Elmina Sharks

76%

Draw or Elmina Sharks

39%

Winning margin

Ashanti Gold wins by 2+

34%

Elmina Sharks wins by 2+

4%

Team goals

Ashanti Gold 1+ goals

81%

Ashanti Gold 2+ goals

49%

Ashanti Gold 3+ goals

23%

Elmina Sharks 1+ goals

49%

Elmina Sharks 2+ goals

15%

Elmina Sharks 3+ goals

3%

Draw no bet

Ashanti Gold (draw refunded)

80%

Elmina Sharks (draw refunded)

20%

Combos

Both score & 3+ goals

28%

Both score & under 3

11%

Model probabilities, not odds. For information only.

How is this calculated?

Every number below comes from this match — nothing is made up.

1

Recent form of each side

Ashanti Gold at home — creates 2.00, concedes 0.67 · 15 matches

Elmina Sharks away — creates 0.67, concedes 1.27 · 15 matches

⚑ Home and away form are counted separately — the home-field edge is already baked into these numbers.

2

Expected goals for this match

Ashanti Gold attack 2.00 + Elmina Sharks defence 1.27 → ÷2 → 1.64

Elmina Sharks attack 0.67 + Ashanti Gold defence 0.67 → ÷2 → 0.67

Each side's attack is blended with the other's defence, then averaged.

3

Chance of every scoreline

From those two numbers a Poisson distribution gives the probability of each exact score — the grid shown above.

4

The answer to "why 61%?"

Ashanti Gold scores more

61%

level

24%

Elmina Sharks scores more

15%

Ashanti Gold at 61% is simply the biggest of the three — that is the pick.

What the model can't see

It reads only the stats of recent matches. It knows nothing about:

injuries & suspensions
the matchday lineup
motivation — cup, relegation, a title race
weather & pitch condition
in-game coaching decisions

So 61% does not mean "Ashanti Gold will win" — it means "on the available stats, this is the most likely result."

Statistical model based on expected goals (xG). For informational purposes only.

Probable lineups not yet announced

Starting lineups are usually confirmed ~1 hour before kickoff