Scoreo

Asante Kotoko vs Hohoe UnitedPremier League 2019

5/6/2026Premier LeaguePremier League · Round 30Baba Yara Stadium

Match Prediction

Statistical Prediction

Based on goals from last 13+ matches

Asante Kotoko54%
×Draw29%
Hohoe United17%
Correct in 50 of 100 matches — 6 more than always backing the home side
Model
49.7%
Always home
44.3%

The model picks a winner (home or away) for each finished match using only pre-kickoff data, then checks it against the real result: 49.7% correct across 106,786 matches, vs 44.3% for always backing the home side.

Home picks 50.7% correct · Away picks 47.3% correct

Football matches only. Past performance is not indicative of future results.

Expected goals in this match

What is xG?

Every shot is scored 0–1 by how likely it is to be a goal from that spot — a chance in the middle of the box ≈ 0.4, a long shot from a tight angle ≈ 0.03, a penalty ≈ 0.76. Add them up over a match and that is the xG.

The scoreline can lie: you can win 1-0 on a fluke while creating half the chances. xG shows who was really closer to scoring — and over a season it predicts results better than goals alone.

Asante Kotoko
1.31
Hohoe United
0.59

Asante Kotoko creates 122% more chances

Season form · 108 home / 13 away

creates per match

Asante Kotoko
1.47
Hohoe United
0.54

allows per match

Asante Kotoko
0.65
Hohoe United
1.15

finishing

Asante Kotoko+0.00on par
Hohoe United+0.00on par

Total goals

70%Under
  • Under70
  • Over30

Fewer than 3 goals likely

Both teams score

67%No
  • No67
  • Yes33

One side may not score

Score probability

Probability of each scoreline, %

Asante Kotoko

Hohoe United
0
1
2
3
4
0
0015%
019%
023%
031%
040%
1
1020%
1112%
123%
131%
140%
2
2013%
218%
222%
230%
240%
3
306%
313%
321%
330%
340%
4
402%
411%
420%
430%
440%

Most likely 1–0 (20%) · grid covers 99% of scorelines

More markets

Total goals

OverUnder0.5
85%15%1.5
57%43%2.5
30%70%3.5
12%88%4.5
4%96%

Double chance

Asante Kotoko or draw
83%
Asante Kotoko or Hohoe United
71%
Draw or Hohoe United
46%

Winning margin

Asante Kotoko wins by 2+
26%
Hohoe United wins by 2+
4%

Team goals

Asante Kotoko 1+ goals
73%
Asante Kotoko 2+ goals
38%
Asante Kotoko 3+ goals
14%
Hohoe United 1+ goals
45%
Hohoe United 2+ goals
12%
Hohoe United 3+ goals
2%

Draw no bet

Asante Kotoko (draw refunded)
76%
Hohoe United (draw refunded)
24%

Combos

Both score & 3+ goals
21%
Both score & under 3
12%

Model probabilities, not odds. For information only.

How is this calculated?

Every number below comes from this match — nothing is made up.

1

Recent form of each side

Asante Kotoko at homecreates 1.47, concedes 0.65 · 108 matches

Hohoe United awaycreates 0.54, concedes 1.15 · 13 matches

Home and away form are counted separately — the home-field edge is already baked into these numbers.

2

Expected goals for this match

Asante Kotoko attack 1.47 + Hohoe United defence 1.15 → ÷2 → 1.31

Hohoe United attack 0.54 + Asante Kotoko defence 0.65 → ÷2 → 0.59

Each side's attack is blended with the other's defence, then averaged.

3

Chance of every scoreline

From those two numbers a Poisson distribution gives the probability of each exact score — the grid shown above.

4

The answer to "why 54%?"

Asante Kotoko scores more
54%
level
29%
Hohoe United scores more
17%

Asante Kotoko at 54% is simply the biggest of the three — that is the pick.

What the model can't see

It reads only the stats of recent matches. It knows nothing about:

  • injuries & suspensions
  • the matchday lineup
  • motivation — cup, relegation, a title race
  • weather & pitch condition
  • in-game coaching decisions

So 54% does not mean "Asante Kotoko will win" — it means "on the available stats, this is the most likely result."

Statistical model based on expected goals (xG). For informational purposes only.

Probable lineups not yet announced

Starting lineups are usually confirmed ~1 hour before kickoff

Asante Kotoko vs Hohoe United — Match Preview

Asante Kotoko face Hohoe United on May 6, 2026 in this Premier League fixture. Get live scores, lineups, and real-time match statistics here when the game starts.

Asante Kotoko host Hohoe United at Baba Yara Stadium.

Submit your prediction below — exact score, 1X2, total goals, and both teams to score. Earn XP for correct picks.