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AS Trencin vs Opava — Friendlies Clubs 2026

AS Trencin
AS Trencin
CANC
11:00
Opava
Opava
2/10/2024Friendlies ClubsFriendlies Clubs · Club Friendlies 3TBC

Match Prediction

Statistical Prediction

Based on goals from last 6+ matches

AS Trencin41%
×Draw22%
Opava37%
✓ Correct in 50 of 100 matches — 5 more than always backing the home side
Model
50.3%
Always home
44.5%

The model picks a winner (home or away) for each finished match using only pre-kickoff data, then checks it against the real result: 50.3% correct across 582,450 matches, vs 44.5% for always backing the home side.

Home picks 50.5% correct · Away picks 49.5% correct

Football matches only. Past performance is not indicative of future results.

Expected goals in this match

What is xG?

Every shot is scored 0–1 by how likely it is to be a goal from that spot — a chance in the middle of the box ≈ 0.4, a long shot from a tight angle ≈ 0.03, a penalty ≈ 0.76. Add them up over a match and that is the xG.

The scoreline can lie: you can win 1-0 on a fluke while creating half the chances. xG shows who was really closer to scoring — and over a season it predicts results better than goals alone.

AS Trencin
1.84
Opava
1.74

Both teams create about equally

Season form · 6 home / 13 away

creates per match

AS Trencin
1.83
Opava
1.15

allows per match

AS Trencin
2.33
Opava
1.85

finishing

AS Trencin+0.00on par
Opava+0.00on par

Total goals

69%Over
  • Over69
  • Under31

3+ goals likely

Both teams score

69%Yes
  • Yes69
  • No31

Both teams likely to score

Score probability

Probability of each scoreline, %

AS Trencin ↓

Opava →
0
1
2
3
4
0
0–03%
0–15%
0–24%
0–32%
0–41%
1
1–05%
1–19%
1–28%
1–35%
1–42%
2
2–05%
2–18%
2–27%
2–34%
2–42%
3
3–03%
3–15%
3–24%
3–33%
3–41%
4
4–01%
4–12%
4–22%
4–31%
4–41%

Most likely 1–1 (9%) · grid covers 93% of scorelines

More markets

Total goals

OverUnder0.5
97%3%1.5
87%13%2.5
69%31%3.5
48%52%4.5
29%71%

Double chance

AS Trencin or draw
63%
AS Trencin or Opava
78%
Draw or Opava
59%

Winning margin

AS Trencin wins by 2+
22%
Opava wins by 2+
19%

Team goals

AS Trencin 1+ goals
84%
AS Trencin 2+ goals
55%
AS Trencin 3+ goals
28%
Opava 1+ goals
82%
Opava 2+ goals
52%
Opava 3+ goals
25%

Draw no bet

AS Trencin (draw refunded)
53%
Opava (draw refunded)
47%

Combos

Both score & 3+ goals
60%
Both score & under 3
9%

Model probabilities, not odds. For information only.

How is this calculated?

Every number below comes from this match — nothing is made up.

1

Recent form of each side

AS Trencin at home — creates 1.83, concedes 2.33 · 6 matches

Opava away — creates 1.15, concedes 1.85 · 13 matches

⚑ Home and away form are counted separately — the home-field edge is already baked into these numbers.

2

Expected goals for this match

AS Trencin attack 1.83 + Opava defence 1.85 → ÷2 → 1.84

Opava attack 1.15 + AS Trencin defence 2.33 → ÷2 → 1.74

Each side's attack is blended with the other's defence, then averaged.

3

Chance of every scoreline

From those two numbers a Poisson distribution gives the probability of each exact score — the grid shown above.

4

The answer to "why 41%?"

AS Trencin scores more
41%
level
22%
Opava scores more
37%

AS Trencin at 41% is simply the biggest of the three — that is the pick.

What the model can't see

It reads only the stats of recent matches. It knows nothing about:

  • injuries & suspensions
  • the matchday lineup
  • motivation — cup, relegation, a title race
  • weather & pitch condition
  • in-game coaching decisions

So 41% does not mean "AS Trencin will win" — it means "on the available stats, this is the most likely result."

Statistical model based on expected goals (xG). For informational purposes only.

Probable lineups not yet announced

Starting lineups are usually confirmed ~1 hour before kickoff

AS Trencin vs Opava — Match Preview

AS Trencin face Opava on February 10, 2024 in this Friendlies Clubs fixture. Get live scores, lineups, and real-time match statistics here when the game starts.

AS Trencin host Opava at TBC.

Submit your prediction below — exact score, 1X2, total goals, and both teams to score. Earn XP for correct picks.