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Artis vs Slovan Bratislava — Friendlies Clubs 2026

Artis
Artis
CANC
15:00
Slovan Bratislava
Slovan Bratislava
6/29/2022Friendlies ClubsFriendlies Clubs · Club Friendlies 3TBC

Match Prediction

Statistical Prediction

Based on goals from last 8+ matches

Artis39%
×Draw25%
Slovan Bratislava36%
✓ Correct in 50 of 100 matches — 5 more than always backing the home side
Model
50.3%
Always home
44.5%

The model picks a winner (home or away) for each finished match using only pre-kickoff data, then checks it against the real result: 50.3% correct across 582,450 matches, vs 44.5% for always backing the home side.

Home picks 50.5% correct · Away picks 49.5% correct

Football matches only. Past performance is not indicative of future results.

Expected goals in this match

What is xG?

Every shot is scored 0–1 by how likely it is to be a goal from that spot — a chance in the middle of the box ≈ 0.4, a long shot from a tight angle ≈ 0.03, a penalty ≈ 0.76. Add them up over a match and that is the xG.

The scoreline can lie: you can win 1-0 on a fluke while creating half the chances. xG shows who was really closer to scoring — and over a season it predicts results better than goals alone.

Artis
1.48
Slovan Bratislava
1.40

Both teams create about equally

Season form · 8 home / 14 away

creates per match

Artis
1.88
Slovan Bratislava
1.79

allows per match

Artis
1.00
Slovan Bratislava
1.07

finishing

Artis+0.00on par
Slovan Bratislava+0.00on par

Total goals

55%Over
  • Over55
  • Under45

3+ goals likely

Both teams score

58%Yes
  • Yes58
  • No42

Both teams likely to score

Score probability

Probability of each scoreline, %

Artis ↓

Slovan Bratislava →
0
1
2
3
4
0
0–06%
0–18%
0–26%
0–33%
0–41%
1
1–08%
1–112%
1–28%
1–34%
1–41%
2
2–06%
2–19%
2–26%
2–33%
2–41%
3
3–03%
3–14%
3–23%
3–31%
3–40%
4
4–01%
4–12%
4–21%
4–31%
4–40%

Most likely 1–1 (12%) · grid covers 97% of scorelines

More markets

Total goals

OverUnder0.5
94%6%1.5
78%22%2.5
55%45%3.5
32%68%4.5
16%84%

Double chance

Artis or draw
64%
Artis or Slovan Bratislava
75%
Draw or Slovan Bratislava
61%

Winning margin

Artis wins by 2+
19%
Slovan Bratislava wins by 2+
16%

Team goals

Artis 1+ goals
77%
Artis 2+ goals
43%
Artis 3+ goals
19%
Slovan Bratislava 1+ goals
75%
Slovan Bratislava 2+ goals
41%
Slovan Bratislava 3+ goals
17%

Draw no bet

Artis (draw refunded)
52%
Slovan Bratislava (draw refunded)
48%

Combos

Both score & 3+ goals
47%
Both score & under 3
12%

Model probabilities, not odds. For information only.

How is this calculated?

Every number below comes from this match — nothing is made up.

1

Recent form of each side

Artis at home — creates 1.88, concedes 1.00 · 8 matches

Slovan Bratislava away — creates 1.79, concedes 1.07 · 14 matches

⚑ Home and away form are counted separately — the home-field edge is already baked into these numbers.

2

Expected goals for this match

Artis attack 1.88 + Slovan Bratislava defence 1.07 → ÷2 → 1.48

Slovan Bratislava attack 1.79 + Artis defence 1.00 → ÷2 → 1.40

Each side's attack is blended with the other's defence, then averaged.

3

Chance of every scoreline

From those two numbers a Poisson distribution gives the probability of each exact score — the grid shown above.

4

The answer to "why 39%?"

Artis scores more
39%
level
25%
Slovan Bratislava scores more
36%

Artis at 39% is simply the biggest of the three — that is the pick.

What the model can't see

It reads only the stats of recent matches. It knows nothing about:

  • injuries & suspensions
  • the matchday lineup
  • motivation — cup, relegation, a title race
  • weather & pitch condition
  • in-game coaching decisions

So 39% does not mean "Artis will win" — it means "on the available stats, this is the most likely result."

Statistical model based on expected goals (xG). For informational purposes only.

Probable lineups not yet announced

Starting lineups are usually confirmed ~1 hour before kickoff

Artis face Slovan Bratislava (Friendlies Clubs)

Friendlies Clubs returns with Artis hosting Slovan Bratislava. Match starts June 29, 2022. Live commentary, lineups, and stats appear here from kickoff. Submit your prediction below for a chance to earn XP.

Artis host Slovan Bratislava at TBC.

Submit your prediction below — exact score, 1X2, total goals, and both teams to score. Earn XP for correct picks.