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Artis vs Inter Bratislava — Friendlies Clubs 2026

Artis
Artis
FT
9 – 0
Inter Bratislava
Inter Bratislava
2/22/2020Friendlies ClubsFriendlies Clubs · Club Friendlies 3SK Líšeň UMT

Match Prediction

Statistical Prediction

Based on goals from last 5+ matches

Artis69%
×Draw18%
Inter Bratislava13%
✓ Correct in 50 of 100 matches — 5 more than always backing the home side
Model
50.3%
Always home
44.5%

The model picks a winner (home or away) for each finished match using only pre-kickoff data, then checks it against the real result: 50.3% correct across 582,450 matches, vs 44.5% for always backing the home side.

Home picks 50.5% correct · Away picks 49.5% correct

Football matches only. Past performance is not indicative of future results.

Expected goals in this match

What is xG?

Every shot is scored 0–1 by how likely it is to be a goal from that spot — a chance in the middle of the box ≈ 0.4, a long shot from a tight angle ≈ 0.03, a penalty ≈ 0.76. Add them up over a match and that is the xG.

The scoreline can lie: you can win 1-0 on a fluke while creating half the chances. xG shows who was really closer to scoring — and over a season it predicts results better than goals alone.

Artis
2.34
Inter Bratislava
0.90

Artis creates 160% more chances

Season form · 8 home / 5 away

creates per match

Artis
1.88
Inter Bratislava
0.80

allows per match

Artis
1.00
Inter Bratislava
2.80

finishing

Artis+0.00on par
Inter Bratislava+0.00on par

Total goals

62%Over
  • Over62
  • Under38

3+ goals likely

Both teams score

54%Yes
  • Yes54
  • No46

Both teams likely to score

Score probability

Probability of each scoreline, %

Artis ↓

Inter Bratislava →
0
1
2
3
4
0
0–04%
0–14%
0–22%
0–30%
0–40%
1
1–09%
1–18%
1–24%
1–31%
1–40%
2
2–011%
2–110%
2–24%
2–31%
2–40%
3
3–08%
3–18%
3–23%
3–31%
3–40%
4
4–05%
4–14%
4–22%
4–31%
4–40%

Most likely 2–0 (11%) · grid covers 92% of scorelines

More markets

Total goals

OverUnder0.5
96%4%1.5
83%17%2.5
62%38%3.5
40%60%4.5
22%78%

Double chance

Artis or draw
87%
Artis or Inter Bratislava
82%
Draw or Inter Bratislava
31%

Winning margin

Artis wins by 2+
46%
Inter Bratislava wins by 2+
4%

Team goals

Artis 1+ goals
90%
Artis 2+ goals
67%
Artis 3+ goals
41%
Inter Bratislava 1+ goals
59%
Inter Bratislava 2+ goals
23%
Inter Bratislava 3+ goals
6%

Draw no bet

Artis (draw refunded)
84%
Inter Bratislava (draw refunded)
16%

Combos

Both score & 3+ goals
45%
Both score & under 3
8%

Model probabilities, not odds. For information only.

How is this calculated?

Every number below comes from this match — nothing is made up.

1

Recent form of each side

Artis at home — creates 1.88, concedes 1.00 · 8 matches

Inter Bratislava away — creates 0.80, concedes 2.80 · 5 matches

⚑ Home and away form are counted separately — the home-field edge is already baked into these numbers.

2

Expected goals for this match

Artis attack 1.88 + Inter Bratislava defence 2.80 → ÷2 → 2.34

Inter Bratislava attack 0.80 + Artis defence 1.00 → ÷2 → 0.90

Each side's attack is blended with the other's defence, then averaged.

3

Chance of every scoreline

From those two numbers a Poisson distribution gives the probability of each exact score — the grid shown above.

4

The answer to "why 69%?"

Artis scores more
69%
level
18%
Inter Bratislava scores more
13%

Artis at 69% is simply the biggest of the three — that is the pick.

What the model can't see

It reads only the stats of recent matches. It knows nothing about:

  • injuries & suspensions
  • the matchday lineup
  • motivation — cup, relegation, a title race
  • weather & pitch condition
  • in-game coaching decisions

So 69% does not mean "Artis will win" — it means "on the available stats, this is the most likely result."

Statistical model based on expected goals (xG). For informational purposes only.

Probable lineups not yet announced

Starting lineups are usually confirmed ~1 hour before kickoff

Match Recap: Artis vs Inter Bratislava

Artis beat Inter Bratislava 9-0 in Friendlies Clubs on February 22, 2020.

The match was played at SK Líšeň UMT in Brno.