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Artilheiros vs Gorilla of the Universe — Primeira Divisão 2026

Artilheiros
Artilheiros
FT
0 – 4
Gorilla of the Universe
Gorilla of the Universe
4/25/2026Primeira DivisãoPrimeira Divisão · Round 9

Match Prediction

Statistical Prediction

Based on goals from last 8+ matches

Artilheiros19%
×Draw14%
Gorilla of the Universe67%
✓ Correct in 50 of 100 matches — 5 more than always backing the home side
Model
50.3%
Always home
44.5%

The model picks a winner (home or away) for each finished match using only pre-kickoff data, then checks it against the real result: 50.3% correct across 582,450 matches, vs 44.5% for always backing the home side.

Home picks 50.5% correct · Away picks 49.5% correct

Football matches only. Past performance is not indicative of future results.

Expected goals in this match

What is xG?

Every shot is scored 0–1 by how likely it is to be a goal from that spot — a chance in the middle of the box ≈ 0.4, a long shot from a tight angle ≈ 0.03, a penalty ≈ 0.76. Add them up over a match and that is the xG.

The scoreline can lie: you can win 1-0 on a fluke while creating half the chances. xG shows who was really closer to scoring — and over a season it predicts results better than goals alone.

Artilheiros
2.44
Gorilla of the Universe
4.38

Gorilla of the Universe creates 80% more chances

Season form · 8 home / 8 away

creates per match

Artilheiros
1.38
Gorilla of the Universe
3.13

allows per match

Artilheiros
5.63
Gorilla of the Universe
3.50

finishing

Artilheiros+0.00on par
Gorilla of the Universe+0.00on par

Total goals

96%Over
  • Over96
  • Under4

3+ goals likely

Both teams score

90%Yes
  • Yes90
  • No10

Both teams likely to score

Score probability

Probability of each scoreline, %

Artilheiros ↓

Gorilla of the Universe →
0
1
2
3
4
0
0–00%
0–11%
0–21%
0–32%
0–42%
1
1–00%
1–11%
1–23%
1–34%
1–45%
2
2–00%
2–12%
2–24%
2–35%
2–46%
3
3–00%
3–11%
3–23%
3–34%
3–45%
4
4–00%
4–11%
4–22%
4–33%
4–43%

Most likely 2–4 (6%) · grid covers 60% of scorelines

More markets

Total goals

OverUnder0.5
100%0%1.5
99%1%2.5
96%4%3.5
89%11%4.5
77%23%

Double chance

Artilheiros or draw
33%
Artilheiros or Gorilla of the Universe
86%
Draw or Gorilla of the Universe
81%

Winning margin

Artilheiros wins by 2+
9%
Gorilla of the Universe wins by 2+
49%

Team goals

Artilheiros 1+ goals
91%
Artilheiros 2+ goals
70%
Artilheiros 3+ goals
43%
Gorilla of the Universe 1+ goals
99%
Gorilla of the Universe 2+ goals
92%
Gorilla of the Universe 3+ goals
78%

Draw no bet

Artilheiros (draw refunded)
22%
Gorilla of the Universe (draw refunded)
78%

Combos

Both score & 3+ goals
88%
Both score & under 3
1%

Model probabilities, not odds. For information only.

How is this calculated?

Every number below comes from this match — nothing is made up.

1

Recent form of each side

Artilheiros at home — creates 1.38, concedes 5.63 · 8 matches

Gorilla of the Universe away — creates 3.13, concedes 3.50 · 8 matches

⚑ Home and away form are counted separately — the home-field edge is already baked into these numbers.

2

Expected goals for this match

Artilheiros attack 1.38 + Gorilla of the Universe defence 3.50 → ÷2 → 2.44

Gorilla of the Universe attack 3.13 + Artilheiros defence 5.63 → ÷2 → 4.38

Each side's attack is blended with the other's defence, then averaged.

3

Chance of every scoreline

From those two numbers a Poisson distribution gives the probability of each exact score — the grid shown above.

4

The answer to "why 67%?"

Artilheiros scores more
19%
level
14%
Gorilla of the Universe scores more
67%

Gorilla of the Universe at 67% is simply the biggest of the three — that is the pick.

What the model can't see

It reads only the stats of recent matches. It knows nothing about:

  • injuries & suspensions
  • the matchday lineup
  • motivation — cup, relegation, a title race
  • weather & pitch condition
  • in-game coaching decisions

So 67% does not mean "Gorilla of the Universe will win" — it means "on the available stats, this is the most likely result."

Statistical model based on expected goals (xG). For informational purposes only.

Probable lineups not yet announced

Starting lineups are usually confirmed ~1 hour before kickoff

Primeira Divisão: Artilheiros 0–4 Gorilla of the Universe

Gorilla of the Universe beat Artilheiros 4-0 in Primeira Divisão on April 25, 2026.