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Arsenal Česká Lípa vs Bohemians 1905 II — Friendlies Clubs 2026

Arsenal Česká Lípa
Arsenal Česká Lípa
FT
2 – 2
HT: 2 – 1
Bohemians 1905 II
Bohemians 1905 II
1/31/2026Friendlies ClubsFriendlies Clubs · Club Friendly

Match Prediction

Statistical Prediction

Based on goals from last 6+ matches

Arsenal Česká Lípa47%
×Draw20%
Bohemians 1905 II32%
✓ Correct in 50 of 100 matches — 5 more than always backing the home side
Model
50%
Always home
44.6%

The model picks a winner (home or away) for each finished match using only pre-kickoff data, then checks it against the real result: 50% correct across 579,794 matches, vs 44.6% for always backing the home side.

Home picks 50.2% correct · Away picks 49.2% correct

Football matches only. Past performance is not indicative of future results.

Expected goals in this match

What is xG?

Every shot is scored 0–1 by how likely it is to be a goal from that spot — a chance in the middle of the box ≈ 0.4, a long shot from a tight angle ≈ 0.03, a penalty ≈ 0.76. Add them up over a match and that is the xG.

The scoreline can lie: you can win 1-0 on a fluke while creating half the chances. xG shows who was really closer to scoring — and over a season it predicts results better than goals alone.

Arsenal Česká Lípa
2.29
Bohemians 1905 II
1.88

Arsenal Česká Lípa creates 22% more chances

Season form · 6 home / 8 away

creates per match

Arsenal Česká Lípa
2.33
Bohemians 1905 II
2.25

allows per match

Arsenal Česká Lípa
1.50
Bohemians 1905 II
2.25

finishing

Arsenal Česká Lípa+0.00on par
Bohemians 1905 II+0.00on par

Total goals

78%Over
  • Over78
  • Under22

3+ goals likely

Both teams score

76%Yes
  • Yes76
  • No24

Both teams likely to score

Score probability

Probability of each scoreline, %

Arsenal Česká Lípa ↓

Bohemians 1905 II →
0
1
2
3
4
0
0–02%
0–13%
0–23%
0–32%
0–41%
1
1–04%
1–17%
1–26%
1–34%
1–42%
2
2–04%
2–18%
2–27%
2–35%
2–42%
3
3–03%
3–16%
3–26%
3–33%
3–42%
4
4–02%
4–13%
4–23%
4–32%
4–41%

Most likely 2–1 (8%) · grid covers 89% of scorelines

More markets

Total goals

OverUnder0.5
98%2%1.5
92%8%2.5
78%22%3.5
59%41%4.5
40%60%

Double chance

Arsenal Česká Lípa or draw
68%
Arsenal Česká Lípa or Bohemians 1905 II
80%
Draw or Bohemians 1905 II
53%

Winning margin

Arsenal Česká Lípa wins by 2+
28%
Bohemians 1905 II wins by 2+
17%

Team goals

Arsenal Česká Lípa 1+ goals
90%
Arsenal Česká Lípa 2+ goals
66%
Arsenal Česká Lípa 3+ goals
40%
Bohemians 1905 II 1+ goals
85%
Bohemians 1905 II 2+ goals
56%
Bohemians 1905 II 3+ goals
29%

Draw no bet

Arsenal Česká Lípa (draw refunded)
59%
Bohemians 1905 II (draw refunded)
41%

Combos

Both score & 3+ goals
69%
Both score & under 3
7%

Model probabilities, not odds. For information only.

How is this calculated?

Every number below comes from this match — nothing is made up.

1

Recent form of each side

Arsenal Česká Lípa at home — creates 2.33, concedes 1.50 · 6 matches

Bohemians 1905 II away — creates 2.25, concedes 2.25 · 8 matches

⚑ Home and away form are counted separately — the home-field edge is already baked into these numbers.

2

Expected goals for this match

Arsenal Česká Lípa attack 2.33 + Bohemians 1905 II defence 2.25 → ÷2 → 2.29

Bohemians 1905 II attack 2.25 + Arsenal Česká Lípa defence 1.50 → ÷2 → 1.88

Each side's attack is blended with the other's defence, then averaged.

3

Chance of every scoreline

From those two numbers a Poisson distribution gives the probability of each exact score — the grid shown above.

4

The answer to "why 47%?"

Arsenal Česká Lípa scores more
47%
level
20%
Bohemians 1905 II scores more
32%

Arsenal Česká Lípa at 47% is simply the biggest of the three — that is the pick.

What the model can't see

It reads only the stats of recent matches. It knows nothing about:

  • injuries & suspensions
  • the matchday lineup
  • motivation — cup, relegation, a title race
  • weather & pitch condition
  • in-game coaching decisions

So 47% does not mean "Arsenal Česká Lípa will win" — it means "on the available stats, this is the most likely result."

Statistical model based on expected goals (xG). For informational purposes only.

Arsenal
Bohemians
David Jarolim
Manager: David Jarolim
Dalibor Slezak
Manager: Dalibor Slezak

Match Recap: Arsenal Česká Lípa vs Bohemians 1905 II

Arsenal Česká Lípa and Bohemians 1905 II drew 2-2 in Friendlies Clubs on January 31, 2026.