Statistical Prediction
Based on xG from last 8+ matches
Over / Under 2.5
50%
Over
50%
Under
Both Score
54%
Yes
46%
No
Most Likely Scores
1-1
12%
1-0
10%
2-1
9%
xG Profile (9 home / 8 away matches)
Arouca
xG 1.48 · xGA 1.24
+0.63 vs xG
Tondela
xG 1.05 · xGA 1.6
-0.3 vs xG
Statistical model based on expected goals (xG). For informational purposes only.
- Date
- May 16, 2026, 5:00 PM
- Tournament
- Primeira Liga · Regular Season - 34
- Referee
- A. Nobre
- Venue
- Estádio Municipal de Arouca, Arouca
Season form
Both teams' recent trends — not a prediction for this match.
Arouca
Over / Under 2.5
- Over 2.52366%
- Under 2.51234%
Both teams scored
- Yes1954%
- No1646%
Tondela
Over / Under 2.5
- Over 2.51750%
- Under 2.51750%
Both teams scored
- Yes1235%
- No2265%
Player of the match
Match Events
Head to Head
FC Porto
Sporting CP
Benfica
SC Braga
Famalicao
GIL Vicente
Moreirense
Guimaraes
Arouca
Estoril
Alverca
Santa Clara
Rio Ave
Nacional
Casa Pia
Estrela
Tondela
AVS
TorreenseIf points are equal: 1. Goal difference 2. Goals scored 3. Head-to-head
P = Played · W = Won · D = Drawn · L = Lost · GF = Goals for · GA = Goals against · GD = Goal difference · Pts = Points
Possession
Shots
Pass accuracy
Statistics
Arouca host Tondela on Saturday, 16 May 2026 at 17:00. The match is part of the Primeira Liga 2026/2027 season.
Match Recap: Arouca vs Tondela
Arouca beat Tondela 3-1 in Primeira Liga on May 16, 2026.
Goals: T. Fukui (20'), Rony Lopes (65'), A. Trezza (77'), H. Lee (85').
Arouca controlled possession (53%) and registered 16 shots to 11.
The match was played at Estádio Municipal de Arouca in Arouca.