Arges Pitesti 0–0 Unirea Slobozia: Result & Stats

Arges Pitesti

FT

0 – 0

HT: 0 – 0

Unirea Slobozia

3/8/2026

Liga I · Round 30Stadionul Nicolae Dobrin

Match Prediction

Statistical Prediction

Based on goals from last 41+ matches

Arges Pitesti43%

×Draw28%

Unirea Slobozia29%

✓ Correct in 50 of 100 matches — 5 more than always backing the home side

Model

50%

Always home

44.6%

The model picks a winner (home or away) for each finished match using only pre-kickoff data, then checks it against the real result: 50% correct across 579,794 matches, vs 44.6% for always backing the home side.

Home picks 50.2% correct · Away picks 49.2% correct

Football matches only. Past performance is not indicative of future results.

Arges PitestiExpected goals in this matchUnirea Slobozia

Expected goals in this match

What is xG?

Every shot is scored 0–1 by how likely it is to be a goal from that spot — a chance in the middle of the box ≈ 0.4, a long shot from a tight angle ≈ 0.03, a penalty ≈ 0.76. Add them up over a match and that is the xG.

The scoreline can lie: you can win 1-0 on a fluke while creating half the chances. xG shows who was really closer to scoring — and over a season it predicts results better than goals alone.

1.32

1.02

Arges Pitesti

1.32

Unirea Slobozia

1.02

Arges Pitesti creates 29% more chances

Season form · 80 home / 41 away

1.05

creates per match

0.93

1.11

allows per match

1.59

creates per match

Arges Pitesti

1.05

Unirea Slobozia

0.93

allows per match

Arges Pitesti

1.11

Unirea Slobozia

1.59

+0.00on par

finishing

+0.00on par

finishing

Arges Pitesti+0.00on par

Unirea Slobozia+0.00on par

Total goals

Under59
Over41

Fewer than 3 goals likely

Both teams score

No53
Yes47

One side may not score

Score probability

Probability of each scoreline, %

Arges Pitesti ↓

Unirea Slobozia →

0

1

2

3

4

0

0–010%

0–110%

0–25%

0–32%

0–40%

1

1–013%

1–113%

1–27%

1–32%

1–41%

2

2–08%

2–19%

2–24%

2–31%

2–40%

3

3–04%

3–14%

3–22%

3–31%

3–40%

4

4–01%

4–11%

4–21%

4–30%

4–40%

Most likely 1–0 (13%) · grid covers 99% of scorelines

More markets

Total goals

OverUnder0.5

90%10%1.5

68%32%2.5

41%59%3.5

21%79%4.5

9%91%

Double chance

Arges Pitesti or draw

71%

Arges Pitesti or Unirea Slobozia

72%

Draw or Unirea Slobozia

57%

Winning margin

Arges Pitesti wins by 2+

20%

Unirea Slobozia wins by 2+

11%

Team goals

Arges Pitesti 1+ goals

73%

Arges Pitesti 2+ goals

38%

Arges Pitesti 3+ goals

15%

Unirea Slobozia 1+ goals

64%

Unirea Slobozia 2+ goals

27%

Unirea Slobozia 3+ goals

8%

Draw no bet

Arges Pitesti (draw refunded)

60%

Unirea Slobozia (draw refunded)

40%

Combos

Both score & 3+ goals

34%

Both score & under 3

13%

Model probabilities, not odds. For information only.

How is this calculated?

Every number below comes from this match — nothing is made up.

1

Recent form of each side

Arges Pitesti at home — creates 1.05, concedes 1.11 · 80 matches

Unirea Slobozia away — creates 0.93, concedes 1.59 · 41 matches

⚑ Home and away form are counted separately — the home-field edge is already baked into these numbers.

2

Expected goals for this match

Arges Pitesti attack 1.05 + Unirea Slobozia defence 1.59 → ÷2 → 1.32

Unirea Slobozia attack 0.93 + Arges Pitesti defence 1.11 → ÷2 → 1.02

Each side's attack is blended with the other's defence, then averaged.

3

Chance of every scoreline

From those two numbers a Poisson distribution gives the probability of each exact score — the grid shown above.

4

The answer to "why 43%?"

Arges Pitesti scores more

43%

level

28%

Unirea Slobozia scores more

29%

Arges Pitesti at 43% is simply the biggest of the three — that is the pick.

What the model can't see

It reads only the stats of recent matches. It knows nothing about:

injuries & suspensions
the matchday lineup
motivation — cup, relegation, a title race
weather & pitch condition
in-game coaching decisions

So 43% does not mean "Arges Pitesti will win" — it means "on the available stats, this is the most likely result."

Statistical model based on expected goals (xG). For informational purposes only.

Probable lineups not yet announced

Starting lineups are usually confirmed ~1 hour before kickoff