Scoreo
FootballHockeyTennisBasketballVolleyballHandballBaseballRugbyMMAFormula 1

Argentino Quilmes vs Los Andes — Primera B Metropolitana 2026

Argentino Quilmes
Argentino Quilmesadvanced
FT
2 – 0
HT: 0 – 0
Los Andes
Los Andes
11/11/2023Primera B MetropolitanaPrimera B Metropolitana · Promotion Play-offs - Semi-finalsEstadio de Argentino de Quilmes

Match Prediction

Statistical Prediction

Based on goals from last 98+ matches

Argentino Quilmes42%
×Draw31%
Los Andes28%
✓ Correct in 50 of 100 matches — 5 more than always backing the home side
Model
50.3%
Always home
44.5%

The model picks a winner (home or away) for each finished match using only pre-kickoff data, then checks it against the real result: 50.3% correct across 582,450 matches, vs 44.5% for always backing the home side.

Home picks 50.5% correct · Away picks 49.5% correct

Football matches only. Past performance is not indicative of future results.

Expected goals in this match

What is xG?

Every shot is scored 0–1 by how likely it is to be a goal from that spot — a chance in the middle of the box ≈ 0.4, a long shot from a tight angle ≈ 0.03, a penalty ≈ 0.76. Add them up over a match and that is the xG.

The scoreline can lie: you can win 1-0 on a fluke while creating half the chances. xG shows who was really closer to scoring — and over a season it predicts results better than goals alone.

Argentino Quilmes
1.12
Los Andes
0.85

Argentino Quilmes creates 32% more chances

Season form · 124 home / 98 away

creates per match

Argentino Quilmes
1.22
Los Andes
0.85

allows per match

Argentino Quilmes
0.85
Los Andes
1.02

finishing

Argentino Quilmes+0.00on par
Los Andes+0.00on par

Total goals

68%Under
  • Under68
  • Over32

Fewer than 3 goals likely

Both teams score

61%No
  • No61
  • Yes39

One side may not score

Score probability

Probability of each scoreline, %

Argentino Quilmes ↓

Los Andes →
0
1
2
3
4
0
0–014%
0–112%
0–25%
0–31%
0–40%
1
1–016%
1–113%
1–26%
1–32%
1–40%
2
2–09%
2–17%
2–23%
2–31%
2–40%
3
3–03%
3–13%
3–21%
3–30%
3–40%
4
4–01%
4–11%
4–20%
4–30%
4–40%

Most likely 1–0 (16%) · grid covers 99% of scorelines

More markets

Total goals

OverUnder0.5
86%14%1.5
59%41%2.5
32%68%3.5
14%86%4.5
5%95%

Double chance

Argentino Quilmes or draw
72%
Argentino Quilmes or Los Andes
69%
Draw or Los Andes
58%

Winning margin

Argentino Quilmes wins by 2+
17%
Los Andes wins by 2+
9%

Team goals

Argentino Quilmes 1+ goals
67%
Argentino Quilmes 2+ goals
31%
Argentino Quilmes 3+ goals
10%
Los Andes 1+ goals
57%
Los Andes 2+ goals
21%
Los Andes 3+ goals
5%

Draw no bet

Argentino Quilmes (draw refunded)
60%
Los Andes (draw refunded)
40%

Combos

Both score & 3+ goals
25%
Both score & under 3
13%

Model probabilities, not odds. For information only.

How is this calculated?

Every number below comes from this match — nothing is made up.

1

Recent form of each side

Argentino Quilmes at home — creates 1.22, concedes 0.85 · 124 matches

Los Andes away — creates 0.85, concedes 1.02 · 98 matches

⚑ Home and away form are counted separately — the home-field edge is already baked into these numbers.

2

Expected goals for this match

Argentino Quilmes attack 1.22 + Los Andes defence 1.02 → ÷2 → 1.12

Los Andes attack 0.85 + Argentino Quilmes defence 0.85 → ÷2 → 0.85

Each side's attack is blended with the other's defence, then averaged.

3

Chance of every scoreline

From those two numbers a Poisson distribution gives the probability of each exact score — the grid shown above.

4

The answer to "why 42%?"

Argentino Quilmes scores more
42%
level
31%
Los Andes scores more
28%

Argentino Quilmes at 42% is simply the biggest of the three — that is the pick.

What the model can't see

It reads only the stats of recent matches. It knows nothing about:

  • injuries & suspensions
  • the matchday lineup
  • motivation — cup, relegation, a title race
  • weather & pitch condition
  • in-game coaching decisions

So 42% does not mean "Argentino Quilmes will win" — it means "on the available stats, this is the most likely result."

Statistical model based on expected goals (xG). For informational purposes only.

Probable lineups not yet announced

Starting lineups are usually confirmed ~1 hour before kickoff

Argentino Quilmes 2 – 0 Los Andes

Argentino Quilmes beat Los Andes 2-0 in Primera B Metropolitana on November 11, 2023.

The match was played at Estadio de Argentino de Quilmes in Quilmes, Provincia de Buenos Aires.