Scoreo
FootballHockeyTennisBasketballVolleyballHandballBaseballRugbyMMAFormula 1

Anzio vs Atletico Uri — Serie D - Girone G 2019

Anzio
Anzio
FT
0 – 0
HT: 0 – 0
Atletico Uri
Atletico Uri
3/2/2025Serie D - Girone GSerie D - Girone G · Group G - 26Stadio Comunale Bartolani di Cisterna

Match Prediction

Statistical Prediction

Based on goals from last 52+ matches

Anzio41%
×Draw26%
Atletico Uri33%
✓ Correct in 50 of 100 matches — 6 more than always backing the home side
Model
49.7%
Always home
44.3%

The model picks a winner (home or away) for each finished match using only pre-kickoff data, then checks it against the real result: 49.7% correct across 106,786 matches, vs 44.3% for always backing the home side.

Home picks 50.7% correct · Away picks 47.3% correct

Football matches only. Past performance is not indicative of future results.

Expected goals in this match

What is xG?

Every shot is scored 0–1 by how likely it is to be a goal from that spot — a chance in the middle of the box ≈ 0.4, a long shot from a tight angle ≈ 0.03, a penalty ≈ 0.76. Add them up over a match and that is the xG.

The scoreline can lie: you can win 1-0 on a fluke while creating half the chances. xG shows who was really closer to scoring — and over a season it predicts results better than goals alone.

Anzio
1.42
Atletico Uri
1.26

Anzio creates 13% more chances

Season form · 52 home / 68 away

creates per match

Anzio
1.13
Atletico Uri
0.87

allows per match

Anzio
1.65
Atletico Uri
1.71

finishing

Anzio+0.00on par
Atletico Uri+0.00on par

Total goals

50%Under
  • Under50
  • Over50

Close call

Both teams score

54%Yes
  • Yes54
  • No46

Both teams likely to score

Score probability

Probability of each scoreline, %

Anzio ↓

Atletico Uri →
0
1
2
3
4
0
0–07%
0–19%
0–25%
0–32%
0–41%
1
1–010%
1–112%
1–28%
1–33%
1–41%
2
2–07%
2–19%
2–25%
2–32%
2–41%
3
3–03%
3–14%
3–23%
3–31%
3–40%
4
4–01%
4–11%
4–21%
4–30%
4–40%

Most likely 1–1 (12%) · grid covers 98% of scorelines

More markets

Total goals

OverUnder0.5
93%7%1.5
75%25%2.5
50%50%3.5
28%72%4.5
13%87%

Double chance

Anzio or draw
67%
Anzio or Atletico Uri
74%
Draw or Atletico Uri
59%

Winning margin

Anzio wins by 2+
19%
Atletico Uri wins by 2+
14%

Team goals

Anzio 1+ goals
76%
Anzio 2+ goals
41%
Anzio 3+ goals
17%
Atletico Uri 1+ goals
72%
Atletico Uri 2+ goals
36%
Atletico Uri 3+ goals
13%

Draw no bet

Anzio (draw refunded)
55%
Atletico Uri (draw refunded)
45%

Combos

Both score & 3+ goals
42%
Both score & under 3
12%

Model probabilities, not odds. For information only.

How is this calculated?

Every number below comes from this match — nothing is made up.

1

Recent form of each side

Anzio at home — creates 1.13, concedes 1.65 · 52 matches

Atletico Uri away — creates 0.87, concedes 1.71 · 68 matches

⚑ Home and away form are counted separately — the home-field edge is already baked into these numbers.

2

Expected goals for this match

Anzio attack 1.13 + Atletico Uri defence 1.71 → ÷2 → 1.42

Atletico Uri attack 0.87 + Anzio defence 1.65 → ÷2 → 1.26

Each side's attack is blended with the other's defence, then averaged.

3

Chance of every scoreline

From those two numbers a Poisson distribution gives the probability of each exact score — the grid shown above.

4

The answer to "why 41%?"

Anzio scores more
41%
level
26%
Atletico Uri scores more
33%

Anzio at 41% is simply the biggest of the three — that is the pick.

What the model can't see

It reads only the stats of recent matches. It knows nothing about:

  • injuries & suspensions
  • the matchday lineup
  • motivation — cup, relegation, a title race
  • weather & pitch condition
  • in-game coaching decisions

So 41% does not mean "Anzio will win" — it means "on the available stats, this is the most likely result."

Statistical model based on expected goals (xG). For informational purposes only.

Probable lineups not yet announced

Starting lineups are usually confirmed ~1 hour before kickoff

Match Recap: Anzio vs Atletico Uri

Anzio and Atletico Uri drew 0-0 in Serie D - Girone G on March 2, 2025.

The match was played at Stadio Comunale Bartolani di Cisterna in Cisterna di Latina.