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Ansan Greeners vs FC Anyang — K League 2 2026

Ansan Greeners
Ansan Greeners
FT
2 – 3
HT: 0 – 1
FC Anyang
FC Anyang
11/12/2023K League 2K League 2 · Round 38Ansan Wa Stadium

Match Prediction

Statistical Prediction

Based on goals from last 90+ matches

Ansan Greeners30%
×Draw26%
FC Anyang45%
✓ Correct in 50 of 100 matches — 5 more than always backing the home side
Model
50%
Always home
44.6%

The model picks a winner (home or away) for each finished match using only pre-kickoff data, then checks it against the real result: 50% correct across 579,794 matches, vs 44.6% for always backing the home side.

Home picks 50.2% correct · Away picks 49.2% correct

Football matches only. Past performance is not indicative of future results.

Expected goals in this match

What is xG?

Every shot is scored 0–1 by how likely it is to be a goal from that spot — a chance in the middle of the box ≈ 0.4, a long shot from a tight angle ≈ 0.03, a penalty ≈ 0.76. Add them up over a match and that is the xG.

The scoreline can lie: you can win 1-0 on a fluke while creating half the chances. xG shows who was really closer to scoring — and over a season it predicts results better than goals alone.

Ansan Greeners
1.17
FC Anyang
1.50

FC Anyang creates 28% more chances

Season form · 116 home / 90 away

creates per match

Ansan Greeners
0.97
FC Anyang
1.41

allows per match

Ansan Greeners
1.58
FC Anyang
1.36

finishing

Ansan Greeners+0.00on par
FC Anyang+0.00on par

Total goals

50%Under
  • Under50
  • Over50

Close call

Both teams score

54%Yes
  • Yes54
  • No46

Both teams likely to score

Score probability

Probability of each scoreline, %

Ansan Greeners ↓

FC Anyang →
0
1
2
3
4
0
0–07%
0–110%
0–28%
0–34%
0–41%
1
1–08%
1–112%
1–29%
1–35%
1–42%
2
2–05%
2–17%
2–25%
2–33%
2–41%
3
3–02%
3–13%
3–22%
3–31%
3–40%
4
4–01%
4–11%
4–21%
4–30%
4–40%

Most likely 1–1 (12%) · grid covers 98% of scorelines

More markets

Total goals

OverUnder0.5
93%7%1.5
75%25%2.5
50%50%3.5
28%72%4.5
13%87%

Double chance

Ansan Greeners or draw
55%
Ansan Greeners or FC Anyang
74%
Draw or FC Anyang
70%

Winning margin

Ansan Greeners wins by 2+
12%
FC Anyang wins by 2+
22%

Team goals

Ansan Greeners 1+ goals
69%
Ansan Greeners 2+ goals
33%
Ansan Greeners 3+ goals
11%
FC Anyang 1+ goals
78%
FC Anyang 2+ goals
44%
FC Anyang 3+ goals
19%

Draw no bet

Ansan Greeners (draw refunded)
40%
FC Anyang (draw refunded)
60%

Combos

Both score & 3+ goals
41%
Both score & under 3
12%

Model probabilities, not odds. For information only.

How is this calculated?

Every number below comes from this match — nothing is made up.

1

Recent form of each side

Ansan Greeners at home — creates 0.97, concedes 1.58 · 116 matches

FC Anyang away — creates 1.41, concedes 1.36 · 90 matches

⚑ Home and away form are counted separately — the home-field edge is already baked into these numbers.

2

Expected goals for this match

Ansan Greeners attack 0.97 + FC Anyang defence 1.36 → ÷2 → 1.17

FC Anyang attack 1.41 + Ansan Greeners defence 1.58 → ÷2 → 1.50

Each side's attack is blended with the other's defence, then averaged.

3

Chance of every scoreline

From those two numbers a Poisson distribution gives the probability of each exact score — the grid shown above.

4

The answer to "why 45%?"

Ansan Greeners scores more
30%
level
26%
FC Anyang scores more
45%

FC Anyang at 45% is simply the biggest of the three — that is the pick.

What the model can't see

It reads only the stats of recent matches. It knows nothing about:

  • injuries & suspensions
  • the matchday lineup
  • motivation — cup, relegation, a title race
  • weather & pitch condition
  • in-game coaching decisions

So 45% does not mean "FC Anyang will win" — it means "on the available stats, this is the most likely result."

Statistical model based on expected goals (xG). For informational purposes only.

Probable lineups not yet announced

Starting lineups are usually confirmed ~1 hour before kickoff

Match Recap: Ansan Greeners vs FC Anyang

FC Anyang beat Ansan Greeners 3-2 in K League 2 on November 12, 2023.

The match was played at Ansan Wa Stadium in Ansan.