Annecy 1–1 Boulogne: Result & Stats | Ligue 2

Annecy

FT

1 – 1

HT: 1 – 0

Boulogne

J. Tiendrebeogo 5'

C. Fatou 67'

10/31/2025

Ligue 2 · Round 13Parc des Sports

Match Prediction

Statistical Prediction

Based on goals from last 28+ matches

Annecy42%

×Draw28%

Boulogne30%

✓ Correct in 50 of 100 matches — 5 more than always backing the home side

Model

50.2%

Always home

44.6%

The model picks a winner (home or away) for each finished match using only pre-kickoff data, then checks it against the real result: 50.2% correct across 582,215 matches, vs 44.6% for always backing the home side.

Home picks 50.5% correct · Away picks 49.3% correct

Football matches only. Past performance is not indicative of future results.

AnnecyExpected goals in this matchBoulogne

Expected goals in this match

What is xG?

Every shot is scored 0–1 by how likely it is to be a goal from that spot — a chance in the middle of the box ≈ 0.4, a long shot from a tight angle ≈ 0.03, a penalty ≈ 0.76. Add them up over a match and that is the xG.

The scoreline can lie: you can win 1-0 on a fluke while creating half the chances. xG shows who was really closer to scoring — and over a season it predicts results better than goals alone.

1.27

1.04

Annecy

1.27

Boulogne

1.04

Annecy creates 22% more chances

Season form · 72 home / 28 away

1.25

creates per match

1.00

1.07

allows per match

1.29

creates per match

Annecy

1.25

Boulogne

1.00

allows per match

Annecy

1.07

Boulogne

1.29

+0.00on par

finishing

+0.00on par

finishing

Annecy+0.00on par

Boulogne+0.00on par

Total goals

Under59
Over41

Fewer than 3 goals likely

Both teams score

No54
Yes46

One side may not score

Score probability

Probability of each scoreline, %

Annecy ↓

Boulogne →

0

1

2

3

4

0

0–010%

0–110%

0–25%

0–32%

0–40%

1

1–013%

1–113%

1–27%

1–32%

1–41%

2

2–08%

2–18%

2–24%

2–32%

2–40%

3

3–03%

3–14%

3–22%

3–31%

3–40%

4

4–01%

4–11%

4–21%

4–30%

4–40%

Most likely 1–0 (13%) · grid covers 99% of scorelines

More markets

Total goals

OverUnder0.5

90%10%1.5

67%33%2.5

41%59%3.5

20%80%4.5

8%92%

Double chance

Annecy or draw

70%

Annecy or Boulogne

72%

Draw or Boulogne

58%

Winning margin

Annecy wins by 2+

19%

Boulogne wins by 2+

11%

Team goals

Annecy 1+ goals

72%

Annecy 2+ goals

36%

Annecy 3+ goals

14%

Boulogne 1+ goals

65%

Boulogne 2+ goals

28%

Boulogne 3+ goals

9%

Draw no bet

Annecy (draw refunded)

58%

Boulogne (draw refunded)

42%

Combos

Both score & 3+ goals

33%

Both score & under 3

13%

Model probabilities, not odds. For information only.

How is this calculated?

Every number below comes from this match — nothing is made up.

1

Recent form of each side

Annecy at home — creates 1.25, concedes 1.07 · 72 matches

Boulogne away — creates 1.00, concedes 1.29 · 28 matches

⚑ Home and away form are counted separately — the home-field edge is already baked into these numbers.

2

Expected goals for this match

Annecy attack 1.25 + Boulogne defence 1.29 → ÷2 → 1.27

Boulogne attack 1.00 + Annecy defence 1.07 → ÷2 → 1.04

Each side's attack is blended with the other's defence, then averaged.

3

Chance of every scoreline

From those two numbers a Poisson distribution gives the probability of each exact score — the grid shown above.

4

The answer to "why 42%?"

Annecy scores more

42%

level

28%

Boulogne scores more

30%

Annecy at 42% is simply the biggest of the three — that is the pick.

What the model can't see

It reads only the stats of recent matches. It knows nothing about:

injuries & suspensions
the matchday lineup
motivation — cup, relegation, a title race
weather & pitch condition
in-game coaching decisions

So 42% does not mean "Annecy will win" — it means "on the available stats, this is the most likely result."

Statistical model based on expected goals (xG). For informational purposes only.

Player of the match

20

J. Tiendrebeogo

Annecy · F

7.9

Match Events

5'

J. Tiendrebeogo↳ A. Larose

36'

46'

52'

61'

61'

61'

B. Toure← J. Tiendrebeogo

67'

C. Fatou↳ A. Platret

75'

S. Keita← A. Platret

76'

A. Uriev← I. Kone

79'

82'

82'

84'

87'

90+6'

90'

90+6'

Possession

Shots

Pass accuracy

Statistics

AnnecyBoulogne

Overview

46%Possession54%

8Total Shots11

6Corners1

17Fouls15

Shots

8Total Shots11

2On Target5

4Off Target4

2Blocked2

6Inside Box5

2Outside Box6

Passing

46%Possession54%

345Total Passes418

217Accurate Passes261

63%Pass Accuracy62%

Goalkeeping

4Saves1

Discipline

17Fouls15

2Yellow Cards3

0Red Cards1

2Offsides5

Match Recap: Annecy vs Boulogne

Annecy and Boulogne drew 1-1 in Ligue 2 on October 31, 2025.

Goals: J. Tiendrebeogo (5'), C. Fatou (67').

Boulogne controlled possession (54%) and registered 11 shots to 8.

The match was played at Parc des Sports in Annecy.

Annecy vs Boulogne — Ligue 2 2018

Match Prediction

Statistical Prediction

Total goals

Both teams score

Player of the match

Match Events

Head to Head

Possession

Shots

Pass accuracy

Statistics

Match Recap: Annecy vs Boulogne