Scoreo
FootballHockeyTennisBasketballVolleyballHandballBaseballRugbyMMAFormula 1

Andijan vs Qizilqum — Super League 2026

Andijan
Andijan
Preview
15:00
Qizilqum
Qizilqum
10/16/2026Super LeagueSuper League · Round 24Bobur Arena
Big match
46%
Andijan
model favours
46%27%27%
1–0
likely score
58%
under 2.5 goals
47%
both teams score

Match Prediction

Statistical Prediction

Based on goals from last 86+ matches

Andijan46%
×Draw27%
Qizilqum27%
✓ Correct in 50 of 100 matches — 5 more than always backing the home side
Model
50.2%
Always home
44.5%

The model picks a winner (home or away) for each finished match using only pre-kickoff data, then checks it against the real result: 50.2% correct across 585,598 matches, vs 44.5% for always backing the home side.

Home picks 50.5% correct · Away picks 49.3% correct

Football matches only. Past performance is not indicative of future results.

Expected goals in this match

What is xG?

Every shot is scored 0–1 by how likely it is to be a goal from that spot — a chance in the middle of the box ≈ 0.4, a long shot from a tight angle ≈ 0.03, a penalty ≈ 0.76. Add them up over a match and that is the xG.

The scoreline can lie: you can win 1-0 on a fluke while creating half the chances. xG shows who was really closer to scoring — and over a season it predicts results better than goals alone.

Andijan
1.37
Qizilqum
0.98

Andijan creates 40% more chances

Season form · 86 home / 97 away

creates per match

Andijan
1.19
Qizilqum
0.71

allows per match

Andijan
1.26
Qizilqum
1.55

finishing

Andijan+0.00on par
Qizilqum+0.00on par

Total goals

Under: 58Over: 4258%Under
  • Under58
  • Over42

Fewer than 3 goals likely

Both teams score

No: 53Yes: 4753%No
  • No53
  • Yes47

One side may not score

Score probability

Probability of each scoreline, %

Andijan ↓

Qizilqum →
0
1
2
3
4
0
0–010%
0–19%
0–25%
0–31%
0–40%
1
1–013%
1–113%
1–26%
1–32%
1–41%
2
2–09%
2–19%
2–24%
2–31%
2–40%
3
3–04%
3–14%
3–22%
3–31%
3–40%
4
4–01%
4–11%
4–21%
4–30%
4–40%

Most likely 1–0 (13%) · grid covers 98% of scorelines

More markets

Total goals

OverUnder0.5
90%10%1.5
68%32%2.5
42%58%3.5
21%79%4.5
9%91%

Double chance

Andijan or draw
73%
Andijan or Qizilqum
73%
Draw or Qizilqum
54%

Winning margin

Andijan wins by 2+
22%
Qizilqum wins by 2+
10%

Team goals

Andijan 1+ goals
75%
Andijan 2+ goals
40%
Andijan 3+ goals
16%
Qizilqum 1+ goals
62%
Qizilqum 2+ goals
26%
Qizilqum 3+ goals
8%

Draw no bet

Andijan (draw refunded)
63%
Qizilqum (draw refunded)
37%

Combos

Both score & 3+ goals
34%
Both score & under 3
13%

Model probabilities, not odds. For information only.

How is this calculated?

Every number below comes from this match — nothing is made up.

1

Recent form of each side

Andijan at home — creates 1.19, concedes 1.26 · 86 matches

Qizilqum away — creates 0.71, concedes 1.55 · 97 matches

⚑ Home and away form are counted separately — the home-field edge is already baked into these numbers.

2

Expected goals for this match

Andijan attack 1.19 + Qizilqum defence 1.55 → ÷2 → 1.37

Qizilqum attack 0.71 + Andijan defence 1.26 → ÷2 → 0.98

Each side's attack is blended with the other's defence, then averaged.

3

Chance of every scoreline

From those two numbers a Poisson distribution gives the probability of each exact score — the grid shown above.

4

The answer to "why 46%?"

Andijan scores more
46%
level
27%
Qizilqum scores more
27%

Andijan at 46% is simply the biggest of the three — that is the pick.

What the model can't see

It reads only the stats of recent matches. It knows nothing about:

  • injuries & suspensions
  • the matchday lineup
  • motivation — cup, relegation, a title race
  • weather & pitch condition
  • in-game coaching decisions

So 46% does not mean "Andijan will win" — it means "on the available stats, this is the most likely result."

Statistical model based on expected goals (xG). For informational purposes only.

Form
Andijan
DLDWW
Qizilqum
DLLDW

Probable lineups not yet announced

Starting lineups are usually confirmed ~1 hour before kickoff

Preview: Andijan host Qizilqum

October 16, 2026: Andijan take on Qizilqum in Super League. Track every goal, card, and substitution live on Scoreo as the action unfolds.

Andijan host Qizilqum at Bobur Arena.

Submit your prediction below — exact score, 1X2, total goals, and both teams to score. Earn XP for correct picks.