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Anderlecht W vs Zulte-Waregem W — Super League Women 2018

Anderlecht W
Anderlecht W
FT
1 – 1
HT: 1 – 0
Zulte-Waregem W
Zulte-Waregem W
2/18/2026Super League WomenSuper League Women · Round 13

Match Prediction

Statistical Prediction

Based on goals from last 80+ matches

Anderlecht W72%
×Draw17%
Zulte-Waregem W11%
✓ Correct in 50 of 100 matches — 5 more than always backing the home side
Model
50.3%
Always home
44.5%

The model picks a winner (home or away) for each finished match using only pre-kickoff data, then checks it against the real result: 50.3% correct across 582,450 matches, vs 44.5% for always backing the home side.

Home picks 50.5% correct · Away picks 49.5% correct

Football matches only. Past performance is not indicative of future results.

Expected goals in this match

What is xG?

Every shot is scored 0–1 by how likely it is to be a goal from that spot — a chance in the middle of the box ≈ 0.4, a long shot from a tight angle ≈ 0.03, a penalty ≈ 0.76. Add them up over a match and that is the xG.

The scoreline can lie: you can win 1-0 on a fluke while creating half the chances. xG shows who was really closer to scoring — and over a season it predicts results better than goals alone.

Anderlecht W
2.43
Zulte-Waregem W
0.85

Anderlecht W creates 186% more chances

Season form · 104 home / 80 away

creates per match

Anderlecht W
3.32
Zulte-Waregem W
0.99

allows per match

Anderlecht W
0.72
Zulte-Waregem W
1.54

finishing

Anderlecht W+0.00on par
Zulte-Waregem W+0.00on par

Total goals

63%Over
  • Over63
  • Under37

3+ goals likely

Both teams score

52%Yes
  • Yes52
  • No48

Close call

Score probability

Probability of each scoreline, %

Anderlecht W ↓

Zulte-Waregem W →
0
1
2
3
4
0
0–04%
0–13%
0–21%
0–30%
0–40%
1
1–09%
1–18%
1–23%
1–31%
1–40%
2
2–011%
2–110%
2–24%
2–31%
2–40%
3
3–09%
3–18%
3–23%
3–31%
3–40%
4
4–06%
4–15%
4–22%
4–31%
4–40%

Most likely 2–0 (11%) · grid covers 91% of scorelines

More markets

Total goals

OverUnder0.5
96%4%1.5
84%16%2.5
63%37%3.5
41%59%4.5
22%78%

Double chance

Anderlecht W or draw
89%
Anderlecht W or Zulte-Waregem W
83%
Draw or Zulte-Waregem W
28%

Winning margin

Anderlecht W wins by 2+
49%
Zulte-Waregem W wins by 2+
3%

Team goals

Anderlecht W 1+ goals
91%
Anderlecht W 2+ goals
69%
Anderlecht W 3+ goals
43%
Zulte-Waregem W 1+ goals
57%
Zulte-Waregem W 2+ goals
21%
Zulte-Waregem W 3+ goals
5%

Draw no bet

Anderlecht W (draw refunded)
86%
Zulte-Waregem W (draw refunded)
14%

Combos

Both score & 3+ goals
44%
Both score & under 3
8%

Model probabilities, not odds. For information only.

How is this calculated?

Every number below comes from this match — nothing is made up.

1

Recent form of each side

Anderlecht W at home — creates 3.32, concedes 0.72 · 104 matches

Zulte-Waregem W away — creates 0.99, concedes 1.54 · 80 matches

⚑ Home and away form are counted separately — the home-field edge is already baked into these numbers.

2

Expected goals for this match

Anderlecht W attack 3.32 + Zulte-Waregem W defence 1.54 → ÷2 → 2.43

Zulte-Waregem W attack 0.99 + Anderlecht W defence 0.72 → ÷2 → 0.85

Each side's attack is blended with the other's defence, then averaged.

3

Chance of every scoreline

From those two numbers a Poisson distribution gives the probability of each exact score — the grid shown above.

4

The answer to "why 72%?"

Anderlecht W scores more
72%
level
17%
Zulte-Waregem W scores more
11%

Anderlecht W at 72% is simply the biggest of the three — that is the pick.

What the model can't see

It reads only the stats of recent matches. It knows nothing about:

  • injuries & suspensions
  • the matchday lineup
  • motivation — cup, relegation, a title race
  • weather & pitch condition
  • in-game coaching decisions

So 72% does not mean "Anderlecht W will win" — it means "on the available stats, this is the most likely result."

Statistical model based on expected goals (xG). For informational purposes only.

Probable lineups not yet announced

Starting lineups are usually confirmed ~1 hour before kickoff

Super League Women: Anderlecht W 1–1 Zulte-Waregem W

Anderlecht W and Zulte-Waregem W drew 1-1 in Super League Women on February 18, 2026.