Always Ready 0–1 The Strongest: Result & Stats

Always Ready

FT

0 – 1

HT: 0 – 1

The Strongest

5/14/2026

Primera División · Apertura - 7Estadio Municipal de El Alto

Match Prediction

Statistical Prediction

Based on goals from last 129+ matches

Always Ready54%

×Draw22%

The Strongest24%

✓ Correct in 50 of 100 matches — 5 more than always backing the home side

Model

50.3%

Always home

44.5%

The model picks a winner (home or away) for each finished match using only pre-kickoff data, then checks it against the real result: 50.3% correct across 582,450 matches, vs 44.5% for always backing the home side.

Home picks 50.5% correct · Away picks 49.5% correct

Football matches only. Past performance is not indicative of future results.

Always ReadyExpected goals in this matchThe Strongest

Expected goals in this match

What is xG?

Every shot is scored 0–1 by how likely it is to be a goal from that spot — a chance in the middle of the box ≈ 0.4, a long shot from a tight angle ≈ 0.03, a penalty ≈ 0.76. Add them up over a match and that is the xG.

The scoreline can lie: you can win 1-0 on a fluke while creating half the chances. xG shows who was really closer to scoring — and over a season it predicts results better than goals alone.

1.95

1.25

Always Ready

1.95

The Strongest

1.25

Always Ready creates 56% more chances

Season form · 129 home / 132 away

2.58

creates per match

1.60

0.89

allows per match

1.32

creates per match

Always Ready

2.58

The Strongest

1.60

allows per match

Always Ready

0.89

The Strongest

1.32

+0.00on par

finishing

+0.00on par

finishing

Always Ready+0.00on par

The Strongest+0.00on par

Total goals

Over62
Under38

3+ goals likely

Both teams score

Yes61
No39

Both teams likely to score

Score probability

Probability of each scoreline, %

Always Ready ↓

The Strongest →

0

1

2

3

4

0

0–04%

0–15%

0–23%

0–31%

0–40%

1

1–08%

1–110%

1–26%

1–33%

1–41%

2

2–08%

2–110%

2–26%

2–33%

2–41%

3

3–05%

3–16%

3–24%

3–32%

3–41%

4

4–02%

4–13%

4–22%

4–31%

4–40%

Most likely 1–1 (10%) · grid covers 95% of scorelines

More markets

Total goals

OverUnder0.5

96%4%1.5

83%17%2.5

62%38%3.5

39%61%4.5

22%78%

Double chance

Always Ready or draw

76%

Always Ready or The Strongest

78%

Draw or The Strongest

46%

Winning margin

Always Ready wins by 2+

31%

The Strongest wins by 2+

10%

Team goals

Always Ready 1+ goals

86%

Always Ready 2+ goals

58%

Always Ready 3+ goals

31%

The Strongest 1+ goals

71%

The Strongest 2+ goals

36%

The Strongest 3+ goals

13%

Draw no bet

Always Ready (draw refunded)

69%

The Strongest (draw refunded)

31%

Combos

Both score & 3+ goals

51%

Both score & under 3

10%

Model probabilities, not odds. For information only.

How is this calculated?

Every number below comes from this match — nothing is made up.

1

Recent form of each side

Always Ready at home — creates 2.58, concedes 0.89 · 129 matches

The Strongest away — creates 1.60, concedes 1.32 · 132 matches

⚑ Home and away form are counted separately — the home-field edge is already baked into these numbers.

2

Expected goals for this match

Always Ready attack 2.58 + The Strongest defence 1.32 → ÷2 → 1.95

The Strongest attack 1.60 + Always Ready defence 0.89 → ÷2 → 1.25

Each side's attack is blended with the other's defence, then averaged.

3

Chance of every scoreline

From those two numbers a Poisson distribution gives the probability of each exact score — the grid shown above.

4

The answer to "why 54%?"

Always Ready scores more

54%

level

22%

The Strongest scores more

24%

Always Ready at 54% is simply the biggest of the three — that is the pick.

What the model can't see

It reads only the stats of recent matches. It knows nothing about:

injuries & suspensions
the matchday lineup
motivation — cup, relegation, a title race
weather & pitch condition
in-game coaching decisions

So 54% does not mean "Always Ready will win" — it means "on the available stats, this is the most likely result."

Statistical model based on expected goals (xG). For informational purposes only.

Probable lineups not yet announced

Starting lineups are usually confirmed ~1 hour before kickoff