Scoreo
FootballHockeyTennisBasketballVolleyballHandballBaseballRugbyMMAFormula 1

Allerheiligen vs Union RB Weinland Gamlit — Landesliga - Steiermark 2019

Allerheiligen
Allerheiligen
FT
1 – 1
HT: 1 – 1
Union RB Weinland Gamlit
Union RB Weinland Gamlit
10/31/2025Landesliga - SteiermarkLandesliga - Steiermark · Steiermark - 14Sportanlage Allerheiligen

Match Prediction

Statistical Prediction

Based on goals from last 30+ matches

Allerheiligen58%
×Draw19%
Union RB Weinland Gamlit23%
✓ Correct in 50 of 100 matches — 5 more than always backing the home side
Model
50.3%
Always home
44.5%

The model picks a winner (home or away) for each finished match using only pre-kickoff data, then checks it against the real result: 50.3% correct across 582,450 matches, vs 44.5% for always backing the home side.

Home picks 50.5% correct · Away picks 49.5% correct

Football matches only. Past performance is not indicative of future results.

Expected goals in this match

What is xG?

Every shot is scored 0–1 by how likely it is to be a goal from that spot — a chance in the middle of the box ≈ 0.4, a long shot from a tight angle ≈ 0.03, a penalty ≈ 0.76. Add them up over a match and that is the xG.

The scoreline can lie: you can win 1-0 on a fluke while creating half the chances. xG shows who was really closer to scoring — and over a season it predicts results better than goals alone.

Allerheiligen
2.42
Union RB Weinland Gamlit
1.48

Allerheiligen creates 64% more chances

Season form · 30 home / 86 away

creates per match

Allerheiligen
2.83
Union RB Weinland Gamlit
1.57

allows per match

Allerheiligen
1.40
Union RB Weinland Gamlit
2.00

finishing

Allerheiligen+0.00on par
Union RB Weinland Gamlit+0.00on par

Total goals

74%Over
  • Over74
  • Under26

3+ goals likely

Both teams score

70%Yes
  • Yes70
  • No30

Both teams likely to score

Score probability

Probability of each scoreline, %

Allerheiligen ↓

Union RB Weinland Gamlit →
0
1
2
3
4
0
0–02%
0–13%
0–22%
0–31%
0–40%
1
1–05%
1–17%
1–25%
1–33%
1–41%
2
2–06%
2–19%
2–27%
2–33%
2–41%
3
3–05%
3–17%
3–25%
3–33%
3–41%
4
4–03%
4–14%
4–23%
4–32%
4–41%

Most likely 2–1 (9%) · grid covers 90% of scorelines

More markets

Total goals

OverUnder0.5
98%2%1.5
90%10%2.5
74%26%3.5
54%46%4.5
34%66%

Double chance

Allerheiligen or draw
77%
Allerheiligen or Union RB Weinland Gamlit
81%
Draw or Union RB Weinland Gamlit
42%

Winning margin

Allerheiligen wins by 2+
37%
Union RB Weinland Gamlit wins by 2+
10%

Team goals

Allerheiligen 1+ goals
91%
Allerheiligen 2+ goals
69%
Allerheiligen 3+ goals
43%
Union RB Weinland Gamlit 1+ goals
77%
Union RB Weinland Gamlit 2+ goals
43%
Union RB Weinland Gamlit 3+ goals
19%

Draw no bet

Allerheiligen (draw refunded)
72%
Union RB Weinland Gamlit (draw refunded)
28%

Combos

Both score & 3+ goals
63%
Both score & under 3
7%

Model probabilities, not odds. For information only.

How is this calculated?

Every number below comes from this match — nothing is made up.

1

Recent form of each side

Allerheiligen at home — creates 2.83, concedes 1.40 · 30 matches

Union RB Weinland Gamlit away — creates 1.57, concedes 2.00 · 86 matches

⚑ Home and away form are counted separately — the home-field edge is already baked into these numbers.

2

Expected goals for this match

Allerheiligen attack 2.83 + Union RB Weinland Gamlit defence 2.00 → ÷2 → 2.42

Union RB Weinland Gamlit attack 1.57 + Allerheiligen defence 1.40 → ÷2 → 1.48

Each side's attack is blended with the other's defence, then averaged.

3

Chance of every scoreline

From those two numbers a Poisson distribution gives the probability of each exact score — the grid shown above.

4

The answer to "why 58%?"

Allerheiligen scores more
58%
level
19%
Union RB Weinland Gamlit scores more
23%

Allerheiligen at 58% is simply the biggest of the three — that is the pick.

What the model can't see

It reads only the stats of recent matches. It knows nothing about:

  • injuries & suspensions
  • the matchday lineup
  • motivation — cup, relegation, a title race
  • weather & pitch condition
  • in-game coaching decisions

So 58% does not mean "Allerheiligen will win" — it means "on the available stats, this is the most likely result."

Statistical model based on expected goals (xG). For informational purposes only.

Probable lineups not yet announced

Starting lineups are usually confirmed ~1 hour before kickoff

Landesliga - Steiermark: Allerheiligen 1–1 Union RB Weinland Gamlit

Allerheiligen and Union RB Weinland Gamlit drew 1-1 in Landesliga - Steiermark on October 31, 2025.

The match was played at Sportanlage Allerheiligen in Allerheiligen bei Wildon.