Scoreo
FootballHockeyTennisBasketballVolleyballHandballBaseballRugbyMMAFormula 1

Allerheiligen vs TuS Heiligenkreuz — Landesliga - Steiermark 2019

Allerheiligen
Allerheiligen
FT
2 – 0
HT: 1 – 0
TuS Heiligenkreuz
TuS Heiligenkreuz
4/11/2025Landesliga - SteiermarkLandesliga - Steiermark · Steiermark - 21Sportanlage Allerheiligen

Match Prediction

Statistical Prediction

Based on goals from last 30+ matches

Allerheiligen59%
×Draw19%
TuS Heiligenkreuz22%
✓ Correct in 50 of 100 matches — 6 more than always backing the home side
Model
49.7%
Always home
44.3%

The model picks a winner (home or away) for each finished match using only pre-kickoff data, then checks it against the real result: 49.7% correct across 106,786 matches, vs 44.3% for always backing the home side.

Home picks 50.7% correct · Away picks 47.3% correct

Football matches only. Past performance is not indicative of future results.

Expected goals in this match

What is xG?

Every shot is scored 0–1 by how likely it is to be a goal from that spot — a chance in the middle of the box ≈ 0.4, a long shot from a tight angle ≈ 0.03, a penalty ≈ 0.76. Add them up over a match and that is the xG.

The scoreline can lie: you can win 1-0 on a fluke while creating half the chances. xG shows who was really closer to scoring — and over a season it predicts results better than goals alone.

Allerheiligen
2.46
TuS Heiligenkreuz
1.44

Allerheiligen creates 71% more chances

Season form · 30 home / 72 away

creates per match

Allerheiligen
2.83
TuS Heiligenkreuz
1.49

allows per match

Allerheiligen
1.40
TuS Heiligenkreuz
2.10

finishing

Allerheiligen+0.00on par
TuS Heiligenkreuz+0.00on par

Total goals

74%Over
  • Over74
  • Under26

3+ goals likely

Both teams score

70%Yes
  • Yes70
  • No30

Both teams likely to score

Score probability

Probability of each scoreline, %

Allerheiligen ↓

TuS Heiligenkreuz →
0
1
2
3
4
0
0–02%
0–13%
0–22%
0–31%
0–40%
1
1–05%
1–17%
1–25%
1–33%
1–41%
2
2–06%
2–19%
2–26%
2–33%
2–41%
3
3–05%
3–17%
3–25%
3–33%
3–41%
4
4–03%
4–15%
4–23%
4–32%
4–41%

Most likely 2–1 (9%) · grid covers 89% of scorelines

More markets

Total goals

OverUnder0.5
98%2%1.5
90%10%2.5
74%26%3.5
54%46%4.5
34%66%

Double chance

Allerheiligen or draw
78%
Allerheiligen or TuS Heiligenkreuz
81%
Draw or TuS Heiligenkreuz
41%

Winning margin

Allerheiligen wins by 2+
38%
TuS Heiligenkreuz wins by 2+
9%

Team goals

Allerheiligen 1+ goals
91%
Allerheiligen 2+ goals
70%
Allerheiligen 3+ goals
44%
TuS Heiligenkreuz 1+ goals
76%
TuS Heiligenkreuz 2+ goals
42%
TuS Heiligenkreuz 3+ goals
18%

Draw no bet

Allerheiligen (draw refunded)
73%
TuS Heiligenkreuz (draw refunded)
27%

Combos

Both score & 3+ goals
62%
Both score & under 3
7%

Model probabilities, not odds. For information only.

How is this calculated?

Every number below comes from this match — nothing is made up.

1

Recent form of each side

Allerheiligen at home — creates 2.83, concedes 1.40 · 30 matches

TuS Heiligenkreuz away — creates 1.49, concedes 2.10 · 72 matches

⚑ Home and away form are counted separately — the home-field edge is already baked into these numbers.

2

Expected goals for this match

Allerheiligen attack 2.83 + TuS Heiligenkreuz defence 2.10 → ÷2 → 2.46

TuS Heiligenkreuz attack 1.49 + Allerheiligen defence 1.40 → ÷2 → 1.44

Each side's attack is blended with the other's defence, then averaged.

3

Chance of every scoreline

From those two numbers a Poisson distribution gives the probability of each exact score — the grid shown above.

4

The answer to "why 59%?"

Allerheiligen scores more
59%
level
19%
TuS Heiligenkreuz scores more
22%

Allerheiligen at 59% is simply the biggest of the three — that is the pick.

What the model can't see

It reads only the stats of recent matches. It knows nothing about:

  • injuries & suspensions
  • the matchday lineup
  • motivation — cup, relegation, a title race
  • weather & pitch condition
  • in-game coaching decisions

So 59% does not mean "Allerheiligen will win" — it means "on the available stats, this is the most likely result."

Statistical model based on expected goals (xG). For informational purposes only.

Probable lineups not yet announced

Starting lineups are usually confirmed ~1 hour before kickoff

Match Recap: Allerheiligen vs TuS Heiligenkreuz

Allerheiligen beat TuS Heiligenkreuz 2-0 in Landesliga - Steiermark on April 11, 2025.

The match was played at Sportanlage Allerheiligen in Allerheiligen bei Wildon.