Scoreo
FootballHockeyTennisBasketballVolleyballHandballBaseballRugbyMMAFormula 1

All Boys vs Tristan Suarez — Primera Nacional 2026

All Boys
All Boys
FT
0 – 2
HT: 0 – 0
Tristan Suarez
Tristan Suarez
4/29/2025Primera NacionalPrimera Nacional · Round 12Islas Malvinas Stadium

Match Prediction

Statistical Prediction

Based on goals from last 99+ matches

All Boys45%
×Draw31%
Tristan Suarez24%
✓ Correct in 50 of 100 matches — 5 more than always backing the home side
Model
50%
Always home
44.6%

The model picks a winner (home or away) for each finished match using only pre-kickoff data, then checks it against the real result: 50% correct across 579,794 matches, vs 44.6% for always backing the home side.

Home picks 50.2% correct · Away picks 49.2% correct

Football matches only. Past performance is not indicative of future results.

Expected goals in this match

What is xG?

Every shot is scored 0–1 by how likely it is to be a goal from that spot — a chance in the middle of the box ≈ 0.4, a long shot from a tight angle ≈ 0.03, a penalty ≈ 0.76. Add them up over a match and that is the xG.

The scoreline can lie: you can win 1-0 on a fluke while creating half the chances. xG shows who was really closer to scoring — and over a season it predicts results better than goals alone.

All Boys
1.15
Tristan Suarez
0.75

All Boys creates 53% more chances

Season form · 116 home / 99 away

creates per match

All Boys
1.11
Tristan Suarez
0.85

allows per match

All Boys
0.65
Tristan Suarez
1.19

finishing

All Boys+0.00on par
Tristan Suarez+0.00on par

Total goals

70%Under
  • Under70
  • Over30

Fewer than 3 goals likely

Both teams score

64%No
  • No64
  • Yes36

One side may not score

Score probability

Probability of each scoreline, %

All Boys ↓

Tristan Suarez →
0
1
2
3
4
0
0–015%
0–111%
0–24%
0–31%
0–40%
1
1–017%
1–113%
1–25%
1–31%
1–40%
2
2–010%
2–17%
2–23%
2–31%
2–40%
3
3–04%
3–13%
3–21%
3–30%
3–40%
4
4–01%
4–11%
4–20%
4–30%
4–40%

Most likely 1–0 (17%) · grid covers 99% of scorelines

More markets

Total goals

OverUnder0.5
85%15%1.5
57%43%2.5
30%70%3.5
13%87%4.5
4%96%

Double chance

All Boys or draw
76%
All Boys or Tristan Suarez
69%
Draw or Tristan Suarez
55%

Winning margin

All Boys wins by 2+
19%
Tristan Suarez wins by 2+
7%

Team goals

All Boys 1+ goals
68%
All Boys 2+ goals
32%
All Boys 3+ goals
11%
Tristan Suarez 1+ goals
53%
Tristan Suarez 2+ goals
17%
Tristan Suarez 3+ goals
4%

Draw no bet

All Boys (draw refunded)
65%
Tristan Suarez (draw refunded)
35%

Combos

Both score & 3+ goals
23%
Both score & under 3
13%

Model probabilities, not odds. For information only.

How is this calculated?

Every number below comes from this match — nothing is made up.

1

Recent form of each side

All Boys at home — creates 1.11, concedes 0.65 · 116 matches

Tristan Suarez away — creates 0.85, concedes 1.19 · 99 matches

⚑ Home and away form are counted separately — the home-field edge is already baked into these numbers.

2

Expected goals for this match

All Boys attack 1.11 + Tristan Suarez defence 1.19 → ÷2 → 1.15

Tristan Suarez attack 0.85 + All Boys defence 0.65 → ÷2 → 0.75

Each side's attack is blended with the other's defence, then averaged.

3

Chance of every scoreline

From those two numbers a Poisson distribution gives the probability of each exact score — the grid shown above.

4

The answer to "why 45%?"

All Boys scores more
45%
level
31%
Tristan Suarez scores more
24%

All Boys at 45% is simply the biggest of the three — that is the pick.

What the model can't see

It reads only the stats of recent matches. It knows nothing about:

  • injuries & suspensions
  • the matchday lineup
  • motivation — cup, relegation, a title race
  • weather & pitch condition
  • in-game coaching decisions

So 45% does not mean "All Boys will win" — it means "on the available stats, this is the most likely result."

Statistical model based on expected goals (xG). For informational purposes only.

Probable lineups not yet announced

Starting lineups are usually confirmed ~1 hour before kickoff

Match Recap: All Boys vs Tristan Suarez

Tristan Suarez beat All Boys 2-0 in Primera Nacional on April 29, 2025.

The match was played at Islas Malvinas Stadium in Floresta.