Albania U19 2–2 Norway U19: Result & Stats

Albania U19

FT

2 – 2

HT: 0 – 2

Norway U19

G. Kulla 90', 52'

I. Gosik 41'

E. Solberg 36'

3/31/2026

UEFA U19 Championship - Qualification · Qualification - Round 1 - League B - 3

Match Prediction

Statistical Prediction

Based on goals from last 7+ matches

Albania U1941%

×Draw24%

Norway U1935%

✓ Correct in 50 of 100 matches — 5 more than always backing the home side

Model

50.2%

Always home

44.5%

The model picks a winner (home or away) for each finished match using only pre-kickoff data, then checks it against the real result: 50.2% correct across 585,598 matches, vs 44.5% for always backing the home side.

Home picks 50.5% correct · Away picks 49.3% correct

Football matches only. Past performance is not indicative of future results.

Albania U19Expected goals in this matchNorway U19

Expected goals in this match

What is xG?

Every shot is scored 0–1 by how likely it is to be a goal from that spot — a chance in the middle of the box ≈ 0.4, a long shot from a tight angle ≈ 0.03, a penalty ≈ 0.76. Add them up over a match and that is the xG.

The scoreline can lie: you can win 1-0 on a fluke while creating half the chances. xG shows who was really closer to scoring — and over a season it predicts results better than goals alone.

1.65

1.50

Albania U19

1.65

Norway U19

1.50

Albania U19 creates 10% more chances

Season form · 7 home / 14 away

1.86

creates per match

1.57

1.43

allows per match

1.43

creates per match

Albania U19

1.86

Norway U19

1.57

allows per match

Albania U19

1.43

Norway U19

1.43

+0.00on par

finishing

+0.00on par

finishing

Albania U19+0.00on par

Norway U19+0.00on par

Total goals

Over61
Under39

3+ goals likely

Both teams score

Yes63
No37

Both teams likely to score

Score probability

Probability of each scoreline, %

Albania U19 ↓

Norway U19 →

0

1

2

3

4

0

0–04%

0–16%

0–25%

0–32%

0–41%

1

1–07%

1–111%

1–28%

1–34%

1–41%

2

2–06%

2–19%

2–27%

2–33%

2–41%

3

3–03%

3–15%

3–24%

3–32%

3–41%

4

4–01%

4–12%

4–21%

4–31%

4–40%

Most likely 1–1 (11%) · grid covers 96% of scorelines

More markets

Total goals

OverUnder0.5

96%4%1.5

82%18%2.5

61%39%3.5

38%62%4.5

21%79%

Double chance

Albania U19 or draw

65%

Albania U19 or Norway U19

76%

Draw or Norway U19

59%

Winning margin

Albania U19 wins by 2+

21%

Norway U19 wins by 2+

17%

Team goals

Albania U19 1+ goals

81%

Albania U19 2+ goals

49%

Albania U19 3+ goals

23%

Norway U19 1+ goals

78%

Norway U19 2+ goals

44%

Norway U19 3+ goals

19%

Draw no bet

Albania U19 (draw refunded)

54%

Norway U19 (draw refunded)

46%

Combos

Both score & 3+ goals

52%

Both score & under 3

11%

Model probabilities, not odds. For information only.

How is this calculated?

Every number below comes from this match — nothing is made up.

1

Recent form of each side

Albania U19 at home — creates 1.86, concedes 1.43 · 7 matches

Norway U19 away — creates 1.57, concedes 1.43 · 14 matches

⚑ Home and away form are counted separately — the home-field edge is already baked into these numbers.

2

Expected goals for this match

Albania U19 attack 1.86 + Norway U19 defence 1.43 → ÷2 → 1.65

Norway U19 attack 1.57 + Albania U19 defence 1.43 → ÷2 → 1.50

Each side's attack is blended with the other's defence, then averaged.

3

Chance of every scoreline

From those two numbers a Poisson distribution gives the probability of each exact score — the grid shown above.

4

The answer to "why 41%?"

Albania U19 scores more

41%

level

24%

Norway U19 scores more

35%

Albania U19 at 41% is simply the biggest of the three — that is the pick.

What the model can't see

It reads only the stats of recent matches. It knows nothing about:

injuries & suspensions
the matchday lineup
motivation — cup, relegation, a title race
weather & pitch condition
in-game coaching decisions

So 41% does not mean "Albania U19 will win" — it means "on the available stats, this is the most likely result."

Statistical model based on expected goals (xG). For informational purposes only.

Match Events

36'

E. Solberg↳ M. Lye

41'

I. Gosik↳ E. Solberg

52'

G. Kulla

60'

E. Redzepi← A. Durmisi

60'

A. Vukaj← S. Vogli

60'

E. Steinsland← O. Oppedal

78'

F. Nuhaj← L. Sylejmani

78'

D. Ferati← O. Blini

78'

D. de Ornelas de Conno← E. Solberg

78'

P. Holseter-Karlsen← E. Flo

86'

J. Solberg← M. Lye

86'

T. Leikanger← J. Nois

90'

G. Kulla

Albania

Norway

12

2

8

20

13

14

A

▼

Lye

16

▼

Nois

15

▼

Flo

5

⚽A

▼

Solberg

9

⚽

Gosik

18

▼

Oppedal

1

Huli

2

Cekrezi

5

▼

Sylejmani

15

Asani

3

Gecaj

20

▼

Vogli

6

Llana

10

▼

Blini

9

▼

Durmisi

7

⚽2

Kulla

18

Sheji

Manager: J. Ahmati

60'▲E. Redzepi←▼A. Durmisi

60'▲A. Vukaj←▼S. Vogli

78'▲F. Nuhaj←▼L. Sylejmani

78'▲D. Ferati←▼O. Blini

Albania U19 substitutes

12Culi4Nuhaj8Ferati11Redzepi13Kuqi14Vukaj16Borici17Durmisi19Nasto

Manager: Jorgen Isnes

60'▲E. Steinsland←▼O. Oppedal

78'▲D. de Ornelas de Conno←▼E. Solberg

78'▲P. Holseter-Karlsen←▼E. Flo

86'▲J. Solberg←▼M. Lye

86'▲T. Leikanger←▼J. Nois

Norway U19 substitutes

1Eide3Tostrup-Kval4Solberg6Andresen7Conno10Holseter-Karlsen11Steinsland17Leikanger19Chooly

UEFA U19 Championship - Qualification: Albania U19 2–2 Norway U19

Albania U19 and Norway U19 drew 2-2 in UEFA U19 Championship - Qualification on March 31, 2026.

Goals: E. Solberg (36'), I. Gosik (41'), G. Kulla (52', 90').

Albania U19 vs Norway U19 — UEFA U19 Championship - Qualification 2022

Match Prediction

Statistical Prediction

Total goals

Both teams score

Match Events

Head to Head

UEFA U19 Championship - Qualification: Albania U19 2–2 Norway U19