Statistical Prediction
Based on xG from last 19+ matches
Over / Under 2.5
51%
Over
49%
Under
Both Score
55%
Yes
45%
No
Most Likely Scores
1-1
12%
0-1
10%
1-2
9%
xG Profile (19 home / 19 away matches)
Alaves
xG 1.27 · xGA 1.14
+0.05 vs xG
Real Madrid
xG 1.82 · xGA 1.18
-0.14 vs xG
Statistical model based on expected goals (xG). For informational purposes only.
- Date
- Dec 14, 2025, 8:00 PM
- Tournament
- La Liga · Regular Season - 16
- Venue
- Estadio Mendizorrotza, Vitoria-Gasteiz
Season form
Both teams' recent trends — not a prediction for this match.
Alaves
Over / Under 2.5
- Over 2.52047%
- Under 2.52353%
Both teams scored
- Yes2558%
- No1842%
Real Madrid
Over / Under 2.5
- Over 2.53964%
- Under 2.52236%
Both teams scored
- Yes3557%
- No2643%
Match Events
Head to Head
Barcelona
Real Madrid
Villarreal
Atletico Madrid
Real Betis
Celta Vigo
Getafe
Rayo Vallecano
Valencia
Real Sociedad
Espanyol
Athletic Club
Elche
Alaves
Sevilla
Osasuna
Mallorca
Levante
Girona
OviedoIf points are equal: 1. Goal difference 2. Goals scored 3. Head-to-head
P = Played · W = Won · D = Drawn · L = Lost · GF = Goals for · GA = Goals against · GD = Goal difference · Pts = Points
Possession
Shots
Pass accuracy
Statistics
Alaves host Real Madrid on Sunday, 14 December 2025 at 20:00. The match is part of the La Liga 2026/2027 season.
Match Recap: Alaves vs Real Madrid
Real Madrid beat Alaves 2-1 in La Liga on December 14, 2025.
Goals: K. Mbappe (24'), C. Vicente (68'), Rodrygo (76').
Alaves controlled possession (52%) and registered 6 shots to 13.
The match was played at Estadio Mendizorrotza in Vitoria-Gasteiz.