Al Wahda FC 0–0 Al-Ahli Jeddah: Result & Stats

Al Wahda FC

FT

0 – 0

HT: 0 – 0

Al-Ahli Jeddah

2/9/2026

AFC Champions League · League Phase West - 7Al Nahyan Stadium

Match Prediction

Statistical Prediction

Based on goals from last 10+ matches

Al Wahda FC39%

×Draw25%

Al-Ahli Jeddah36%

✓ Correct in 50 of 100 matches — 6 more than always backing the home side

Model

49.7%

Always home

44.3%

The model picks a winner (home or away) for each finished match using only pre-kickoff data, then checks it against the real result: 49.7% correct across 106,786 matches, vs 44.3% for always backing the home side.

Home picks 50.7% correct · Away picks 47.3% correct

Football matches only. Past performance is not indicative of future results.

Al Wahda FCExpected goals in this matchAl-Ahli Jeddah

Expected goals in this match

What is xG?

Every shot is scored 0–1 by how likely it is to be a goal from that spot — a chance in the middle of the box ≈ 0.4, a long shot from a tight angle ≈ 0.03, a penalty ≈ 0.76. Add them up over a match and that is the xG.

The scoreline can lie: you can win 1-0 on a fluke while creating half the chances. xG shows who was really closer to scoring — and over a season it predicts results better than goals alone.

1.44

1.39

Al Wahda FC

1.44

Al-Ahli Jeddah

1.39

Both teams create about equally

Season form · 10 home / 30 away

1.60

creates per match

1.57

1.20

allows per match

1.27

creates per match

Al Wahda FC

1.60

Al-Ahli Jeddah

1.57

allows per match

Al Wahda FC

1.20

Al-Ahli Jeddah

1.27

+0.00on par

finishing

+0.00on par

finishing

Al Wahda FC+0.00on par

Al-Ahli Jeddah+0.00on par

Total goals

Over54
Under46

3+ goals likely

Both teams score

Yes57
No43

Both teams likely to score

Score probability

Probability of each scoreline, %

Al Wahda FC ↓

Al-Ahli Jeddah →

0

1

2

3

4

0

0–06%

0–18%

0–26%

0–33%

0–41%

1

1–09%

1–112%

1–28%

1–34%

1–41%

2

2–06%

2–19%

2–26%

2–33%

2–41%

3

3–03%

3–14%

3–23%

3–31%

3–40%

4

4–01%

4–11%

4–21%

4–30%

4–40%

Most likely 1–1 (12%) · grid covers 97% of scorelines

More markets

Total goals

OverUnder0.5

94%6%1.5

77%23%2.5

54%46%3.5

31%69%4.5

16%84%

Double chance

Al Wahda FC or draw

64%

Al Wahda FC or Al-Ahli Jeddah

75%

Draw or Al-Ahli Jeddah

61%

Winning margin

Al Wahda FC wins by 2+

18%

Al-Ahli Jeddah wins by 2+

17%

Team goals

Al Wahda FC 1+ goals

76%

Al Wahda FC 2+ goals

42%

Al Wahda FC 3+ goals

18%

Al-Ahli Jeddah 1+ goals

75%

Al-Ahli Jeddah 2+ goals

40%

Al-Ahli Jeddah 3+ goals

16%

Draw no bet

Al Wahda FC (draw refunded)

52%

Al-Ahli Jeddah (draw refunded)

48%

Combos

Both score & 3+ goals

45%

Both score & under 3

12%

Model probabilities, not odds. For information only.

How is this calculated?

Every number below comes from this match — nothing is made up.

1

Recent form of each side

Al Wahda FC at home — creates 1.60, concedes 1.20 · 10 matches

Al-Ahli Jeddah away — creates 1.57, concedes 1.27 · 30 matches

⚑ Home and away form are counted separately — the home-field edge is already baked into these numbers.

2

Expected goals for this match

Al Wahda FC attack 1.60 + Al-Ahli Jeddah defence 1.27 → ÷2 → 1.44

Al-Ahli Jeddah attack 1.57 + Al Wahda FC defence 1.20 → ÷2 → 1.39

Each side's attack is blended with the other's defence, then averaged.

3

Chance of every scoreline

From those two numbers a Poisson distribution gives the probability of each exact score — the grid shown above.

4

The answer to "why 39%?"

Al Wahda FC scores more

39%

level

25%

Al-Ahli Jeddah scores more

36%

Al Wahda FC at 39% is simply the biggest of the three — that is the pick.

What the model can't see

It reads only the stats of recent matches. It knows nothing about:

injuries & suspensions
the matchday lineup
motivation — cup, relegation, a title race
weather & pitch condition
in-game coaching decisions

So 39% does not mean "Al Wahda FC will win" — it means "on the available stats, this is the most likely result."

Statistical model based on expected goals (xG). For informational purposes only.

Player of the match

3

Ibanez

Al-Ahli Jeddah · D

7.9

Match Events

22'

23'

24'

25'

45+1'

46'

M. Abdulrahman← A. Majrashi

47'

Dušan Tadić

57'

Matheus Gonçalves

63'

E. Millot← Matheus Goncalves

63'

F. Al Buraikan← Z. Al Johani

70'

Caio Canedo← B. Diarra

74'

Abdullah Al Menhali

77'

S. Abu Al Shamat← R. Mahrez

81'

A. Pradas← F. Kruspzky

89'

Ricardo Mathias← I. Toney

Possession

Shots

Pass accuracy

Statistics

AlAl-Ahli

Overview

41%Possession59%

10Total Shots11

0.66Expected Goals (xG)0.97

0Corners4

14Fouls15

Shots

10Total Shots11

2On Target3

5Off Target7

3Blocked1

3Inside Box7

7Outside Box4

Passing

41%Possession59%

325Total Passes458

268Accurate Passes388

82%Pass Accuracy85%

Goalkeeping

3Saves2

0.25Goals Prevented0.25

Discipline

14Fouls15

5Yellow Cards3

2Offsides7