Scoreo
FootballHockeyTennisBasketballVolleyballHandballBaseballRugbyMMAFormula 1

Al Shomooa SC vs Olympic Azzaweya — Premier League 2019

Al Shomooa SC
Al Shomooa SC
FT
1 – 2
HT: 1 – 0
Olympic Azzaweya
Olympic Azzaweya
2/27/2026Premier LeaguePremier League · Group B - 11

Match Prediction

Statistical Prediction

Based on goals from last 8+ matches

Al Shomooa SC43%
×Draw28%
Olympic Azzaweya28%
✓ Correct in 50 of 100 matches — 6 more than always backing the home side
Model
49.7%
Always home
44.3%

The model picks a winner (home or away) for each finished match using only pre-kickoff data, then checks it against the real result: 49.7% correct across 106,786 matches, vs 44.3% for always backing the home side.

Home picks 50.7% correct · Away picks 47.3% correct

Football matches only. Past performance is not indicative of future results.

Expected goals in this match

What is xG?

Every shot is scored 0–1 by how likely it is to be a goal from that spot — a chance in the middle of the box ≈ 0.4, a long shot from a tight angle ≈ 0.03, a penalty ≈ 0.76. Add them up over a match and that is the xG.

The scoreline can lie: you can win 1-0 on a fluke while creating half the chances. xG shows who was really closer to scoring — and over a season it predicts results better than goals alone.

Al Shomooa SC
1.27
Olympic Azzaweya
0.96

Al Shomooa SC creates 32% more chances

Season form · 8 home / 65 away

creates per match

Al Shomooa SC
1.38
Olympic Azzaweya
1.03

allows per match

Al Shomooa SC
0.88
Olympic Azzaweya
1.17

finishing

Al Shomooa SC+0.00on par
Olympic Azzaweya+0.00on par

Total goals

61%Under
  • Under61
  • Over39

Fewer than 3 goals likely

Both teams score

56%No
  • No56
  • Yes44

One side may not score

Score probability

Probability of each scoreline, %

Al Shomooa SC ↓

Olympic Azzaweya →
0
1
2
3
4
0
0–011%
0–110%
0–25%
0–32%
0–40%
1
1–014%
1–113%
1–26%
1–32%
1–40%
2
2–09%
2–18%
2–24%
2–31%
2–40%
3
3–04%
3–14%
3–22%
3–31%
3–40%
4
4–01%
4–11%
4–21%
4–30%
4–40%

Most likely 1–0 (14%) · grid covers 99% of scorelines

More markets

Total goals

OverUnder0.5
89%11%1.5
65%35%2.5
39%61%3.5
19%81%4.5
8%92%

Double chance

Al Shomooa SC or draw
72%
Al Shomooa SC or Olympic Azzaweya
72%
Draw or Olympic Azzaweya
57%

Winning margin

Al Shomooa SC wins by 2+
20%
Olympic Azzaweya wins by 2+
10%

Team goals

Al Shomooa SC 1+ goals
72%
Al Shomooa SC 2+ goals
36%
Al Shomooa SC 3+ goals
14%
Olympic Azzaweya 1+ goals
62%
Olympic Azzaweya 2+ goals
25%
Olympic Azzaweya 3+ goals
7%

Draw no bet

Al Shomooa SC (draw refunded)
61%
Olympic Azzaweya (draw refunded)
39%

Combos

Both score & 3+ goals
31%
Both score & under 3
13%

Model probabilities, not odds. For information only.

How is this calculated?

Every number below comes from this match — nothing is made up.

1

Recent form of each side

Al Shomooa SC at home — creates 1.38, concedes 0.88 · 8 matches

Olympic Azzaweya away — creates 1.03, concedes 1.17 · 65 matches

⚑ Home and away form are counted separately — the home-field edge is already baked into these numbers.

2

Expected goals for this match

Al Shomooa SC attack 1.38 + Olympic Azzaweya defence 1.17 → ÷2 → 1.27

Olympic Azzaweya attack 1.03 + Al Shomooa SC defence 0.88 → ÷2 → 0.96

Each side's attack is blended with the other's defence, then averaged.

3

Chance of every scoreline

From those two numbers a Poisson distribution gives the probability of each exact score — the grid shown above.

4

The answer to "why 43%?"

Al Shomooa SC scores more
43%
level
28%
Olympic Azzaweya scores more
28%

Al Shomooa SC at 43% is simply the biggest of the three — that is the pick.

What the model can't see

It reads only the stats of recent matches. It knows nothing about:

  • injuries & suspensions
  • the matchday lineup
  • motivation — cup, relegation, a title race
  • weather & pitch condition
  • in-game coaching decisions

So 43% does not mean "Al Shomooa SC will win" — it means "on the available stats, this is the most likely result."

Statistical model based on expected goals (xG). For informational purposes only.

Probable lineups not yet announced

Starting lineups are usually confirmed ~1 hour before kickoff

Match Recap: Al Shomooa SC vs Olympic Azzaweya

Olympic Azzaweya beat Al Shomooa SC 2-1 in Premier League on February 27, 2026.