Al Riyadh 0–0 Damac: Result & Stats | Pro League

Al Riyadh

FT

0 – 0

HT: 0 – 0

Damac

4/5/2025

Pro League · Round 26Prince Faisal bin Fahd Stadium

Match Prediction

Statistical Prediction

Based on goals from last 21+ matches

Al Riyadh44%

×Draw28%

Damac28%

✓ Correct in 49 of 100 matches — 5 more than always backing the home side

Model

48.6%

Always home

43.8%

The model picks a winner (home or away) for each finished match using only pre-kickoff data, then checks it against the real result: 48.6% correct across 15,072 matches, vs 43.8% for always backing the home side.

Home picks 50.1% correct · Away picks 45.3% correct

Football matches only. Past performance is not indicative of future results.

Al RiyadhExpected goals in this matchDamac

Expected goals in this match

What is xG?

Every shot is scored 0–1 by how likely it is to be a goal from that spot — a chance in the middle of the box ≈ 0.4, a long shot from a tight angle ≈ 0.03, a penalty ≈ 0.76. Add them up over a match and that is the xG.

The scoreline can lie: you can win 1-0 on a fluke while creating half the chances. xG shows who was really closer to scoring — and over a season it predicts results better than goals alone.

1.34

1.00

Al Riyadh

1.34

Damac

1.00

Al Riyadh creates 34% more chances

Season form · 21 home / 36 away

0.90

creates per match

0.89

1.10

allows per match

1.78

creates per match

Al Riyadh

0.90

Damac

0.89

allows per match

Al Riyadh

1.10

Damac

1.78

+0.00on par

finishing

+0.00on par

finishing

Al Riyadh+0.00on par

Damac+0.00on par

Total goals

Under59
Over41

Fewer than 3 goals likely

Both teams score

No53
Yes47

One side may not score

Score probability

Probability of each scoreline, %

Al Riyadh ↓

Damac →

0

1

2

3

4

0

0–010%

0–110%

0–25%

0–32%

0–40%

1

1–013%

1–113%

1–26%

1–32%

1–41%

2

2–09%

2–19%

2–24%

2–31%

2–40%

3

3–04%

3–14%

3–22%

3–31%

3–40%

4

4–01%

4–11%

4–21%

4–30%

4–40%

Most likely 1–0 (13%) · grid covers 98% of scorelines

More markets

Total goals

OverUnder0.5

90%10%1.5

68%32%2.5

41%59%3.5

21%79%4.5

9%91%

Double chance

Al Riyadh or draw

72%

Al Riyadh or Damac

72%

Draw or Damac

56%

Winning margin

Al Riyadh wins by 2+

21%

Damac wins by 2+

10%

Team goals

Al Riyadh 1+ goals

74%

Al Riyadh 2+ goals

39%

Al Riyadh 3+ goals

15%

Damac 1+ goals

63%

Damac 2+ goals

26%

Damac 3+ goals

8%

Draw no bet

Al Riyadh (draw refunded)

61%

Damac (draw refunded)

39%

Combos

Both score & 3+ goals

34%

Both score & under 3

13%

Model probabilities, not odds. For information only.

How is this calculated?

Every number below comes from this match — nothing is made up.

1

Recent form of each side

Al Riyadh at home — creates 0.90, concedes 1.10 · 21 matches

Damac away — creates 0.89, concedes 1.78 · 36 matches

⚑ Home and away form are counted separately — the home-field edge is already baked into these numbers.

2

Expected goals for this match

Al Riyadh attack 0.90 + Damac defence 1.78 → ÷2 → 1.34

Damac attack 0.89 + Al Riyadh defence 1.10 → ÷2 → 1.00

Each side's attack is blended with the other's defence, then averaged.

3

Chance of every scoreline

From those two numbers a Poisson distribution gives the probability of each exact score — the grid shown above.

4

The answer to "why 44%?"

Al Riyadh scores more

44%

level

28%

Damac scores more

28%

Al Riyadh at 44% is simply the biggest of the three — that is the pick.

What the model can't see

It reads only the stats of recent matches. It knows nothing about:

injuries & suspensions
the matchday lineup
motivation — cup, relegation, a title race
weather & pitch condition
in-game coaching decisions

So 44% does not mean "Al Riyadh will win" — it means "on the available stats, this is the most likely result."

Statistical model based on expected goals (xG). For informational purposes only.

Player of the match

3

A. Bedrane

Damac · D

7.9

Match Events

6'

Ahmad Asiri

46'

M. Konaté← Yahia Al Shehri

56'

Bernard Mensah

70'

Mohammed Al Aqel← S. Lega

70'

Rayan Al Bloushi← F. Selemani

71'

Sanousi Al Hawsawi← Ramzi Solan

83'

Dhari Al Anazi← F. Kamano

90+4'

Dhari Al-Enezi

90'

Hassan Abu Shararah← G. NKoudou

Possession

Shots

Pass accuracy

Statistics

AlDamac

Overview

52%Possession48%

14Total Shots6

5Corners3

10Fouls7

Shots

14Total Shots6

4On Target3

9Off Target2

1Blocked1

6Inside Box6

8Outside Box0

Passing

52%Possession48%

445Total Passes438

392Accurate Passes383

88%Pass Accuracy87%

Goalkeeping

3Saves4

Discipline

10Fouls7

2Yellow Cards1

3Offsides3