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Al Ramtha vs That Ras — League #387 2026

Al Ramtha
Al Ramtha
FT
0 – 2
That Ras
That Ras
3/29/2014League #387League #387 · Round 14Al Hasan Stadium

Match Prediction

Statistical Prediction

Based on goals from last 5+ matches

Al Ramtha59%
×Draw24%
That Ras17%
✓ Correct in 50 of 100 matches — 5 more than always backing the home side
Model
50.2%
Always home
44.6%

The model picks a winner (home or away) for each finished match using only pre-kickoff data, then checks it against the real result: 50.2% correct across 582,215 matches, vs 44.6% for always backing the home side.

Home picks 50.5% correct · Away picks 49.3% correct

Football matches only. Past performance is not indicative of future results.

Expected goals in this match

What is xG?

Every shot is scored 0–1 by how likely it is to be a goal from that spot — a chance in the middle of the box ≈ 0.4, a long shot from a tight angle ≈ 0.03, a penalty ≈ 0.76. Add them up over a match and that is the xG.

The scoreline can lie: you can win 1-0 on a fluke while creating half the chances. xG shows who was really closer to scoring — and over a season it predicts results better than goals alone.

Al Ramtha
1.73
That Ras
0.81

Al Ramtha creates 114% more chances

Season form · 6 home / 5 away

creates per match

Al Ramtha
1.67
That Ras
0.80

allows per match

Al Ramtha
0.83
That Ras
1.80

finishing

Al Ramtha+0.00on par
That Ras+0.00on par

Total goals

53%Under
  • Under53
  • Over47

Fewer than 3 goals likely

Both teams score

54%No
  • No54
  • Yes46

One side may not score

Score probability

Probability of each scoreline, %

Al Ramtha ↓

That Ras →
0
1
2
3
4
0
0–08%
0–16%
0–23%
0–31%
0–40%
1
1–014%
1–111%
1–24%
1–31%
1–40%
2
2–012%
2–110%
2–24%
2–31%
2–40%
3
3–07%
3–16%
3–22%
3–31%
3–40%
4
4–03%
4–12%
4–21%
4–30%
4–40%

Most likely 1–0 (14%) · grid covers 97% of scorelines

More markets

Total goals

OverUnder0.5
92%8%1.5
72%28%2.5
47%53%3.5
25%75%4.5
11%89%

Double chance

Al Ramtha or draw
83%
Al Ramtha or That Ras
76%
Draw or That Ras
41%

Winning margin

Al Ramtha wins by 2+
33%
That Ras wins by 2+
5%

Team goals

Al Ramtha 1+ goals
82%
Al Ramtha 2+ goals
52%
Al Ramtha 3+ goals
25%
That Ras 1+ goals
56%
That Ras 2+ goals
19%
That Ras 3+ goals
5%

Draw no bet

Al Ramtha (draw refunded)
77%
That Ras (draw refunded)
23%

Combos

Both score & 3+ goals
35%
Both score & under 3
11%

Model probabilities, not odds. For information only.

How is this calculated?

Every number below comes from this match — nothing is made up.

1

Recent form of each side

Al Ramtha at home — creates 1.67, concedes 0.83 · 6 matches

That Ras away — creates 0.80, concedes 1.80 · 5 matches

⚑ Home and away form are counted separately — the home-field edge is already baked into these numbers.

2

Expected goals for this match

Al Ramtha attack 1.67 + That Ras defence 1.80 → ÷2 → 1.73

That Ras attack 0.80 + Al Ramtha defence 0.83 → ÷2 → 0.81

Each side's attack is blended with the other's defence, then averaged.

3

Chance of every scoreline

From those two numbers a Poisson distribution gives the probability of each exact score — the grid shown above.

4

The answer to "why 59%?"

Al Ramtha scores more
59%
level
24%
That Ras scores more
17%

Al Ramtha at 59% is simply the biggest of the three — that is the pick.

What the model can't see

It reads only the stats of recent matches. It knows nothing about:

  • injuries & suspensions
  • the matchday lineup
  • motivation — cup, relegation, a title race
  • weather & pitch condition
  • in-game coaching decisions

So 59% does not mean "Al Ramtha will win" — it means "on the available stats, this is the most likely result."

Statistical model based on expected goals (xG). For informational purposes only.

Probable lineups not yet announced

Starting lineups are usually confirmed ~1 hour before kickoff

Match Recap: Al Ramtha vs That Ras

That Ras beat Al Ramtha 2-0 in League #387 on March 29, 2014.

The match was played at Al Hasan Stadium in Irbid.